Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 35, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 1, 2016Manatee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Sep 1, 2016, 2:27 AM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 1, 2016, 2:27 AM EDT (06:27 UTC)
Expired: Sep 1, 2016, 10:44 PM EDT
In force: 20 hr
Issued by: NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Manatee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manatee River at Rye Bridge (RYEF1).

Action stage: 10 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 12.8 ft
Major stage: 15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 023000095, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

838 
WGUS42 KTBW 010627
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
227 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the 
following rivers...

  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 

.Heavy rain from Wednesday brought a sharp rise on the Manatee River at
Rye Bridge. The river is now in a flood status.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-011824-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0035.160901T0627Z-160901T1824Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1200Z.160901T1224Z.NO/
227 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* From early this morning until this afternoon.
* At 1 AM Thursday the stage was...11.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet by this morning. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage this morning.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Sep 7 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  11.1  Thu 01 AM   6.5    4.7    3.7    2.8    2.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

5 follow-up statements

568 
WGUS82 KTBW 010844
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

.Tropical Storm Hermine is expected to bring more heavy rain across the region
today. Minor to moderate flooding is expected on numerous rivers across the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-012144-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160906T0336Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T0000Z.160905T2136Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday evening.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 28 
  1953.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.4  Thu 04 AM  14.2   16.2   16.3   15.4   13.7


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160905T2145Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T0815Z.160902T1200Z.160905T1545Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From early this morning through Monday afternoon.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd 
  streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 feet on Aug 14 
  1967.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.8  Thu 04 AM  13.9   15.8   15.6   14.4   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.160901T0841Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0825Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From early this morning through further notice.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise 
  to near 9.3 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Sep 21 
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.0  Thu 04 AM   7.2    8.6    9.3    9.2    8.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160903T1000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1000Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Saturday morning through further notice.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue to rise to
  near 9.3 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Oct 9 
  1975.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   5.0  Thu 04 AM   5.2    6.9    8.1    8.8    9.1


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC081-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T0200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0000Z.160903T2000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet on Jul 25 
  1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  11.8  Thu 04 AM  13.0   13.4   11.8    9.5    7.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-011824-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160901T1824Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T0815Z.160901T1224Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until this afternoon.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this morning.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Oct 3 
  2007.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  11.8  Thu 04 AM  11.1    6.5    4.7    3.7    2.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC049-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160903T1459Z-160905T0800Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160903T1459Z.160904T0000Z.160905T0200Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From late Saturday morning through late Sunday night.
* At 03 AM Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 16.2 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.2 feet on Jul 4 
  2002.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  11.9  Thu 03 AM  11.9   14.3   15.9   16.2   15.6


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160905T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160905T0300Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Sunday before midnight through further notice.
* At 03 AM Thursday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday before midnight and continue to 
  rise to near 11.4 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Aug 9 
  2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   7.1  Thu 03 AM   7.6    8.7    9.8   10.6   11.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160904T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160904T1200Z.160905T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 03 AM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 18 
  2000.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0   9.9  Thu 03 AM   9.5    9.5   10.4   12.0   12.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160903T0500Z-160904T2000Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160903T0500Z.160903T1800Z.160904T1400Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From early Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.6 feet on Jun 24 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  12.2  Thu 04 AM  13.9   17.9   20.5   20.1   18.7


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$
DJN

116 
WGUS82 KTBW 011052
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
652 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 

.Gauges downstream of Manatee Dam have risen abruptly from outflow
due to excessive rainfall over the last 36 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-012030-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160901T2030Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1015Z.160901T1430Z.NO/
652 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until this afternoon.
* At 06 AM Thursday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Oct 3 
  2007.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  12.0  Thu 06 AM  12.0    6.5    4.1    3.2    2.3


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$
DJN

975 
WGUS82 KTBW 011346
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Tropical Storm Hermine is expected to bring more heavy rain across the region
today through tomorrow. Minor to Moderate flooding is expected on a majority 
of our rivers across the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by Saturday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Dec 28 
  1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.9  Thu 09 AM  16.7   17.5   16.8   15.3   13.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021346-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1302Z.160903T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From late this morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise 
  to near 16.0 feet by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd 
  streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.1 feet on Jun 19 
  1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.0  Thu 09 AM  15.4   16.0   15.4   13.9   11.0


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-021346-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet on Jul 4 
  1974.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Thu 09 AM   8.7    9.4    9.4    8.9    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160904T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160904T0900Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 8.7 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.7 feet on Aug 6 
  1975.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   5.2  Thu 09 AM   6.1    7.3    8.1    8.6    8.7


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC081-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1912Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0600Z.160904T1312Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Low sections of State Road 64 start to flood.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.2 feet on Jun 17 
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.1  Thu 09 AM  14.2   13.1   11.1    9.1    7.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-020300-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160902T0300Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1300Z.160901T2100Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until this evening.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 12.8 feet...Water reaches the roadbed of the Old Rye Bridge.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Oct 3 
  2007.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  12.2  Thu 09 AM   8.7    7.1    6.5    5.6    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC049-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1017Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1017Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tomorrow morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to
  near 18.6 feet by Saturday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.7 feet on Sep 29 
  1953.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  13.0  Thu 09 AM  16.2   18.6   18.3   17.4   16.6


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160903T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T2000Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Saturday afternoon through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 12.7 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen 
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Feb 27 
  1942.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   7.6  Thu 09 AM   9.2   10.6   11.7   12.5   12.7


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160901T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2000Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From late this afternoon through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  to near 13.6 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Aug 14 
  1959.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.1  Thu 09 AM  13.0   13.6   13.5   13.2   12.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160904T0000Z-160904T1200Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160904T0000Z.160904T0000Z.160904T0600Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Saturday evening through Sunday morning.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and 
  continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 feet on Jul 28 
  1964.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  12.4  Thu 09 AM  15.7   19.3   19.9   18.7   17.5


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$
DJN

020 
WGUS82 KTBW 011803
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
203 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 

.Areas downstream of Manatee Dam continue to rise from outflow due to excessive 
rainfall over the last two days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-020846-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160902T0846Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1800Z.160902T0246Z.NO/
203 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until late tonight.
* At 01 PM Thursday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 12.8 feet...Water reaches the roadbed of the Old Rye Bridge.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Oct 3 
  2007.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  12.5  Thu 01 PM   9.1    6.3    5.2    4.1    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$
DJN

402 
WGUS82 KTBW 020244
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Manatee River At Rye Bridge... 

...The Flood Warning has been extended or continues for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Alafia River At Riverview 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Anclote River At Elfers 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Tropical rain from Hurricane Hermine brought or will bring flooding 
to many area rivers and creeks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160907T0300Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T0600Z.160906T2100Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by early Saturday morning. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.3 feet on Feb 21 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  15.6  Thu 10 PM  16.6   17.3   16.7   15.3   13.6


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021359-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0036.160902T0236Z-160902T1359Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.160901T1951Z.160902T0600Z.160902T0759Z.NR/
1044 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From after just midnight through Friday morning.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 3.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue and Park 
  Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.5 feet on Jun 6 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   3.4  Thu 10 PM   3.1    2.4    2.3    2.3    2.1


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC057-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160906T2125Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T0000Z.160906T1525Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.9 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd 
  streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet on Sep 19 
  1947.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  13.0  Thu 10 PM  15.1   15.9   15.4   14.0   11.4


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-021544-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.4 feet by Saturday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 feet on Oct 6 
  1957.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.8  Thu 10 PM   8.5    9.3    9.3    8.9    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-021544-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160904T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160904T0900Z.160907T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 9.1 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Mar 20 
  1983.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   5.7  Thu 10 PM   6.2    7.4    8.1    8.6    8.7


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC081-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1800Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0600Z.160904T1200Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet by just after midnight. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Dec 28 
  1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.3  Thu 10 PM  13.6   12.8   11.0    9.2    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-020314-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160902T0846Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1830Z.160902T0032Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Sep 7 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  10.6  Thu 10 PM   9.0    6.3    5.3    4.2    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC049-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1715Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1715Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tomorrow early afternoon through further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 18.3 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.4 feet on Nov 14 
  1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  13.7  Thu 09 PM  15.3   18.0   18.2   17.4   16.9


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160904T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160904T0900Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 12.4 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 22 
  1934.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   8.1  Thu 09 PM   8.9   10.0   11.1   12.1   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-021544-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2337Z.160903T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.9 feet by early Saturday morning 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Aug 25 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.1  Thu 09 PM  12.5   12.9   12.9   12.6   12.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160904T1200Z-160905T0600Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160904T1200Z.160904T1800Z.160905T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Sunday morning through late Sunday night.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue
  to rise to near 20.1 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 feet on Jul 28 
  1964.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  11.9  Thu 10 PM  15.3   18.6   20.0   19.7   18.5


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 1, 1:56 AM EDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 1, 1:56 AM EDT, 31 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
156 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

.AVIATION...
Periods of MVFR/IFR conditions will impact the terminal sites
during the next 24 hours as bands of rain with embedded
thunderstorms associated with Tropical Storm Hermine move across
the region region. Outside of the convection marginal VFR will
prevail. Southeast to south winds in the 10 to 15 knot range
early this morning will increase to 15 to 20 knots after 14Z with
gusts up to 35 knots possible after 18Z especially in the vicinity
of tsra.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 936 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016/

UPDATE...
Deep tropical moisture (PW 2.41 inches) continues to stream into
the forecast area this evening on the eastern side of tropical
storm Hermine located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. This
deep layered moisture combined with good low level convergence and
a well defined upper level diffluence maxima noted well to the
northeast of Hermine will continue to support a very efficient
rain making process with heavy to excessive rainfall totals
expected to continue across the region the remainder of tonight
into Thursday with an increasing threat for flooding. Given this
along with 88D trends will bump up rain chances some across
central and southern zones in a mid evening update. Other than
this no other changes planned at this time. In addition to the
heavy rain increasing wind shear within the atmosphere may also
bring an increased threat of rotating storms with a marginal risk
for a few tornadoes or marine waterspouts to the area overnight
into Thursday morning and will need to monitor conditions
overnight.

AVIATION...
Periods of MVFR/IFR will continue to affect the terminal sites the
rest of tonight as areas of rain with isolated thunderstorms move
across the region. Outside of the convection marginal VFR will
prevail. Southeast to south winds around 10 knots can be expected
overnight increasing to 12 to 15 knots after 14Z on Thursday with
gusts up to 35 knots possible in vicinity of tsra and squalls.

MARINE...
Winds and seas will continue to increase the remainder of tonight
as tropical storm Hermine moves slowly north with very hazardous
boating conditions developing. Tropical Storm warning and
hurricane watch headlines will remain in effect from Tarpon
Springs north to the Suwannee River with Small Craft headlines across
the remainder of the waters. Increasing southerly and building
seas will bring high surf and a high risk to rip currents along
area beaches as well through Thursday.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  85  78  84  78 /  70  70  70  50
FMY  88  79  89  77 /  60  50  40  30
GIF  86  77  85  76 /  70  50  50  30
SRQ  87  81  86  78 /  70  70  60  50
BKV  84  77  83  76 /  70  70  70  50
SPG  85  79  85  78 /  80  80  70  50

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Flood Watch through Friday evening for Coastal Citrus-
     Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Levy-
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-Inland
     Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland
     Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-
     Pinellas-Sumter.

     High Surf Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-
     Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco-Inland Citrus-Inland
     Hernando-Inland Levy-Inland Pasco.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-
     Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco.

Gulf waters...Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
     Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for
     Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
     Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to
     Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to
     Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

AVIATION...57/McMichael

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 31, 5:22 AM EDT, 21 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
522 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-311630-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
522 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING INTO THE REGION
WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AS THE STORMS MOVE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST
AROUND 20 MPH. REMEMBER IF LIGHTNING IS OBSERVED OR THUNDER IS
HEARD MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT
ESPECIALLY WHERE THE TRAINING OF STORMS OCCUR OVER THE
SAME AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH WILL PRODUCE FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS THE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION IF ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
AN INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ALONG WITH
BUILDING SEAS AND INCREASING SURF WILL CREATE A HIGH RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

TO AVOID GETTING CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES
AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL.  AT UNGUARDED BEACHES AND
NEAR PIERS...JETTIES...AND INLETS...DO NOT GO INTO THE SURF MUCH
ABOVE YOUR KNEES.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH
BUILDING SEAS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HEADLINES HAVE BEEN
POSTED FOR THE NEAR AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS SOUTH
TO BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM WHICH INCLUDES THE TAMPA BAY AND
CHARLOTTE HARBOR WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. FISHERMEN AND OTHER
SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS INTO THE GULF
UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
INCREASING WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BRING AN
INCREASED RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AND
INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM IS THEN
FORECAST TO MOVE TO NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE AND ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THURSDAY NIGHT. COPIOUS AMOUNTS
OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY
ESPECIALLY ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM TAMPA NORTH INTO THE
NATURE COAST WHERE AN INCREASED THREAT OF FLOODING WILL EXIST AS
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND STORMS MOVE OVER THE REGION. AT THE
PRESENT TIME WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH 6 TO 10 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG
COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM SAINT PETERSBURG NORTH TO CEDAR KEY.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING THREAT INCREASING WIND
SHEAR WITHIN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BRING AN INCREASED RISK OF
TORNADOES LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE TROPICAL STORM
APPROACHES FLORIDA. THE INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW
WILL ALSO SUPPORT AN INCREASING STORM SURGE THREAT ALONG THE
COAST...WITH THE HIGHEST STORM SURGE LIKELY TO FOCUS ALONG THE
NATURE COAST FROM HOMOSASSA NORTH TO CEDAR KEY CLOSEST TO THE
TRACK OF THE STORM DURING LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO HELP TO BUILD SEAS
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE GULF WATERS...WHICH IN TURN WILL LEAD TO
VERY HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS. THE
BUILDING SURF AND WAVE ACTION ALONG AREA BEACHES WILL SUPPORT A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH THURSDAY. ALL
RESIDENT...VISITORS AND MARINERS IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES BEING ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

MCMICHAEL

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 31, 8:47 PM EDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
847 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLOOD            2 N SARASOTA            27.37N 82.55W
08/31/2016                   SARASOTA           FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOOD WATERS CAUSED RESIDENTS TO BE EVACUATED FROM THEIR
            HOMES IN SARASOTA NEAR 40TH STREET AND COCOANUT AVENUE.

&&

FLEMING

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 1, 5:27 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		33 min
Sep 1, 5:42 AM EDT	Coastal Flood Advisory	TBW	Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota	8 hr
Sep 1, 9:54 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Hillsborough	24 hr
Sep 1, 11:44 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		91 min
Sep 1, 11:53 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pinellas, Sarasota	52 min
Sep 1, 12:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota	62 min
Sep 1, 1:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Hillsborough, Pasco	52 min
Sep 1, 1:20 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		55 min
Sep 1, 1:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Citrus, Hernando, Hillsborough, Levy, Pasco	55 min
Sep 1, 2:13 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Hernando, Pasco, Sumter	32 min
Sep 1, 2:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	44 min
Sep 1, 3:18 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Hernando, Pasco	17 min
Sep 1, 5:27 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Hernando, Pasco	16 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2016 Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.