River Flood Warning 23, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

997 
WGUS82 KTBW 130139
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Heavy rain has caused minor flooding on several rivers across west
central Florida.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-131439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160813T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160813T0100Z.160813T1200Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on Aug 21 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.3  Fri 09 PM  13.0   11.0    8.5    6.6    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-131438-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T1000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T0000Z.160815T0400Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From after midnight tonight through Monday morning.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage after midnight tonight and
  continue to rise to near 11.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet on Jul 29 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.8  Fri 09 PM  11.3   11.6   10.4    8.5    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-131438-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0130Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0115Z.160813T1930Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.2  Fri 09 PM  12.0    8.8    7.0    6.0    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-131438-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160814T0000Z.160816T0000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Monday night.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The river
  is expected to fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.0 feet on Sep 2 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.2  Fri 09 PM   7.2    7.3    7.1    6.9    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

105 
WGUS82 KTBW 131150
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Several West Central Florida rivers remain in flood stage as a result of daily heavy rainfall
over the last week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-141150-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T0900Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160814T0000Z.160815T0300Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.4 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 8 
  2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.9  Sat 07 AM  14.0   12.3    9.7    7.2    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-141149-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160814T1800Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160812T0915Z.160814T1200Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From this evening through Sunday afternoon.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue 
  to rise to near 11.1 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river is expected to
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet on Jul 29 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.8  Sat 07 AM  11.0   10.3    8.4    6.6    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-140600-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0600Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0000Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until late tonight.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.0  Sat 07 AM   8.8    7.0    5.9    5.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-141149-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160813T1200Z.160816T0600Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by this morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Aug 2 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sat 07 AM   7.3    7.2    6.9    6.6    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-141149-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T1800Z-160817T1500Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T1800Z.160815T1800Z.160817T0900Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow early afternoon through Wednesday morning.
* At 06 AM Saturday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 11.6 feet by Monday evening. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.6 feet on Aug 15 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   9.7  Sat 06 AM  10.7   11.5   11.5   10.9    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
DJN

729 
WGUS82 KTBW 131512
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Numerous West Central Florida rivers remain in flood stage as a result of heavy
rainfall over this last week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160814T0000Z.160815T1200Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29 
  2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.0  Sat 10 AM  14.0   13.0   11.5    9.7    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T0900Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T0600Z.160815T0300Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From this afternoon through late Sunday night.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue
  to rise to near 11.3 feet after midnight tonight. The river is expected to
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Sep 17 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.9  Sat 10 AM  11.3   10.5    9.0    7.2    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-140640-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0640Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0040Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for 
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until late tonight.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river has already crested and is expected to fall below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compared to a previous crest of 13.5 feet on Sep 10 
  2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.5  Sat 10 AM   9.3    7.4    6.2    5.5    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160813T1800Z.160815T1800Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Monday evening.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Aug 2 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sat 10 AM   7.3    7.1    6.8    6.6    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T2000Z-160817T1800Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T2000Z.160816T0000Z.160817T1200Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.6 feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet on Sep 23 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   9.8  Sat 10 AM  10.6   11.4   11.5   11.0   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
DJN

056 
WGUS82 KTBW 140117
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Florida... 

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Several rivers in remain above flood stage due to the heavy
rainfall during the past week. The Manatee River at Myakka Head has
fallen below flood stage this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-141416-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T1600Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160814T0600Z.160815T1000Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by after midnight
  tomorrow. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State
  Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0
  feet on Aug 21 2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.0  Sat 08 PM  14.0   12.9   11.4    9.5    8.0

&&

LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218

$$

FLC057-141416-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T1800Z.160815T0600Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Monday morning.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.8 feet by tomorrow early
  afternoon. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday
  morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.4  Sat 08 PM  11.7   10.5    8.5    6.7    5.9


&&

LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231

$$

FLC115-141416-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160814T0015Z.160816T0000Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Monday night.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
  Myakka State Park flood.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sat 08 PM   7.3    7.1    6.9    6.6    6.5

&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226

$$

FLC027-141415-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T1800Z-160817T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T1800Z.160815T1200Z.160817T0000Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow early afternoon through late Tuesday night.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to  rise above flood stage by tomorrow early
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 11.4 feet by Monday early
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0
  feet on Sep 23 2015.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.1  Sat 08 PM  10.7   11.4   11.2   10.7    9.9

&&

LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  

$$

FLC081-140146-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0640Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160813T2355Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until late tonight.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream
  flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9
  feet on Sep 18 2015.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  10.9  Sat 08 PM   9.6    7.0    5.9    5.4    5.0

&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  

$$

299 
WGUS82 KTBW 141338
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
938 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 

.Several rivers across West Central Florida remain in flood stage as a result
of heavy rainfall this past week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-150800-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T0800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160813T2015Z.160815T0200Z.NO/
938 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until late tonight.
* At 09 AM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river has crested and is expected to fall below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compared to a previous crest of 14.1 feet on Aug 27 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.6  Sun 09 AM  12.5   11.1    9.5    8.0    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-151200-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T1300Z.160815T0600Z.NO/
938 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Monday morning.
* At 09 AM Sunday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on Oct 04 
  2007.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  12.0  Sun 09 AM  10.5    8.8    7.2    6.3    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-151338-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160818T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160814T1315Z.160818T1200Z.NO/
938 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Jun 28 
  1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sun 09 AM   7.2    7.1    7.1    7.0    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-151338-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T2100Z-160817T1800Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T2100Z.160815T1200Z.160817T1200Z.NO/
938 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From late this afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.
* At 08 AM Sunday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.4 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.33 feet on Aug 09 
  2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.5  Sun 08 AM  11.4   11.4   11.0   10.4    9.7


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
djn

598 
WGUS82 KTBW 150209
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1009 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Summer rains have brought several area rivers and creeks into a minor flood
status. The high water levels will fluculate depending on additional rainfall
for the next few days.   

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-151509-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T2230Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T1300Z.160815T1630Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.7 feet on Sep 22 
  1977.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.7  Sun 09 PM  11.3   10.0    9.1    8.4    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-151508-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160819T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160815T0100Z.160819T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At the Myakka River State Park
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Jul 26 
  1968.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sun 09 PM   7.3    7.2    7.1    7.0    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-151508-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160817T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160815T0600Z.160816T0000Z.160817T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From just after midnight through late Tuesday night.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 10.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage just after midnight and
  continue to rise to near 11.3 feet by Monday evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Mar 29 
  1970.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.8  Sun 09 PM  11.2   11.2   10.8   10.2    9.6


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC057-150239-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T0800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160813T2015Z.160814T2230Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alafia River At Lithia.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 12.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.0 feet on Jul 21 
  1959.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  12.8  Sun 09 PM  12.2   10.8    9.8    8.9    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
953 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

.MORNING UPDATE...
Light winds will become easterly to southeasterly by this
afternoon with increasing clouds. Much like yesterday,
thunderstorms should develop first along the Florida Atlantic
coast, then drift westward through the early to mid afternoon
hours. Storms look to increase in coverage, especially as the east
and west coast seabreezes collide late this afternoon across west-
central Florida and the Florida gulf coast. Storms will be slow
moving again, and could lead to some localized minor flooding in
areas that have received heavy rains over the last two days. A
strong storm or two may also occur with strong winds and frequent
lightning. A period of stratiform rain will likely develop this
evening into the first part of tonight as storms gradually move
offshore.

PoPs were adjusted through this evening to more closely resemble
convective evolution from yesterday and the day before. Minor
adjustments to temps and winds were also made. Otherwise, the
forecast looks to be largely on track.

&&

.AVIATION(12z TAFs)...
Scattered low stratus and some very patchy fog may persist for
the next couple of hours, before lifting as surface heating
commences. Thereafter, expect scattered VFR ceilings through much
of the early to mid afternoon. Much like the past two days,
scattered thunderstorms will erupt over central Florida and move
westward through the late afternoon and evening, with potential to
affect all terminals in the 20z to 00z timeframe. Will maintain
VCTS for this threat. Local vsby restrictions may briefly fall
into the IFR/LIFR category with stronger storms, which will also
be accompanied by gusty winds and lightning. Storms should move
offshore this evening, though lingering light rain may continue
through around 04z Saturday, especially for terminals nearer the
coast.

&&

MARINE...
Bermuda high pressure will hold over the region through the
weekend and into next week with persistent east to southeast
winds. Winds are expected to increase with an easterly surge in
the evening and overnight hours to bump seas a bit then daily
afternoon seabreezes near the coast. Late afternoon through
evening thunderstorms at the coast to move offshore overnight and
marine storms may locally enhance winds and seas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Seasonably high moisture content will result in daily chances for
rain, and prevent humidities from reaching critical levels.
Therefore, no fire weather concerns are expected into next week.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  91  77  93  76 /  60  50  40  40
FMY  92  76  92  76 /  60  30  40  20
GIF  93  75  93  75 /  50  30  30  10
SRQ  90  76  91  76 /  50  40  40  30
BKV  92  74  93  73 /  70  50  30  30
SPG  90  78  92  77 /  50  50  40  40

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...84/Austin
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
DECISION SUPPORT...09/Rude

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
515 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-130200-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
515 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 75
CORRIDOR. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A PRETTY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL CONTINUE WITH SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS... LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PRC