Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Las Vegas, NV

187 
WWUS55 KVEF 010034
SVSVEF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
434 PM PST SUN JAN 31 2016

NVC023-010044-
/O.CAN.KVEF.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160201T0045Z/
NYE NV-
434 PM PST SUN JAN 31 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3611 11603 3648 11619 3679 11590 3619 11590
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 228DEG 38KT 3643 11581 

$$

SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
355 PM PST SUN JAN 31 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A POTENT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING STRONG WINDS
AND WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW TO THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. DRY
WEATHER AND CALMER WINDS RETURN BEGINNING TUESDAY BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK RETURNING CLOSER TO NORMAL OVER THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.DISCUSSION...ADVERTISED COLD UPPER LOW PRODUCING A WIDE RANGE OF
WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT. A LEAD
SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT CURRENTLY
PRODUCING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN BARSTOW AND
RIDGECREST. VELOCITY ESTIMATES FROM THE EDWARDS AFB THAT PROMPTED THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WERE BETWEEN 60 AND 70 KTS.

MADE NO CHANGE TO OUR WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS. SNOW WILL START
TAPERING AFTER THIS EVENING OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT IN PARTS OF
INYO...ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTIES. LATER SHIFTS SHOULD BE
ABLE TO CLEAR ZONES AS NEEDED. HEAVIEST SNOW FOR THE SPRING
MTNS...SHEEP RANGE AND LINCOLN COUNTY IS FROM NOW THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING. LINCOLN COUNTY SHOULD BE MORE IMPACTED BY THE AREA OF WRAP
AROUND PRECIPITATION BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD NOT MATCH WHAT OCCURS THIS
EVENING. NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY WILL BE LAST TO SEE THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION SO NOT AS CONFIDENT THAT THE LOWER PLATEAU
COMMUNITIES OF COLORADO CITY OR PIPE SPRINGS NATL MONUMENT WILL
EXPERIENCE THE HEAVY SNOW BUT THE VIRGIN MTNS SHOULD MAKE OUT
NICELY.

ONLY CHANGE TO THE WIND PRODUCTS WAS TO INCLUDE THE LAS VEGAS IN THE
WIND ADVISORY FOR LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY.

OTHER ITEM OF INTEREST WILL BE THE MUCH COLDER HIGH TEMPERATURES
WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO MANY LOWER DESERT LOCALES
TUESDAY, WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MORNINGS.

BEYOND MID WEEK THE REGION WILL BE DRY AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO
WARM RETURNING CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS FOR SUPER BOWL WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY AT THIS HOUR.
EXPECT SHOWER ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE
DRYING OUT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS LOOK LIKELY
TO IMPACT THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY AROUND 09Z THROUGH
DAYBREAK...YIELDING PERIODICALLY REDUCED VISIBILITY IN THE STRONGEST
ACTIVITY AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS DUE TO LOWERED CIGS. WIND-
WISE...EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CONTINUE AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH
ROUGHLY 08Z BEFORE WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE IN THE BREAK IN PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING PRIOR TO THE
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15-20KTS
AND GUSTS 25-30KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. MECHANICAL
TURBULENCE IS LIKELY FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES
ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT THIS AFTERNOON...YIELDING HEAVY
RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...REDUCED CIGS AND VSBY IN AND AROUND THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY. A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND GENERALLY LAST
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BEFORE CLEARING MONDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE DESERTS AND IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY AT THIS HOUR WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY RANGING FROM 25-
35KTS AND GUSTS 40-50KTS. KIFP AND KEED WILL SEE REDUCED VISIBILITY
DUE TO BLOWING DUST IN THE REGION. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT
NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING OUT OF
THE NORTHWEST GENERALLY RANGING FROM 15-25KTS AND GUSTS 30-35KTS.
MECHANICAL TURBULENCE WILL LIKELY BE AN ISSUE THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&

DISCUSSION....PIERCE
AVIATION...PULLIN

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