Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
1148 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
IFR/MVFR cigs and MVFR vsbys in rain and fog will prevail for much
of the TAF period at all sites. Will tempo thunder in at all sites as
scattered storms along the leading edge can be expected. The slow
moving upper system will finally push east later in the TAF period.
Rain will come to an end in the morning...however IFR cigs will
prevail through 18z at most sites. By afternoon...VFR elements
are expected to return from west to east.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 915 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Band of showers/thunderstorms from central OK into
northern TX continues to make steady progress toward
eastern OK this evening. Strongest storms have been
confined to near the Red River and farther south into
TX...and could see some gusty winds develop across far
southeast OK over the next few hours as the MCS propagates
farther east.

Made a few tweaks to PoPs based on current radar trends
but otherwise forecast is in good shape.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...MAINLY TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SLOWLY EAST ACROSS PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATER THIS
EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AGAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. THE OVERALL SEVEREWEATHER THREAT IS LOW...HOWEVER A FEW
CELLS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS. DRY AND WARMER WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM POTENTIALLY IMPACTS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1139 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

OKZ054-055-060-061-066-067-200530-
ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-OKMULGEE OK-
1139 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OKMULGEE...WESTERN
ROGERS...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN
WAGONER AND TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

AT 1139 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPERRY TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF
PRESTON. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
TULSA...                          BROKEN ARROW...
OKMULGEE...                       OWASSO...
BIXBY...                          JENKS...
GLENPOOL...                       COWETA...
SKIATOOK...                       CATOOSA...
COLLINSVILLE...                   VERDIGRIS...
SPERRY...                         OOLOGAH...
VERA...                           STONEBLUFF...
TURLEY...                         ONETA...
LIBERTY...                        HECTORVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 217 AND 244.

LAT...LON 3593 9558 3585 9569 3586 9577 3580 9577
      3566 9597 3600 9603 3607 9603 3607 9605
      3631 9609 3659 9572
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 226DEG 28KT 3627 9604 3577 9595

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
121 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

OKZ067>072-074-200700-
ADAIR OK-MUSKOGEE OK-MCINTOSH OK-HASKELL OK-WAGONER OK-CHEROKEE OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-
121 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN SEQUOYAH...NORTHEASTERN
MCINTOSH...SOUTHERN CHEROKEE...SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER...EASTERN
MUSKOGEE...SOUTHWESTERN ADAIR AND CENTRAL HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 200
AM CDT...

AT 121 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF PUMPKIN CENTER TO 2 MILES EAST OF
GORE TO 4 MILES EAST OF PORUM. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
MUSKOGEE...                       TAHLEQUAH...
SALLISAW...                       STIGLER...
FORT GIBSON...                    WARNER...
VIAN...                           GORE...
PORUM...                          OKAY...
WEBBERS FALLS...                  KEOTA...
WHITEFIELD...                     MARBLE CITY...
BRAGGS...                         TAMAHA...
BUNCH...                          SEQUOYAH STATE PARK...
BRUSHY...                         BRUSHY LAKE STATE PARK...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 IN OKLAHOMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 270 AND
309.

LAT...LON 3552 9471 3521 9488 3528 9545 3530 9545
      3529 9547 3530 9548 3557 9539 3588 9538
      3594 9477
TIME...MOT...LOC 0621Z 272DEG 20KT 3581 9512 3554 9508 3536 9518

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
218 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

OKZ049-053-200800-
PUSHMATAHA OK-CHOCTAW OK-
218 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHOCTAW AND PUSHMATAHA
COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM CDT...

AT 218 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTH OF DUNBAR TO NEAR MESSER TO 5 MILES
SOUTH OF GOODLAND. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
HUGO...                           ANTLERS...
FORT TOWSON...                    SAWYER...
RATTAN...                         HUGO LAKE STATE PARK...
MESSER...                         KENT...
CLOUDY...                         NASHOBA...
KOSOMA...                         SNOW...
RAYMOND GARY STATE PARK...        DUNBAR...
GOODLAND...                       OLETA...
CLAYTON LAKE STATE PARK...        GRANT...
CORINNE...                        DELA...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3389 9546 3387 9550 3389 9551 3388 9554
      3393 9556 3394 9560 3391 9563 3446 9563
      3461 9501 3451 9500 3450 9505 3425 9505
      3424 9515 3394 9516 3396 9523 3389 9526
      3391 9527 3387 9529 3389 9533 3387 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 0718Z 250DEG 27KT 3441 9556 3411 9549 3390 9556