Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

August 12, 2016Manatee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Aug 12, 2016, 6:12 AM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It took effect at Aug 12, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 43 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 12, 2016, 6:12 AM EDT (10:12 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 12, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT
Expired
Aug 14, 2016, 4:00 AM EDT
In force
43 hr
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Manatee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64 (MKHF1). The gauge peaked at 13.45 ft at Aug 13, 2016, 1:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate101508/1208/1308/1408/15
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02299950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

125 
WGUS42 KTBW 121012
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
612 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the 
following rivers...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

.Heavy rain over the past couple of days has caused an abrupt rise in water levels 
on the Little Manatee River At Myakka Head. The river is forecasted to reach flood
stage early Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-122312-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0022.160812T1300Z-160814T0800Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1300Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0200Z.NO/
612 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From this morning until late Saturday night.
* At 05 AM Friday the stage was...10.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 11.8 feet by after midnight tomorrow.the river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.8 feet on Aug 5 
  1969.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  10.7  Fri 05 AM  11.8   10.0    7.9    6.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$
DJN
7 follow-up statements
711 
WGUS82 KTBW 121437
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1037 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.With heavy rainfall over the last couple of days, several rivers across the
area have reached flood stage. Abrupt river rises occured this morning on the 
Manatee River Near Myakka Head as a result from steady rain overnight. Afternoon 
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening has the potential to exaccerbate
the ongoing threat.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-131437-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160814T1500Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0900Z.NO/
1037 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet on Jul 29 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.0  Fri 10 AM  11.3   10.9    9.7    8.3    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-131436-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0000Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0000Z.160813T1800Z.NO/
1037 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  11.9  Fri 09 AM  11.8    8.9    7.0    6.0    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-131436-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160813T0000Z.160816T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Monday night.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by this evening. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.0 feet on Aug 2 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.2  Fri 10 AM   7.3    7.3    7.1    6.9    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
DJN
701 
WGUS82 KTBW 121606
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1206 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

.With heavy rainfall over the last couple of days, several rivers across the
area have reached flood stage. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms this 
afternoon and evening has the potential to exaccerbate the ongoing threat.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-131606-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0000Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0000Z.160813T1800Z.NO/
1206 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.4  Fri 11 AM  11.8    8.9    7.0    6.0    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$
995 
WGUS82 KTBW 121710
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
110 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

.The Myakka River Near Myakka Head has continued to respond quickly to rainfall 
that fell overnight. The river is forecasted to rise at least another foot before
cresting.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-131710-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T1500Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0900Z.NO/
110 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 12 PM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Aug 26 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.6  Fri 12 PM  13.4   10.7    8.7    7.2    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$
997 
WGUS82 KTBW 130139
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Heavy rain has caused minor flooding on several rivers across west
central Florida.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-131439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160813T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160813T0100Z.160813T1200Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on Aug 21 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.3  Fri 09 PM  13.0   11.0    8.5    6.6    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-131438-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T1000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T0000Z.160815T0400Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From after midnight tonight through Monday morning.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage after midnight tonight and
  continue to rise to near 11.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet on Jul 29 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.8  Fri 09 PM  11.3   11.6   10.4    8.5    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-131438-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0130Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0115Z.160813T1930Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.2  Fri 09 PM  12.0    8.8    7.0    6.0    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-131438-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160814T0000Z.160816T0000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Monday night.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The river
  is expected to fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.0 feet on Sep 2 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.2  Fri 09 PM   7.2    7.3    7.1    6.9    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
105 
WGUS82 KTBW 131150
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Several West Central Florida rivers remain in flood stage as a result of daily heavy rainfall
over the last week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-141150-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T0900Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160814T0000Z.160815T0300Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.4 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 8 
  2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.9  Sat 07 AM  14.0   12.3    9.7    7.2    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-141149-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160814T1800Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160812T0915Z.160814T1200Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From this evening through Sunday afternoon.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue 
  to rise to near 11.1 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river is expected to
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet on Jul 29 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.8  Sat 07 AM  11.0   10.3    8.4    6.6    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-140600-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0600Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0000Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until late tonight.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.0  Sat 07 AM   8.8    7.0    5.9    5.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-141149-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160813T1200Z.160816T0600Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 07 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by this morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Aug 2 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sat 07 AM   7.3    7.2    6.9    6.6    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-141149-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T1800Z-160817T1500Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T1800Z.160815T1800Z.160817T0900Z.NO/
750 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow early afternoon through Wednesday morning.
* At 06 AM Saturday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 11.6 feet by Monday evening. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.6 feet on Aug 15 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   9.7  Sat 06 AM  10.7   11.5   11.5   10.9    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
DJN
729 
WGUS82 KTBW 131512
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Numerous West Central Florida rivers remain in flood stage as a result of heavy
rainfall over this last week. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160814T0000Z.160815T1200Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4 feet on Aug 29 
  2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.0  Sat 10 AM  14.0   13.0   11.5    9.7    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T0900Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T0600Z.160815T0300Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From this afternoon through late Sunday night.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue
  to rise to near 11.3 feet after midnight tonight. The river is expected to
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Sep 17 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.9  Sat 10 AM  11.3   10.5    9.0    7.2    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-140640-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0640Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160814T0040Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for 
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until late tonight.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river has already crested and is expected to fall below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compared to a previous crest of 13.5 feet on Sep 10 
  2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.5  Sat 10 AM   9.3    7.4    6.2    5.5    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160813T1800Z.160815T1800Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Monday evening.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.3 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Aug 2 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sat 10 AM   7.3    7.1    6.8    6.6    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-141512-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T2000Z-160817T1800Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T2000Z.160816T0000Z.160817T1200Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.6 feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet on Sep 23 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   9.8  Sat 10 AM  10.6   11.4   11.5   11.0   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
DJN
056 
WGUS82 KTBW 140117
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Florida... 

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Several rivers in remain above flood stage due to the heavy
rainfall during the past week. The Manatee River at Myakka Head has
fallen below flood stage this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-141416-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160815T1600Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160812T2050Z.160814T0600Z.160815T1000Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by after midnight
  tomorrow. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State
  Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0
  feet on Aug 21 2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.0  Sat 08 PM  14.0   12.9   11.4    9.5    8.0

&&

LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218

$$

FLC057-141416-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160815T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.160812T0315Z.160814T1800Z.160815T0600Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Monday morning.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.8 feet by tomorrow early
  afternoon. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday
  morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.4  Sat 08 PM  11.7   10.5    8.5    6.7    5.9


&&

LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231

$$

FLC115-141416-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160816T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160811T1200Z.160814T0015Z.160816T0000Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Monday night.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
  Myakka State Park flood.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Sat 08 PM   7.3    7.1    6.9    6.6    6.5

&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226

$$

FLC027-141415-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0024.160814T1800Z-160817T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160814T1800Z.160815T1200Z.160817T0000Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow early afternoon through late Tuesday night.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to  rise above flood stage by tomorrow early
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 11.4 feet by Monday early
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0
  feet on Sep 23 2015.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.1  Sat 08 PM  10.7   11.4   11.2   10.7    9.9

&&

LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  

$$

FLC081-140146-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160814T0640Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160812T1025Z.160813T0600Z.160813T2355Z.NO/
916 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until late tonight.
* At 08 PM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream
  flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9
  feet on Sep 18 2015.

&&

               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  10.9  Sat 08 PM   9.6    7.0    5.9    5.4    5.0

&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 12, 3:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 3:41 AM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

.SHORT TERM (Today-Saturday)... Ridging at all levels over the
region in low level southeast steering flow pattern. Expect a similar
forecast and rainfall pattern into Saturday. Mostly sunny and warm
morning into early afternoon conditions prevail for the morning
and early afternoon hours. Then expect diurnal bay and west coast
sea breezes to initiate shower and thunderstorm activity mid afternoon
then east coast seabreeze collision and outflow boundaries to
enhance and drive the late afternoon into evening convection back
towards coastal areas. Models suggest slightly drier conditions
Saturday with Pops about 10-20% lower than Friday.

Seasonally warm and humid daytime temperatures running from the
lower to mid 90s while overnight temps remain within a few degrees
of normal as well.

.MID TERM/LONG TERM (Saturday Night-Thursday)...
Overall forecast remains unchanged through early next week as deep
layer ridging will remain centered over the Western Atlantic Ocean
keeping an east to southeast flow across the region. Moisture
amounts will vary from day to day, but will be enough to see
scattered convection each afternoon and evening. By the middle of
next week an inverted upper trough will be moving through the
Bahamas and then near Florida on Thursday with the model solutions
diverging on the exact position and strength. In general though the
east to southeast low level flow will persist with possibly some
additional moisture associated with the trough moving into the
region leading to scattered to numerous diurnal convection for
Wednesday and Thursday.

Temperatures will remain near to a couple of degrees above normal
with daytime highs ranging from near 90 along the coast to the lower
and middle 90s inland, while overnight lows are mainly in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Evening rainfall and debris clouds early this morning may produce
localized lower cigs and reduced vsbys until 12z, but generally
VFR conditions expected through the afternoon hours. Another round
of TSRA expected after 19Z-20Z today lasting until around 02Z
Saturday with brief MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys.

&&

.MARINE...
Bermuda high pressure will hold over the region through the
weekend and into next week with persistent east to southeast
winds. Winds are expected to increase with an easterly surge in
the evening and overnight hours to bump seas a bit then daily afternoon
seabreezes near the coast. Late afternoon through evening
thunderstorms at the coast to move offshore overnight and marine
storms may locally enhance winds and seas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather concerns expected with normal summertime
conditions through the weekend.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  91  77  93  76 /  60  40  40  40
FMY  92  76  92  76 /  60  30  40  20
GIF  92  75  93  75 /  50  30  30  10
SRQ  90  76  91  76 /  50  30  40  30
BKV  91  74  93  73 /  60  50  30  30
SPG  90  78  92  77 /  50  30  40  40

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...25/Davis
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...69/Close
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 5:15 AM EDT, 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
515 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-130200-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
515 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 75
CORRIDOR. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A PRETTY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL CONTINUE WITH SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS... LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PRC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 9:36 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningTBWHillsborough4 days
Aug 12, 10:44 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningTBWHillsborough59 hr
Aug 12, 3:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHillsborough43 min
Aug 12, 3:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWPolk52 min
Aug 12, 3:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW49 min
Aug 12, 3:55 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW35 min
Aug 12, 4:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWCharlotte29 min
Aug 12, 4:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWManatee36 min
Aug 12, 4:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWLee32 min
Aug 12, 4:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWCharlotte, DeSoto45 min
Aug 12, 5:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWLee39 min
Aug 12, 5:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHardee37 min
Aug 12, 5:16 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW59 min
Aug 12, 7:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWSumter28 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.