River Flood Warning 1, NWS Great Falls, MT

526 
WGUS45 KTFX 111022 CCA
FLWTFX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
421 AM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREAT FALLS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CENTRAL 
MONTANA...

 CLEAR CREEK NEAR CHINOOK 


. GENERAL SYNOPSIS. RECENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS CAUSED SMALL
RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA. CLEAR CREEK NEAR CHINOOK HAS RISEN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN RUNNING HIGH UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.
THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS AND STREAMS CAN BE FOUND 
AT OUR WEB PAGE...WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS

&&

MTC005-120121-
/O.NEW.KTFX.FL.W.0007.160511T1021Z-160513T1500Z/
/CCMM8.1.RS.160511T0927Z.160511T1200Z.160513T0900Z.UU/
421 AM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREAT FALLS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CLEAR CREEK AT CHINOOK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 6.0 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4835 10950 4858 10944 4859 10938 4853 10935 4835 10940

$$

020 
WGUS85 KTFX 120129
FLSTFX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
729 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

...Observed flooding changed from Minor to Nonflood severity for the 
following rivers in Montana...
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Minor severity for the 
following rivers in Montana...
  Clear Creek at Chinook affecting Blaine County
 Clear Creek near Chinook 


. General synopsis. This first line must begin with a period! Then 
put hydrometeorological reasoning/conditions here. Include items such
as the potential impact of the flooding and relevant factors such as 
synoptic conditions, soil conditions, quantitative precip forecasts. 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around...Don't Drown. Motorists should not attempt to drive 
through water flowing over the road.


The latest stages and forecasts for rivers and streams can be found 
at our web page...water.weather.gov/ahps

&&

MTC005-121629-
/O.EXT.KTFX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160514T0000Z/
/CCMM8.1.RS.160511T0927Z.160511T1515Z.160513T1800Z.UU/
729 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Clear Creek at Chinook.
* until Friday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 5.6 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Friday early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4835 10950 4858 10944 4859 10938 4853 10935 4835 10940

$$

026 
WGUS85 KTFX 120135
FLSTFX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
735 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREAT FALLS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA...

 CLEAR CREEK NEAR CHINOOK   

. GENERAL SYNOPSIS. RECENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS CAUSED SMALL
RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA. CLEAR CREEK NEAR CHINOOK HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE
BUT IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AGAIN ON THURSDAY. IT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN RUNNING HIGH UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around...Don't Drown. Motorists should not attempt to drive 
through water flowing over the road.


The latest stages and forecasts for rivers and streams can be found 
at our web page...water.weather.gov/ahps

&&

MTC005-121635-
/O.CON.KTFX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160514T0000Z/
/CCMM8.1.RS.160511T0927Z.160511T1515Z.160513T1800Z.UU/
735 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Clear Creek at Chinook.
* until Friday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Thursday and continue to
  rise to near 5.6 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Friday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4835 10950 4858 10944 4859 10938 4853 10935 4835 10940


$$

487 
WGUS85 KTFX 121557
FLSTFX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
957 AM MDT THU MAY 12 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Montana...

  Clear Creek at Chinook affecting Blaine County
For the Clear Creek, including Chinook, no flooding is observed or 
forecast.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around...Don't Drown. Motorists should not attempt to drive 
through water flowing over the road.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your local television or radio 
stationfor the latest information.



&

&&

MTC005-121627-
/O.CAN.KTFX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160514T0000Z/
/CCMM8.1.RS.160511T0927Z.160511T1515Z.160511T2115Z.UU/
957 AM MDT THU MAY 12 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Clear Creek at Chinook.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  3:15 PM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 4.2 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4835 10950 4858 10944 4859 10938 4853 10935 4835 10940

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
357 AM MDT WED MAY 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW TO MONTANA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST TODAY. RESIDUAL SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF
THE GREAT FALLS FORECAST AREA WILL LINGER INTO THE MORNING HOURS
BUT ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST BY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
LEAVE MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING BACK INTO THE 50S.
HOWEVER, THE NEXT DISTURBANCE WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS BY
EVENING WITH ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER THE
MOUNTAINS NEAR GLACIER PARK. THE DISTURBANCE SWEEPS ACROSS THE
REGION ON THURSDAY BRINGING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONALLY, A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO MONTANA FROM SASKATCHEWAN FOR A RETURN TO SOMEWHAT COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM THIS WAVE WILL
PERSIST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. MPJ

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AN UNSETTLED SPLIT FLOW PATTERN
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF NEAR-AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST MT. STARTING FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A WEAKENING BAROCLINIC ZONE UNDERNEATH A RIGHT-
FRONT JET ENTRANCE REGION ALOFT WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES
OREGON/IDAHO AND BRINGS A MORE ORGANIZED PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST MT. FORECAST TRAJECTORIES AND TIMING
FOR THIS WAVE BEGIN TO DIVERGE SUNDAY NIGHT...REQUIRING A BROADER
SPREAD OF POPS INTO CENTRAL MT THROUGH MONDAY.  OVERALL GUIDANCE IS
TRENDING DRIER THAN CLIMATOLOGY FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. BY
WEDNESDAY...ATTENTION BEGINS TO TURN UPSTREAM TO SIGNS OF A STRONG
CUT-OFF LOW NEARING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. PN

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 0555Z.

IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE AT KLWT...WITH GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS PERSIST AT KBZN WITH GRADUAL
CLEARING...BUT WITH ENOUGH CONFIDENCE IN SURFACE FOG TO CARRY AS A
TEMPO GROUP BY EARLY MORNING. HOWEVER...DRY AIR MOVING TOWARDS KBZN
COULD LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND MITIGATE THE FOG POTENTIAL...SO
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVERNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT OTHER
TERMINALS WITH AREAS OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS. PN

&&

.HYDROLOGY...HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS CENTRAL MONTANA HAS
CAUSED SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE. CLEAR CREEK NEAR
CHINOOK HAS RISEN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND A NEW FLOOD PRODUCT WILL
BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  54  37  58  34 /  10  10  30  40
CTB  57  35  51  32 /  10  20  40  60
HLN  58  39  67  40 /  10  10  20  20
BZN  54  35  67  38 /  10  10  10  20
WEY  45  30  56  34 /  10  10  10  10
DLN  55  35  68  39 /  10   0  10  10
HVR  57  34  52  32 /  10  10  30  50
LWT  49  34  57  33 /  20  10  20  50

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS