River Flood Warning 25, NWS Topeka, KS

878 
WGUS83 KTOP 251824
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Saline River at Tescott affecting Ottawa and Saline Counties
  Salt Creek near Ada affecting Ottawa County
  Solomon River near Glasco affecting Cloud County
  Solomon River near Niles affecting Dickinson...Ottawa and Saline 
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC143-260224-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160528T2200Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.160525T2022Z.160527T0600Z.160528T1000Z.NO/
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Salt Creek near Ada.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  1:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by early Friday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Flood waters are over one half mile wide 
  over cultivated farm land 3 miles east southeast of the town of 
  Ada.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet...Deck of 50th Road bridge over the Salt Creek
  floods.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor low land flooding along the Salt 
  Creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3916 9793 3915 9778 3908 9768 3906 9769 3914 9793




$$

KSC117-260224-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0025.160525T2015Z-160526T1350Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.160525T2015Z.160526T0000Z.160526T0150Z.NO/
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Thursday morning.
* At 12:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 26.4 feet by this evening.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC027-260224-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160528T0515Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.160525T1205Z.160526T0000Z.160527T1715Z.NO/
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until late Friday night.
* At  1:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding occurs from 
  U.S. Highway 24 to Milford Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC143-169-260224-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0024.160527T1000Z-160529T0130Z/
/TSCK1.1.ER.160527T1000Z.160528T0000Z.160528T1330Z.NO/
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Saline River at Tescott.
* from late Thursday night to Saturday evening.
* At 12:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 26.1 feet by early Saturday morning.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Low lying areas near the river flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3903 9793 3901 9784 3896 9770 3896 9780 3899 9793




$$

KSC029-260224-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160527T1200Z/
/GLAK1.1.ER.160525T1004Z.160525T1400Z.160526T1800Z.NO/
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Glasco.
* until Friday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  river from the Cloud and Mitchell County line to Niles.

&&

LAT...LON 3941 9793 3940 9788 3928 9773 3925 9780 3936 9793




$$

KSC041-143-169-260224-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0021.160526T1549Z-160529T1656Z/
/NLSK1.1.ER.160526T1549Z.160528T0600Z.160529T0456Z.NO/
124 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Niles.
* from Thursday morning to Sunday morning.
* At  1:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.5 feet by early Saturday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Low land flooding continues along the river.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Rural overflow begins around the community 
  of Niles.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Water begins to overflow into the low 
  portion of a cultivated field on the right bank, upstream, adjacent
  to the gage site.


&&

LAT...LON 3902 9767 3905 9761 3899 9747 3893 9736 3888 9736




$$

594 
WGUS83 KTOP 251951
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Saline River at Tescott affecting Ottawa and Saline Counties
  Salt Creek near Ada affecting Ottawa County
  Solomon River near Niles affecting Dickinson...Ottawa and Saline 
  Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County
  Solomon River near Glasco affecting Cloud County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC143-260351-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160529T1254Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.160526T1200Z.160527T1200Z.160529T0054Z.NO/
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Salt Creek near Ada.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  2:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 21.0 feet by Friday early afternoon.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Flood waters are over one half mile wide 
  over cultivated farm land 3 miles east southeast of the town of 
  Ada.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet...Deck of 50th Road bridge over the Salt Creek
  floods.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor low land flooding along the Salt 
  Creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3916 9793 3915 9778 3908 9768 3906 9769 3914 9793




$$

KSC117-260351-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0025.160525T1949Z-160526T1350Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.160525T1921Z.160526T0000Z.160526T0150Z.NO/
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* until Thursday morning.
* At  2:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 26.4 feet by this evening.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC027-260351-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160528T0515Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.160525T1205Z.160526T0000Z.160527T1715Z.NO/
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until late Friday night.
* At  2:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC143-169-260351-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0024.160528T0600Z-160528T1800Z/
/TSCK1.1.ER.160528T0600Z.160528T0600Z.160528T0600Z.NO/
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Saline River at Tescott.
* from late Friday night to Saturday afternoon.
* At  2:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Low lying areas near the river flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3903 9793 3901 9784 3896 9770 3896 9780 3899 9793




$$

KSC029-260351-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160527T1200Z/
/GLAK1.1.ER.160525T1004Z.160525T1400Z.160526T1800Z.NO/
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Glasco.
* until Friday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  river from the Cloud and Mitchell County line to Niles.

&&

LAT...LON 3941 9793 3940 9788 3928 9773 3925 9780 3936 9793




$$

KSC041-143-169-260351-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0021.160526T1600Z-160529T1724Z/
/NLSK1.1.ER.160526T1600Z.160528T0600Z.160529T0524Z.NO/
251 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Niles.
* from Thursday morning to Sunday afternoon.
* At  2:31 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by early Saturday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Low land flooding continues along the river.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Rural overflow begins around the community 
  of Niles.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Water begins to overflow into the low 
  portion of a cultivated field on the right bank, upstream, adjacent
  to the gage site.


&&

LAT...LON 3902 9767 3905 9761 3899 9747 3893 9736 3888 9736




$$

570 
WGUS83 KTOP 260211
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following streams in 
Kansas...

  Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County
  Saline River at Tescott affecting Ottawa and Saline Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas...

  Republican River at Clay Center affecting Clay County
  Salt Creek near Ada affecting Ottawa County
  Solomon River near Glasco affecting Cloud County
  Solomon River near Niles affecting Dickinson...Ottawa and Saline 
  Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas..
  Chapman Creek near Chapman affecting Dickinson County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety Message...Do not drive into flooded areas. Shallow flowing 
water can wash a car from the roadway. Also, the roadbed may be 
washed out under the water.

Stay tuned to later developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio 
and local media.

&&

KSC143-261011-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160529T1301Z/
/ADAK1.2.ER.160526T1215Z.160527T1200Z.160529T0101Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Salt Creek near Ada.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  8:46 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 21.0 feet by Friday early afternoon.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Flood waters are over one half mile wide 
  over cultivated farm land 3 miles east southeast of the town of 
  Ada.

&&

LAT...LON 3916 9793 3915 9778 3908 9768 3906 9769 3914 9793




$$

KSC041-261010-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0026.160526T0600Z-160527T0150Z/
/CHPK1.1.ER.160526T0600Z.160526T1200Z.160526T1350Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chapman Creek near Chapman.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 19.4 feet by Thursday morning.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs from near the town 
  of Industry upstream from Chapman to the Smoky Hill River 
  downstream from Chapman.

&&

LAT...LON 3906 9711 3908 9707 3905 9702 3897 9698 3896 9703




$$

KSC027-261010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160528T0900Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.160525T1205Z.160526T0600Z.160527T2100Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Republican River at Clay Center.
* until late Friday night.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.7 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flooding occurs between 16th...17th and 18th
  Roads and between Limestone and Osage Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9741 3957 9726 3929 9700 3926 9706




$$

KSC029-261010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160527T0315Z/
/GLAK1.1.ER.160525T1004Z.160525T1400Z.160526T0915Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Glasco.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  8:20 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  river from the Cloud and Mitchell County line to Niles.

&&

LAT...LON 3941 9793 3940 9788 3928 9773 3925 9780 3936 9793




$$

KSC041-143-169-261010-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0021.160526T1200Z-160529T1724Z/
/NLSK1.1.ER.160526T1200Z.160527T1800Z.160529T0524Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Solomon River near Niles.
* from Thursday morning to Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:46 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 26.2 feet by Friday evening.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Low land flooding continues along the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3902 9767 3905 9761 3899 9747 3893 9736 3888 9736




$$

KSC117-260241-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160526T1350Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.160525T1941Z.160525T2100Z.160525T2115Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  4:15 PM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 23.9 feet by Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs from 
  Marysville to Tuttle Creek Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 9666 3968 9658 3957 9655 3957 9659 3968 9669




$$

KSC143-169-260241-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160528T1800Z/
/TSCK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Saline River at Tescott.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 24.3 feet 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Low lying areas near the river flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3903 9793 3901 9784 3896 9770 3896 9780 3899 9793




$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Topeka KS
638 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 415 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

At 4 AM Wednesday morning, a large thunderstorm complex continued to
progress east out of the area. A well-developed MCV was present in
northern parts of this storm complex over far SE Nebraska while a
wake low has developed on the back side. This wake low has been
producing gusts up to 50 mph and will continue to do so as it moves
east although it would seem likely to be near its peak intensity
right now. Additional convective showers and storms were developing
in the convergence zone into east central KS, but this area has been
well worked over and do not anticipate anything more than a few
pockets of heavy rain in this area. Another area of thunderstorms
has been persistently developing in association with the LLJ near
the KS/NE border in north central KS. This area of development is
likely to gradually push a weak cold pool a bit south with
development progressively into northern and northeast KS. However,
it will also be making its way into an area of lesser instability
with the effective convective overturning from early this morning,
and expect the storm development to be sub-severe and any associated
outflow likely not very strong.

As the day goes on, the forecast will once again be complex but
there are at least a few moderate confidence elements to grasp on to
in making the forecast. The first is the outflow incoming from the
north which should set up east to west across the area and then wash
out by mid to late afternoon...although some semblance of it may
remain through late day. The second feature of interest has been
consistently forecast by models over the past few days, and that is a
slightly veered flow owing to the passage of a rather strong short
wave early this morning. This veered flow will cause the dryline to
surge east with a dryline bulge into eastern KS. Most indications
are that this dryline bulge will focus into the local forecast area,
probably over the Flint Hills region just west of Emporia and south
of Manhattan. An area of surface low pressure is also expected to
develop into this area. So, as the afternoon progresses, expect
effective heating to lead to a rather unstable airmass across the
forecast area. This instability is likely to be capped for much of
the day though as those veered winds aloft will bring a slightly
stronger EML into the local area.

What this all leads to is a conditional forecast for severe
thunderstorms. The main question will be if the cap can be broken
with only nebulous large scale lifting mechanisms (and even some
potential for weak subsidence aloft), and only modest convergence
along the dryline. IF thunderstorms are able to develop, it would be
in a very unstable environment with effective shear in the 35-40 kt
range which would be more than sufficient for supercells. It also
seems that if storms develop they would remain relatively discrete
owing to the convective inhibition, and would probably not develop
until peak heating. Thus, any storms that are able to develop can be
expected to become severe with very large hail and locally damaging
winds possible. Veered low level winds are not particularly
supportive of tornadoes, but the potential of a weak remnant outflow
boundary along with localized backing depending on the strength of
the surface meso-low in central KS means there is at least some
tornado potential with any long-lived supercell structures. The best
chance for initiation would be along the nose of that dryline bulge
with storm motion being almost due east.

Later tonight, convective coverage is in question, and it may focus
an area of development over far northeast KS where the LLJ
convergence maximizes in an unstable airmass. If this occurs, could
see areas of heavy rain as well as a continued severe weather threat
through the overnight hours.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 415 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

Main focus for the period in terms of severe weather chances reside
on Thursday afternoon and then on Friday afternoon as the open
trough axis lifts through the central plains.  Exact details on
location and timing of convection is still uncertain and dependent
on Wednesday night convection and how quickly it clears which
currently appears during the morning hours. With the system becoming
more negatively tilted during the afternoon on Thursday, winds aloft
are expected to increase while sfc winds back towards the south and
southeast as the sfc low stretches across central KS. The dryline is
the likely trigger for convection to fire in
central KS by late afternoon. These storms are expected to track
eastward towards north central KS during the evening. Second area
for possible convection is along the expected outflow boundary
draped over the area from previous convection. With ample moisture
and available CAPE in excess of 4000 J/KG, it will not take much
forcing to initiate development. By the evening, LLJ increases with
a cluster of storms to center around the warm front near the KS and
NE border. These storms are likely to impact much of the area as the
low level jet veers overnight. Main threats are large hail and
damaging winds. Tornadoes are possible as well,
especially with any discrete cells or in vicinity to a boundary
through early evening. Localized flash flooding is likely given
the excessive rainfall these past few days.

By Friday, upper level dynamics increases as the trough lifts over
central KS, becoming more stacked with the sfc low and attendant
dryline. The dryline is expected to shift east into the CWA,
creating another a decent chance for thunderstorms to develop in the
late afternoon and evening. Shear profiles are sufficient to once
again see all modes of severe weather with decent low level shear
profiles in the early evening near the sfc low over north central
KS.

Highlights for the weekend into mid next week do not change much
from previous forecasts. As upper trough exits northeast Saturday
afternoon, could see additional storms in afternoon. Severe weather
is unlikely as effective shear is pretty weak, less than 20 kts.
Similar scenario is likely from Sunday onward as broad
southwest troughing continues to bring disturbances into the area.
Flash Flooding and River Flooding threats are very high through the
weekend. Rainfall totals through the weekend range from 1-4 inches
or more through Sunday. With little change in airmass, scattered
thunderstorms are possible for each period until perhaps Wednesday
when a cool front may finally bring a relief from the rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 632 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

An outflow boundary and associated showers/storms was just north
of MHK at TAF issuance and moving toward TAF sites. Have
highlighted a few hours this morning at each site for this vrb
wind and shra/ts area. Otherwise VFR conditions are likely with
another chance for strong thunderstorms mainly 23-03Z and some
storm potential through the overnight as well, although with
greater uncertainty in precipitation location and coverage.

&&

.TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Barjenbruch
LONG TERM...Prieto
AVIATION...Barjenbruch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
954 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-261500-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
954 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN NORTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH
THIS MORNING. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THIS MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN
CENTRAL KANSAS AND MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 4 PM AND 7
PM. IF STORMS DEVELOP...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR A FEW OF THEM
TO BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT BUT A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE
GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE BETWEEN 5 PM AND 9 PM.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN KANSAS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT
CLAY CENTER AND THE SOLOMON RIVER AT NILES. MODERATE RIVER
FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR GLASCO ON THE SOLOMON RIVER AND THE SALT
CREEK AT ADA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER
CENTERS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AND THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT THROUGH EARLY EVENING. A FEW
SEVERE STORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN HAZARDS. WITH
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED THIS WEEK...FLOODING WILL
REMAIN A RISK THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
820 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 ENE ADA               39.17N 97.82W
05/25/2016  E2.54 INCH       OTTAWA             KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS TOPEKA KS
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
821 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 N WELLS               39.22N 97.55W
05/25/2016  E2.20 INCH       OTTAWA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

NWS TOPEKA KS
IRIS SYSTEM