Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 6, 2016Craig County, Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Oct 6, 2016, 10:13 PM CDT for Craig County, Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 6, 2016, 10:13 PM CDT (03:13 UTC)
Expired: Oct 6, 2016, 10:45 PM CDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

Counties Craig County, OK, Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1400 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 990 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 214 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 281 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.2
Supercell composite: 11.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 6, 9:44 PM CDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 9:44 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
944 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Convective line continues moving through northeast Oklahoma this
evening at around 30 mph. Thunderstorms should continue to slowly
weaken as line moves into a more stable air- mass. Still could see
gusty winds/brief heavy rain in the stronger storms, along/north
of I-44 and especially southwest of Tulsa where surface based
instability remains the highest. Update has been sent given latest
trends. Overall thunderstorm activity will continue to decrease
into the overnight hours.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM CDT Friday for OKZ054>056-059.

AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...12

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 9:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
908 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
908 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF THE EVENING HOURS THROUGH TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 AND GENERALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED
    AREA...ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHEAST INTO
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS THE LINE MOVES
TO ROUGHLY I-44 BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM.  A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE
GUSTY WINDS TO 60 MPH...HOWEVER THIS WOULD LIKELY BE VERY LOCALIZED.
THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SHORTLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A FEW LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BUT SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

MUCH COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT FOR
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. A WARM UP
WILL BEGIN THIS WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO BE WITHIN A
FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL VALUES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 8:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
843 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

OKZ054-055-059-070230-
PAWNEE OK-WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-
843 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN OSAGE...WESTERN PAWNEE
AND NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 843 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORAKER TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF RED
ROCK. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
PAWHUSKA...                       PAWNEE...
FAIRFAX...                        SHIDLER...
RALSTON...                        BURBANK...
BLACKBURN...                      ELGIN...
SKEDEE...                         FORAKER...
HULAH...                          OSAGE HILLS STATE PARK...
PEARSONIA...                      BIGHEART...
WEBB CITY...                      APPERSON...
WAH SHA SHE STATE PARK...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3700 9584 3619 9678 3620 9682 3625 9682
      3625 9692 3633 9693 3634 9703 3651 9703
      3655 9690 3658 9689 3660 9692 3659 9701
      3678 9678 3678 9675 3680 9675 3700 9653
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 278DEG 34KT 3696 9651 3637 9720

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 9:14 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
914 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

OKZ054>057-059>061-064-070300-
ROGERS OK-CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-CREEK OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-
914 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ROGERS...OSAGE...
PAWNEE...NOWATA...WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN CREEK...NORTHWESTERN
TULSA AND NORTHWESTERN CRAIG COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

AT 913 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTH OF WANN TO 5 MILES WEST OF MARAMEC.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
BARTLESVILLE...                   SAND SPRINGS...
NOWATA...                         PAWHUSKA...
PAWNEE...                         SKIATOOK...
HOMINY...                         DEWEY...
CLEVELAND...                      MANNFORD...
FAIRFAX...                        BARNSDALL...
SPERRY...                         OILTON...
SOUTH COFFEYVILLE...              COPAN...
RAMONA...                         WYNONA...
OCHELATA...                       DELAWARE...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3700 9549 3691 9517 3599 9640 3607 9662
      3616 9662 3616 9682 3624 9682 3625 9692
      3633 9693 3634 9703 3642 9703 3700 9632
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 288DEG 33KT 3695 9581 3623 9677

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 9:46 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
946 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

OKZ055>058-061-062-070330-
ROGERS OK-CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-OTTAWA OK-MAYES OK-WASHINGTON OK-
946 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MAYES...NORTHERN
ROGERS...OTTAWA...NOWATA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND CRAIG COUNTIES
UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 946 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF EDNA TO 2 MILES EAST OF VERA.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
MIAMI...                          VINITA...
NOWATA...                         COMMERCE...
CHELSEA...                        OOLOGAH...
FAIRLAND...                       AFTON...
QUAPAW...                         ADAIR...
WELCH...                          RAMONA...
DELAWARE...                       FOYIL...
BLUEJACKET...                     LENAPAH...
TALALA...                         BIG CABIN...
VERA...                           TREECE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 261 AND 324.

LAT...LON 3700 9462 3697 9462 3667 9493 3667 9500
      3660 9500 3637 9524 3646 9600 3655 9600
      3700 9553
TIME...MOT...LOC 0246Z 280DEG 42KT 3693 9537 3645 9584

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 10:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1013 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

OKZ057-058-070345-
CRAIG OK-OTTAWA OK-
1013 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OTTAWA AND NORTHEASTERN CRAIG
COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM CDT...

AT 1013 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHETOPA TO 5 MILES NORTH OF
VINITA. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
MIAMI...                          COMMERCE...
FAIRLAND...                       AFTON...
QUAPAW...                         WELCH...
BLUEJACKET...                     WYANDOTTE...
TREECE...                         PICHER...
NARCISSA...                       OTTAWA...
PEORIA...                         CARDIN...
PYRAMID CORNERS...                TWIN BRIDGES STATE PARK...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 292 AND 324.

LAT...LON 3668 9462 3669 9526 3700 9503 3700 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 270DEG 38KT 3700 9498 3672 9516

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 6, 8:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	53 min
Oct 6, 8:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	47 min
Oct 6, 9:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Washington	46 min
Oct 6, 9:17 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Craig, Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Washington	118 min
Oct 6, 9:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Nowata, Ottawa	44 min
Oct 6, 10:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	39 min
Oct 6, 11:42 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Craig, Creek, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Pawnee and 3 more	3 hr
Oct 7, 12:15 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Mayes, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Rogers and 2 more	4 hr
Oct 7, 2:29 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Pittsburg, Sequoyah and 1 more	4 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.