Alert archive / New Mexico / High Wind Watches in 2017

High Wind Watch 5, NWS Albuquerque, NM

February 11, 2017

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this high wind watch at Feb 11, 2017, 3:09 AM MST. It took effect at Feb 12, 2017, 5:00 AM MST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2017, 3:09 AM MST (10:09 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2017, 5:00 AM MST
Expired
Feb 11, 2017, 4:49 PM MST
In force
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

The text

As transmitted.

380 
WWUS75 KABQ 111009
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
309 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS
TODAY...

...STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING EAST CANYON/GAP WINDS POSSIBLE 
SUNDAY IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE AND UPPER TULAROSA
VALLEYS...

.Strong winds will persist across the Sangre De Cristo Mountains
this morning, but gradually decrease this afternoon. A strong 
backdoor cold front will push through the Central Mountain Chain 
early Sunday morning and result in strong to potentially damaging 
east canyon/gap winds in the Middle and Lower Rio Grande Valley, 
including the Upper Tularosa Valley. 

NMZ527>532-111115-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.170211T1800Z-170212T0000Z/
Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-
309 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has cancelled the
Wind Advisory. 

Windy conditions are forecast across much of northeast New Mexico
today, but will likely fall shy of wind advisory criteria.

$$

NMZ513>515-112200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-170212T0000Z/
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
309 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...Much of the Sangre de Cristos and east slopes.

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue this morning, then
  gradually decrease this afternoon.

* VISIBILITY...Highest terrain containing snow cover will see 
  locally reduced visibilities due to blowing snow. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will impact north to south 
  oriented roadways. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ519-520-525-112200-
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.A.0005.170212T1200Z-170213T0200Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-
309 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a High
Wind Watch, which is in effect from late tonight through Sunday
evening. 

* LOCATION...Middle and Lower Rio Grande Valley and Upper Tularosa
  Valley.

* WINDS...East at 35 to 45 mph with occasional gusts to near 60
  mph below canyons and through gaps. 

* TIMING...Increasing Sunday morning, peaking mid day, then
  decreasing early Sunday evening.

* VISIBILITY...No restrictions. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Very strong cross winds on north to south
  oriented roadways may create dangerous travel conditions for
  large and high profile vehicles. Damage to trees, roofs, utility
  lines and other vulnerable structures is possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remember, A High Wind Watch means conditions are favorable for a
potentially damaging high wind event in and close to the watch
area. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph
or more can lead to property damage. Monitor the latest forecasts
at weather.gov/abq, listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite
media outlet.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
852 
WWUS75 KABQ 111630
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
930 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS
TODAY AND STRENGTHEN OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS OF
NEW MEXICO...

...STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING EAST CANYON/GAP WINDS POSSIBLE
SUNDAY IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE AND UPPER TULAROSA
VALLEYS...

.Strong winds will persist across the Sangre De Cristo Mountains
this morning, but gradually decrease this afternoon. A brief 
period of strong winds will also develop late this morning and 
into the afternoon over the east central plains. Then, tonight
into early Sunday morning, a strong backdoor cold front will push
through the central mountain chain, resulting in strong to 
potentially damaging east canyon/gap winds in the Middle and 
Lower Rio Grande Valley, as well as the Upper Tularosa Valley.

NMZ523-529-531>534-120000-
/O.EXB.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.170211T1800Z-170212T0000Z/
Central Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-Quay County-
930 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 5 PM MST this afternoon. 

* LOCATION...Central Highlands...Northeast
  Highlands...Harding...Eastern San Miguel...Guadalupe...and Quay
  Counties in New Mexico.

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will strengthen through late morning and
  the afternoon. Winds will subside around sunset. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will impact north to south 
  oriented roadways. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ513>515-120000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-170212T0000Z/
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
930 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...Much of the Sangre de Cristos and east slopes.

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue this morning, then 
  gradually decrease this afternoon. 

* VISIBILITY...Highest terrain containing snow cover will see 
  locally reduced visibilities due to blowing snow. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will impact north to south 
  oriented roadways. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ519-520-525-120000-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.A.0005.170212T1200Z-170213T0200Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-
930 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATION...Middle and Lower Rio Grande Valley and Upper 
  Tularosa Valley. 

* WINDS...East at 35 to 45 mph with occasional gusts to near 60 
  mph below canyons and through gaps. 

* TIMING...Increasing Sunday morning, peaking mid day, then 
  decreasing early Sunday evening. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Very strong cross winds on north to south 
  oriented roadways may create dangerous travel conditions for 
  large and high profile vehicles. Damage to trees, roofs, 
  utility lines and other vulnerable structures is possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remember, a High Wind Watch means conditions are favorable for a
potentially damaging high wind event in and close to the watch
area. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph
or more can lead to property damage. Monitor the latest forecasts
at weather.gov/abq, listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite
media outlet.

&&

$$
299 
WWUS75 KABQ 112130
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
230 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS
TODAY AND STRENGTHEN OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS OF
NEW MEXICO...

...STRONG WINDS TO REDEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...

...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING EAST CANYON/GAP WINDS POSSIBLE 
SUNDAY IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE AND UPPER TULAROSA 
VALLEYS...

.Strong winds across the Sangre De Cristo Mountains and portions 
of the eastern plains will gradually decrease through the late 
afternoon. Then, tonight into early Sunday morning, a strong 
backdoor cold front will push through the eastern plains and
beyond the central mountain chain, resulting in strong to 
potentially damaging east canyon/gap winds in the Middle and 
Lower Rio Grande Valley, as well as the Upper Tularosa Valley.

NMZ534-120000-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0012.170212T0700Z-170212T2100Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-170212T0000Z/
Quay County-
230 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM MST
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 2 PM MST
Sunday. 

* LOCATION...Quay County in New Mexico. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 mph through late this
  afternoon. Winds will turn north northeasterly around midnight,
  surging up in speed to 25 to 35 mph with additional gusts of 45
  to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the late afternoon.
  Winds will subside around sunset, but will surge back up after
  midnight. Winds will gradually decrease in speed Sunday
  afternoon.

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will pose difficult driving
  conditions, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ530-535-536-120000-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0012.170212T0700Z-170212T2100Z/
Union County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
230 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM MST
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 2 PM MST
Sunday. 

* LOCATION...The far eastern plains of New Mexico.

* WINDS...Sustained from the north northeast at 25 to 35 mph with
  occasional gusts to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will turn northerly and rapidly increase in speed
  tonight. The wind shift will impact northeast New Mexico prior
  to midnight, gradually progressing southward into the early
  morning hours.

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will pose difficult driving
  conditions, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ513>515-523-529-531>533-120000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-170212T0000Z/
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Central Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-
Guadalupe County-
230 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...Sangre de Cristos Mountains, Central Highlands,
  Northeast Highlands, Harding County, Eastern San Miguel County,
  and Guadalupe County in New Mexico. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will gradually subside through the late
  afternoon.

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will impact north to south 
  oriented roadways. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ519-520-525-120000-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.A.0005.170212T1200Z-170213T0200Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-
230 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATION...Middle and Lower Rio Grande Valley and Upper 
  Tularosa Valley. 

* WINDS...East at 35 to 45 mph with occasional gusts to near 60 
  mph below canyons and through gaps. 

* TIMING...Increasing Sunday morning, peaking mid day, then 
  decreasing early Sunday evening. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Very strong cross winds on north to south 
  oriented roadways may create dangerous travel conditions for 
  large and high profile vehicles. Damage to trees, roofs, 
  utility lines and other vulnerable structures is possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remember, a High Wind Watch means conditions are favorable for a
potentially damaging high wind event in and close to the watch
area. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph
or more can lead to property damage. Monitor the latest forecasts
at weather.gov/abq, listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite
media outlet.

&&

$$
541 
WWUS75 KABQ 112349
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
449 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...STRONG WINDS TO REDEVELOP OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS EARLY 
SUNDAY MORNING...

...DAMAGING EAST CANYON WINDS SUNDAY IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO 
GRANDE AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEYS AS WELL AS THE SOUTH CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS...

.Tonight, a strong backdoor cold front will push southward through
the eastern plains and westward through and beyond the central 
mountain chain. Strong to damaging east canyon or gap winds in 
the Middle and Lower Rio Grande Valley, Upper Tularosa Valley and
South Central Highlands are expected. 

NMZ534-120600-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-170212T0000Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0012.170212T0700Z-170212T2100Z/
Quay County-
449 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM
MST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...Quay County in New Mexico.

* WINDS...Will turn north-northeasterly around midnight,
  increasing in speed to 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the overnight hours
  into mid day Sunday. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will pose difficult driving
  conditions, especially for high profile vehicles. East to west
  oriented roadways, including I-40, will be especially
  susceptible to these cross winds. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ513>515-523-529-531>533-120100-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-170212T0000Z/
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Central Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-
Guadalupe County-
449 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

Strong winds will continue to subside this afternoon across the
Sangre de Cristo Mountains and portions of northeast New Mexico.
Therefore, the wind advisory will be allowed to expire. 

$$

NMZ519-520-525-120600-
/O.UPG.KABQ.HW.A.0005.170212T1200Z-170213T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.W.0007.170212T1200Z-170213T0200Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-
449 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM MST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a High
Wind Warning, which is in effect from 5 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday.
The High Wind Watch is no longer in effect. 

* LOCATION...Middle and Lower Rio Grande Valley and Upper 
  Tularosa Valley. 

* WINDS...East at 35 to 45 mph with occasional gusts to near 60 
  mph below canyons and through gaps. 

* TIMING...Increasing early Sunday morning, peaking mid day, then
  decreasing early Sunday evening. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Very strong cross winds on north to south
  oriented roadways, including Interstate 25, may create dangerous
  travel conditions for large and high profile vehicles. Damage 
  to trees, roofs, utility lines and other vulnerable structures 
  is possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remember, A High Wind Warning means damaging winds are imminent
or highly likely. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or
gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

NMZ524-120600-
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.W.0007.170212T1200Z-170213T0200Z/
South Central Highlands-
449 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM MST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a High
Wind Warning, which is in effect from 5 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday. 

* LOCATION...This includes the South Central Highlands. 

* WINDS...East to northeast at 35 to 45 mph with gusts near 60
  mph. 

* TIMING...Increasing early Sunday morning, peaking mid day, then
  decreasing early Sunday evening. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility restrictions are foreseen. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Very strong cross winds on north to south
  oriented roadways may create dangerous travel conditions for large
  and high profile vehicles. Damage to trees, roofs, utility 
  lines and other vulnerable structures is possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remember, A High Wind Warning means damaging winds are imminent
or highly likely. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or
gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

NMZ530-535-536-120600-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0012.170212T0700Z-170212T2100Z/
Union County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
449 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM
MST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...The far eastern plains of New Mexico.

* WINDS...Sustained from the north-northeast at 25 to 35 mph with
  occasional gusts to 50 mph. 

* TIMING...Winds will turn northerly and rapidly increase in 
  speed tonight. The wind shift will impact northeast New Mexico 
  prior to midnight, gradually progressing southward into the 
  early morning hours. 

* VISIBILITY...No widespread visibility reductions are foreseen.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong cross winds will pose difficult driving 
  conditions, especially for high profile vehicles. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden Gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

34

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Feb 11, 2:44 AM MST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 2:44 AM MST, 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
244 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
After a warm and dry stretch of days, the weather will turn much more
unsettled as the weekend progresses into early next week. Today looks
to be on the drier side with continued unusually warm temperatures
especially impacting central and eastern areas. Near to record high
temperatures once again expected for eastern areas. A cold front will
plunge southward from north to south and eventually east to west
Saturday night into Sunday and cool temperatures considerably. During
this period...precipitation chances will increase and last into the
earlier portion of next week. Snow accumulation is likely across many
areas of northern and central New Mexico although some uncertainty
exists as to how much across the eastern plains. Strong to very
strong winds will accompany the frontal plunge into the Rio Grande
Valley on Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Lots going on with the weather forecast. Several forecast challenges
exist...both in terms of liquid precipitation amounts as well as the
low level thermal profile that dictates precipitation type. The most
challenging area will be found across the southeast half as well as
within the Rio Grande Valley. Raised snow levels somewhat within the
RGV due to downslope impacts and also lowered PoPs some until the
strong to very strong easterly wind flow can diminish some Sunday
night into Monday. Thought about hoisting a 4th...5th period watch
for the Front Range highland zones as well as portions of the eastern
plains...especially SE half but held off after coordination with
neighboring offices. Just too much uncertainty with precipitation
type across SE areas. It seems the cold frontal plunge would be
rather shallow which will make for a tricky forecast as conveyor
moisture flows up from the SSE. Models tend to underpredict the
moistening...warming trend during these types of
patterns...especially when the back door front is of the Pacific
origin and not continental kind. With that being said...placed some
modest ice accumulation from late Sunday night thru Monday evening
across SE and EC areas.

Based on the latest modeling...will strip out the wind advisories
which were issued for NE areas and just keep the Sangre de Cristo
advisories. Several areas are expected to reach if not exceed their
record high temps this afternoon across the east so those hazard
grids are inserted. Lastly...confidence is high enough to warrant a
High Wind Watch for portions of the middle RGV southward to the
Tularosa valley on Sunday. Pressure gradient looks to be very strong
as cooler air pushes westward into the valley. MOS guidance is quite
high although would like to see all of the models show a more SE
trajectory at 700 mb. The ECMWF...GEM show a true SE while GFS...NAM
show more of a SSE trajectory. Either way...the pattern is there for
potential damaging winds localized to eastern portions of the RGV.

The extended period looks to be warmer and drier with another system
approach late in the period.

50

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
One more day of well above normal temperatures and dry conditions
prior to major trend reversals with the arrival of a backdoor cold
front and the approach of an upper low.

Poor to fair humidity recovery this morning across the Eastern
Plains precede critical fire weather conditions forecast this
afternoon with Haines values of 5. The red flag warning looks on
track, but the fire weather watch for the Northeast Highlands zone
will be dropped due to lower Haines values, borderline humidity and
a steady stream of high clouds limiting fire behavior. Elsewhere
across western New Mexico, moisture advection in the mid and upper
levels of the atmosphere will bring increasing cloud cover with
slightly cooler temperatures and less dry conditions.

The backdoor cold front will plow southwest across the forecast area
tonight into Sunday and bring much colder conditions with strong
east canyon/gap winds along the Central Mountain Chain. Moisture
advection will continue as the upper low approaches from over NW
Mexico Sunday and chances for wetting precipitation will ramp-up
significantly Sunday night into Monday. A solid widespread wetting
event looks like a good bet Sunday night through Monday night, with
significant snow accumulation possible in the mountains and across
eastern New Mexico.

Vent rates will trend down early to mid week and then likely remain
poor through the end of the week as a ridge gradually transitions
east over the area behind the slowly departing upper low. A new
warming/drying trend will begin Tuesday and continue through at
least Friday with temperatures reaching above normal areawide by
Thursday. Both the 00z ECMWF and GFS show the potential for another
wetting system next weekend, but both models break-off an upper low
too far south to have much impact across our area.

11

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
Strong winds will continue across the Sangre de Cristo Mountains
overnight, including at KAXX, where gusts near 45kt will be possible.
Winds will increase across lower elevations Saturday morning. Gusts
between 30 and 40kt will be likely east of the central mountain
chain, with lesser winds across the west. Mountain wave induced
cirrus has developed to the lee of the central mountain chain, and
this should persist into Saturday. Mid/high level clouds will
continue across western and central NM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  61  39  54  33 /  30  50  60  30
Dulce...........................  55  36  47  28 /  30  30  60  30
Cuba............................  60  38  47  28 /  10  10  20  60
Gallup..........................  63  36  52  29 /   0  10  30  60
El Morro........................  61  36  47  25 /   0   5  30  60
Grants..........................  67  34  49  25 /   0   5  20  60
Quemado.........................  66  39  53  29 /   0   5  30  80
Glenwood........................  74  38  66  33 /   0   0  70  80
Chama...........................  51  32  43  24 /  20  60  50  60
Los Alamos......................  62  40  45  28 /   5   5  20  70
Pecos...........................  65  37  43  25 /   0   5  30  70
Cerro/Questa....................  58  31  41  23 /   0  30  20  50
Red River.......................  49  29  33  22 /   0  60  40  60
Angel Fire......................  54  30  34  21 /   0  50  60  80
Taos............................  61  35  43  26 /   0  20  30  60
Mora............................  68  36  39  24 /   0  20  60  70
Espanola........................  70  40  52  31 /   0   5  20  70
Santa Fe........................  63  40  45  28 /   0   5  20  70
Santa Fe Airport................  67  38  48  27 /   0   5  10  60
Albuquerque Foothills...........  68  45  48  30 /   0   5  20  70
Albuquerque Heights.............  70  42  50  32 /   0   0  10  70
Albuquerque Valley..............  72  41  51  33 /   0   0  10  60
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  71  43  52  32 /   0   5  10  70
Los Lunas.......................  76  39  53  30 /   0   0  10  60
Rio Rancho......................  71  43  52  32 /   0   5  10  70
Socorro.........................  78  45  57  33 /   0   0  20  70
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  64  39  42  25 /   0   5  30  70
Tijeras.........................  68  40  44  27 /   0   5  30  70
Moriarty/Estancia...............  70  33  43  24 /   0   0  20  70
Clines Corners..................  67  34  40  22 /   0   0  30  70
Gran Quivira....................  69  40  46  25 /   0   0  20  80
Carrizozo.......................  74  44  52  28 /   0   0  30  80
Ruidoso.........................  70  39  47  24 /   0   0  40  90
Capulin.........................  69  30  36  24 /   0  40  30  60
Raton...........................  72  31  42  24 /   0  30  30  60
Springer........................  74  33  45  24 /   0  20  30  60
Las Vegas.......................  70  32  38  21 /   0  10  30  60
Clayton.........................  82  32  41  25 /   0  20  10  60
Roy.............................  78  33  41  23 /   0  10  20  60
Conchas.........................  81  41  46  29 /   0   5  20  60
Santa Rosa......................  80  40  45  28 /   0   5  30  60
Tucumcari.......................  87  41  47  27 /   0   0  10  60
Clovis..........................  86  40  46  27 /   0   0  20  60
Portales........................  87  42  49  28 /   0   0  30  90
Fort Sumner.....................  85  43  50  28 /   0   0  30  60
Roswell.........................  89  46  54  30 /   0   0  20  90
Picacho.........................  80  45  50  28 /   0   0  40  90
Elk.............................  75  42  49  26 /   0   0  40  90

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon today to 6 PM MST this evening for the
following zones... NMZ104-108.

High Wind Watch from late tonight through Sunday evening for the
following zones... NMZ519-520-525.

Wind Advisory until 5 PM MST this afternoon for the following
zones... NMZ513>515.

&&

50
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 4:24 AM MST, 22 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
424 AM MST Fri Feb 10 2017

NMZ501>540-111300-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
424 AM MST Fri Feb 10 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A Pacific storm system is forecast to combine with a strong backdoor
cold front, bringing widespread low elevation rain and mountain snow
to much of the region Sunday night through Monday night. Much colder
temperatures along with strong east and northeast winds will
accompany the front. Strong east canyon winds will develop in the Rio
Grande valley Sunday morning with gusts to 45 mph possible.
Improving conditions are anticipated Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts through the
National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq
or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

33

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 11, 3:08 AM MST, 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
308 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

NMZ501>540-112300-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-
308 AM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...QUITE A CHANGE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

The combination of a strong backdoor cold front and a deepening
Pacific storm system will bring much colder temperatures, strong
winds and increasing chances for precipitation beginning late
Saturday, peaking Sunday night through Monday night, then
diminishing as Tuesday progresses.

The backdoor cold front will plow south and west through New
Mexico Saturday night into Sunday. The cooler air associated with
the front will provide as much as a 40 degree temperature change
between todays near record highs across the east and Sunday's
expected readings. Strong to potentially damaging east canyon
winds are also expected behind the cold front at favored locations
in the middle and lower Rio Grande and Upper Tularosa Valleys on
Sunday.

Initially, mountain snow and valley rain is forecast, but snow
levels will gradually fall Sunday night into Monday to include a
mix across the Albuquerque and Santa Fe Metros. Significant snow
accumulation is possible Sunday night through Monday night in the
mountains and across the highlands adjacent to the Central
Mountain Chain as well as portions of the southeast plains. Some
sleet may mix with the rain and snow in Curry, Roosevelt, Quay and
Chaves Counties. The forecast will be quite challenging across the
southeast so stay tuned to the latest forecast updates.

Monitor NOAA weather radio, weather.gov/abq or your local media
for the latest updates and potential watches, advisories or
warnings due to these changing and challenging weather conditions.
For the latest New Mexico road conditions call 511 or visit
nmroads.com.

50

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 10, 6:00 PM MSTFire Weather WatchABQ9 hr
Feb 10, 6:00 PM MSTRed Flag WarningABQHarding, San Miguel, Union24 hr
Feb 11, 2:30 PM MSTWind AdvisoryABQ15 hr
Feb 11, 2:58 PM MSTWinter Storm WatchABQ12 hr
Feb 11, 4:49 PM MSTHigh Wind WarningABQ24 hr

Nearby

High Wind Watches in New Mexico, 2017Every high wind watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.