Hard Freeze Warning 1, NWS Las Vegas, NV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1126 AM PST MON FEB 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY
WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY LINGERING IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND IT.
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. COOL...BUT DRY WEATHER WILL LINGER THROUGH MID WEEK
BEFORE A WARMING TREND RETURNS TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL
AVERAGES LATE IN THE WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...CLEARING THE SPRING MTNS...SHEEP RANGE AND LINCOLN COUNTY
FROM THE WINTER STORM WARNING BASED ON SATELLITE AND RADAR. WINTER
WEATHER PRODUCTS REMAIN IN AFFECT FOR MOHAVE COUNTY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING AND THEN LIMITED PRIMARILY TO MOHAVE COUNTY THIS
EVENING. DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINTER STORM
WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES CONTINUE THROUGH 4 PM TODAY
BUT WILL LIKELY GET TRIMMED BACK EARLIER...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. WINDS IN THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT AND
MORONGO BASIN CONTINUE TO GUST 40 TO 50 MPH AND A HIGH WIND WARNING
CONTINUES THERE. THE STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NORTHEAST
CWA HAVE YET TO MATERIALIZE BUT HI-RES MODEL DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER WINDS IN THOSE AREAS. A HIGH WIND WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT AND WILL NEED TO BE RE-EVALUATED A LITTLE LATER
THIS MORNING. VARIOUS WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT AND BASED ON
CURRENT 2 AM OBSERVATIONS, THOSE LOOK GOOD. HOWEVER, NOT ALL THAT
CERTAIN WIDE SPREAD ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS WILL MATERIALIZE ACROSS THE
LAS VEGAS VALLEY BUT THE NORTHERN VALLEY SHOULD BE CLOSE. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE EVOLUTION OF THE STORM OVER THE NEXT 12-18
HOURS AND ADJUST AS NEEDED.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE AREA WILL BE UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY WITH A RIDGE ALONG
THE COAST. THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THERE WILL BE JUST
ENOUGH MOISTURE SPILLING OVER THE RIDGE FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA IN FAR NORTHWEST INYO COUNTY. OTHERWISE
THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES
WELL BELOW NORMAL AND SOME NORTHERLY BREEZES. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY MOVE OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY LEADING TO DRY
CONDITIONS WITH A LITTLE BIT OF A WARMING TREND AND SOME NORTHERLY
BREEZES CONTINUING. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS NEVADA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE MODELS DISAGREE ON GENERATION OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE AND FOR NOW WE ARE KEEPING THE
FORECAST DRY WITH ADDITIONAL WARMING. DESPITE THE WARMING...TEMPS
WILL STILL BE BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY. A RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY AMPLIFY
ALONG THE COAST FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY LEADING TO DRY CONDITIONS WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR WINDS TO REACH
NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS IN SOME AREAS BY LATE FRIDAY. A WARMING TREND
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD FINALLY GET
BACK TO AROUND NORMAL BY SUNDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS HAS MOVED
THROUGH THE VALLEY AS EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 15Z. CIGS DOWN TO 2K FEET IN MODERATE SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE BUT WILL GENERALLY BE 3-4K FEET. WINDS HAVE BEEN A
NIGHTMARE TO FORECAST THIS MORNING AND CONFIDENCE IS LOW. A
NORTHWEST PUSH LOOKED LIKELY AT ONE POINT BUT NOW COULD BE DELAYED
UNTIL CLOSER TO DAYBREAK. ONCE THEY TURN, THE SHOULD REMAIN GUSTY
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY. WIND SPEEDS 15 TO 25 KTS AND
GUSTS TO 35 KTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHWEST. VISIBILITY IS NOT
EXPECT TO BE AN ISSUE UNLESS A HEAVIER SHOWER DEVELOPS AT THE
TERMINAL. MECHANICAL TURBULENCE AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY
TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA THIS MORNING BECOMING CONFINED TO MOHAVE
COUNTY TONIGHT. CIGS DOWN TO 1K FEET POSSIBLE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY.
GUSTY NORTH WINDS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
SPREADING SOUTH INTO THE DESERTS THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS 15-25 KTS
AND GUSTS 30-35 KTS ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS AND MECHANICAL TURBULENCE WILL LIKELY BE AN ISSUE
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

UPDATE...PIERCE

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1017 AM PST MON FEB 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       RACHEL                  37.63N 115.72W
02/01/2016  M9.0 INCH        LINCOLN            NV   CO-OP OBSERVER

            A CO-OP OBSERVER LOCATED IN RACHEL NEVADA AT AN ELEVATION
            OF 4825 FEET REPORTED 9 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.

&&

ASG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1028 AM PST MON FEB 1 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1026 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PIOCHE                  37.93N 114.45W
02/01/2016  E14.0 INCH       LINCOLN            NV   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SNOW BEGAN 5 PM SAT ENDED 6 AM MON MORNING.
            3 INCHES FELL BETWEEN 5 PM SAT AND 6 AM
            SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

NF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1037 AM PST MON FEB 1 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1036 AM     HEAVY SNOW       1 W CALIENTE            37.61N 114.53W
02/01/2016  E10.0 INCH       LINCOLN            NV   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SNOW BEGAN AROUND 6 PM SUNDAY EVENING AND
            WAS JUST LETTING UP AROUND 10 AM MONDAY
            MORNING.

&&

NF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1046 AM PST MON FEB 1 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1046 AM     SNOW             3 S HIKO                37.56N 115.22W
02/01/2016  M3.0 INCH        LINCOLN            NV   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

NF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1048 AM PST MON FEB 1 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     SNOW             ALAMO                   37.36N 115.16W
02/01/2016  E2.0 INCH        LINCOLN            NV   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

NF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1144 AM PST MON FEB 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     HEAVY SNOW       GOLDFIELD               37.70N 117.23W
02/01/2016  M12.0 INCH       ESMERALDA          NV   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE ESMERALDA COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED 12 INCHES OF SNOW
            IN GOLDFIELD AT AN ELEVATION OF 5700 FEET. SNOW
            ACCUMULATED FROM APPROXIMATELY 5 AM SUNDAY MORNING
            THROUGH 5 AM MONDAY.

&&

ASG