Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
514 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
514 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.
	ONSET...AFTER 7 PM...DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO MCALESTER.
	ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING...SLOWLY WEAKENING AFTER SUNSET.

DISCUSSION...
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS
EVENING WITH MORE ISOLATED DEVELOPED SOUTHWARD THROUGH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.  ANY STORMS WHICH DO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER RISK AS THEY
SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.  THESE INITIAL
STORMS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET.  MORE WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED BY LATE EVENING INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS AS THE STORMS ACROSS KANSAS GRADUALLY EXPAND
SOUTHEASTWARD.  A MORE LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST WITH THE LATE EVENING INTO EARLY MORNING STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL POSE THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
921 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

OKZ054-050300-
OSAGE OK-
921 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL
1000 PM CDT...

AT 920 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR KILDARE TO 2 MILES EAST OF MARLAND. MOVEMENT WAS
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
FAIRFAX...                        SHIDLER...
BURBANK...                        GRAINOLA...
FORAKER...                        SOUTHERN KAW LAKE...
WEBB CITY...                      APPERSON...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3700 9642 3658 9653 3655 9693 3656 9690
      3657 9689 3660 9692 3658 9698 3659 9706
      3660 9704 3666 9706 3669 9706 3670 9703
      3668 9694 3675 9689 3674 9683 3677 9682
      3678 9675 3700 9675
TIME...MOT...LOC 0220Z 246DEG 48KT 3680 9703 3656 9711