Severe Thunderstorm Warning 220, NWS Albuquerque, NM

064 
WWUS55 KABQ 260036
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
636 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

NMC019-047-260046-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0220.000000T0000Z-170626T0100Z/
San Miguel-Guadalupe-
636 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN SAN MIGUEL AND
NORTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
northeastern and east central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3522 10536 3529 10515 3504 10495 3493 10524
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 333DEG 11KT 3512 10518 

$$

54

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
552 PM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Thunderstorm coverage is forecast to trend downward across western
areas through the evening, but organized clusters and lines of storms
will continue to propagate east and southeastward across the eastern
plains through the overnight hours. Numerous severe thunderstorms
are expected with large hail and erratic wet microburst wind gusts
over 50 KT. Heavy rain and minor flooding may also impact some
airfields east of the central mountain chain. Widespread low clouds
are again expected east of the central mountain chain (and possibly
over SAF) tonight through mid day Monday. Monday afternoon and
evening, mainly scattered showers and thunderstorms will form over
the mountains and again drift southeastward over adjacent lowlands.

44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...245 PM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017...
.FIRE WEATHER...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms east of the
continental divide will be capable of producing large hail and wet
microbursts with erratic wind gusts over 60 mph this evening and
tonight. The focus should shift to the area along and east of the
central mountain chain as the evening progresses. Torrential
downpours on burn scars will pose a risk of localized flash
flooding. Drier air and less convection is expected along and north
of a line from Gallup to Cuba.

Humidities will begin to trend downward Monday, and especially
Tuesday and Wednesday, as the low level flow gradually veers out of
the south and eventually the west in response to an upper level
trough crossing the northern and central Rockies. Thunderstorm
coverage will trend downward as well, to a lesser extent Monday,
then moreso Tuesday when storms should favor the north central,
southwest and south central mountains. Dry weather is expected
Wednesday through Thursday. The trough passing north of NM will
strengthen the flow aloft and work with a stout surface trough in
the lee of the Sangre de Cristo Range to make surface winds breezy
across the east, north and west Tuesday and Wednesday. Humidities
will bottom out in the single digits across much of the west
Tuesday, and across most of the fire weather forecast area on
Wednesday and Thursday. Poor humidity recoveries are also expected.
Some locally critical fire weather conditions are forecast west of
the continental divide on Tuesday, and east of the central mountains
Wednesday. Haines indices will reflect the drier conditions with
increasing values of 6 across the west Monday, widespread 6's across
central and western areas Tuesday, then areawide Wednesday and
Thursday.

The dry conditions will persist until a moist back door cold front
brings some humidity improvement along and east of the central
mountain chain Friday.  There will be a chance for showers and
thunderstorms in and east of the Sangre de Cristos Friday and
Saturday. However, very low humidities and Haines of 6 will persist
farther west as a slow moving upper level trough digs into the Great
Basin.

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
449 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

NMZ501>540-261100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
449 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will develop over the higher terrain near and east of
the Continental Divide this afternoon, as well as areas along and
immediately east of New Mexico's central mountain chain. Some of
these storms will reach severe levels as they slowly move east or
southeast into the Rio Grande Valley and onto the highlands and high
plains farther east. Storms will likely congeal into large clusters
across th eastern plains of New Mexico tonight. Heavy downpours,
potentially damaging downburst winds, and hail will be the primary
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Strong to severe storms will be possible again on Monday, generally
from the central mountain chain eastward into the plains. Heavy
downpours, damaging downburst winds, and hail will again be the
primary threats. Storm motions will generally be toward the south or
southeast at 10 to 15 mph. Thunderstorm coverage will begin to trend
downward on Tuesday with significantly drier conditions for mid-week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report hail, damaging winds and flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit
storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using
the hashtag nmwx.

41

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
418 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

NMZ511-518-252300-
Santa Fe Metro Area-Jemez Mountains-
418 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LOS ALAMOS...EASTERN
SANDOVAL AND NORTHWESTERN SANTA FE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM MDT...

At 418 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bandelier National Monument, or 8 miles southeast of Los Alamos,
moving southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Heavy rain will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
White Rock, Bandelier National Monument and Frijoles.

If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
north central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3585 10625 3584 10625 3583 10623 3583 10618
      3578 10600 3563 10614 3578 10632 3585 10626
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 311DEG 7KT 3578 10625

54

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
425 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     HAIL             1 NW LOS ALAMOS         35.90N 106.33W
06/25/2017  M0.88 INCH       LOS ALAMOS         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702049

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
427 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     HAIL             LAS VEGAS               35.60N 105.22W
06/25/2017  M1.75 INCH       SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702050

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
447 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             16 E CLINES CORNERS     35.00N 105.38W
06/25/2017  E1.75 INCH       TORRANCE           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL FROM 440 PM TO PRESENT TIME.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702051

CHJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
523 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

NMZ515-528-260000-
Far Northeast Highlands-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
523 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL COLFAX COUNTY UNTIL 600
PM MDT...

At 523 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Cimarron, or 16 miles northwest of Springer. This
storm was nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Colfax
County.

This includes Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 422 and 425.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
northeastern New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3651 10453 3638 10482 3658 10490 3664 10476
      3664 10473 3663 10473 3662 10472 3663 10470
      3664 10470 3665 10468
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 330DEG 4KT 3656 10476

54

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
605 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             SPRINGER                36.36N 104.59W
06/25/2017  M1.75 INCH       COLFAX             NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702052

TRM