Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 125, NWS Tallahassee, FL

May 20, 20166 counties in Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 20, 2016, 4:30 AM CDT for 6 counties in Florida. It was in force for 60 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 20, 2016, 4:30 AM CDT (09:30 UTC)
Expired: May 20, 2016, 5:30 AM CDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 20, 4:45 AM CDT	MARINE TSTM WIND 42	2 Nw Panama City Beach, FL	42 MPH GUST MEASURED AT WXFLOW SITE XPAN
May 20, 5:06 AM CDT	MARINE TSTM WIND 43	1 S Panama City, FL	43 MPH GUST MEASURED AT PACF1. CORRECTED TIME
May 20, 5:15 AM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ene Hiland Park, FL	DOWNED POWER LINES REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 231 NEAR TRANSMITTER ROAD. REPORTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA
May 20, 5:15 AM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	5 Nnw Callaway, FL	TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROAD
May 20, 5:25 AM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Ese Round Lake, FL	POWERLINE DOWN ON ROOF

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 45 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 20, 3:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2260 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 939 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.5
Supercell composite: 3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

094 
WUUS52 KTAE 200930
SVRTAE
FLC005-013-059-063-131-133-201030-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0125.160520T0930Z-160520T1030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
430 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  WESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 530 AM CDT

* AT 430 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTHEAST
  OF DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PANAMA CITY...LYNN HAVEN...PANAMA CITY BEACH...CALLAWAY...VERNON...
  CHIPLEY...GRACEVILLE...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...BONIFAY...MARIANNA...
  SPRINGFIELD...MEXICO BEACH...HILAND PARK...TYNDALL AIR FORCE BASE...
  EGLIN AIR FORCE BASE...BRADFORD...UNION...LIVE OAK...PARKER AND
  FREEPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3038 8616 3038 8612 3039 8611 3042 8614
      3043 8612 3044 8616 3047 8613 3048 8614
      3046 8616 3099 8617 3100 8529 3065 8520
      3020 8539 2992 8540 3034 8616
TIME...MOT...LOC 0930Z 273DEG 40KT 3062 8596 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

1-WESTON

1 follow-up statement

853 
WWUS52 KTAE 201006
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
506 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

FLC131-201015-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-160520T1030Z/
WALTON FL-
506 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WALTON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3031 8586 3099 8579 3100 8529 3065 8520
      3020 8539 2992 8540 3023 8595
TIME...MOT...LOC 1005Z 273DEG 40KT 3060 8556 

$$

FLC005-013-059-063-133-201030-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0125.000000T0000Z-160520T1030Z/
BAY FL-CALHOUN FL-WASHINGTON FL-HOLMES FL-JACKSON FL-
506 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CDT
FOR BAY...NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN...WASHINGTON...EASTERN HOLMES AND
WESTERN JACKSON COUNTIES...

AT 505 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF
VERNON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PANAMA CITY...LYNN HAVEN...PANAMA CITY BEACH...CALLAWAY...VERNON...
CHIPLEY...GRACEVILLE...BONIFAY...MARIANNA...SPRINGFIELD...MEXICO BEACH...
HILAND PARK...TYNDALL AIR FORCE BASE...BRADFORD...PARKER...COTTONDALE...
ALFORD...CARYVILLE...WAUSAU AND ESTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3031 8586 3099 8579 3100 8529 3065 8520
      3020 8539 2992 8540 3023 8595
TIME...MOT...LOC 1005Z 273DEG 40KT 3060 8556 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

1-WESTON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 20, 2:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 20, 2:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
343 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...Severe Storms Possible Today...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

 As of 06Z an MCS was located over south Mississippi with a bowing
line of thunderstorms out ahead. Expect the leading edge of storms
to arrive around around 09Z. The HRRR has the best handle on the
system and timing has the line reaching the eastern part of the CWA
by early afternoon. So far the system is holding together, but
models show the line weakening as it reaches Tallahassee. The MCS
has produced winds gusts up to 70 mph in south Louisiana,and with
plenty of instability in place, expect the potential for damaging
winds to continue. Highs will range from  the upper 70s in southeast
Alabama to the upper 80s in the Big Bend.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Sunday]...

The upper trough over the Great Plains will merge with a northern
stream trough as it progresses eastward with amplification of the
trough occurring east of the area on Sunday. The mesoscale vortex
associated with this morning's MCS will maintain itself as it tracks
east along a stationary front. It will actually lift the boundary
northward a bit keeping the region in a moist unstable air mass. The
extent of convection this evening will depend on how much the region
is stabilized by the passage of the QLCS this morning. Considering
the speed at which the boundary is moving, we believe that there
will be time to destabilize later today. We therefore maintain
likely PoPs for the evening hours. Shear will remain sufficient to
support some severe storms with damaging winds the primary threat.
The severe threat will linger into early Saturday across our
southeast zones south of a line from roughly Valdosta to
Tallahassee. A cold front will then bring a change in air mass
Saturday night with noticeably less humid conditions expected for
Sunday.

.LONG TERM [Sunday Night Through Friday]...

Most of this period will be rain-free with low humidity as high
pressure dominates. Dew points will be down in the 50s into Tuesday
and then gradually increase through the 60s after that. Morning lows
will be in the lower 60s with highs in the mid to upper 80s for the
beginning of the week. Look for upper 60s lows and upper 80s highs
mid to late week. Slight chances for thunderstorms return for
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 06Z Saturday]...

LIFR conditions are expected at TLH and VLD with MVFR at all other
terminals. Visibility will improve after sunrise. A line of strong
thunderstorms will move through this morning with gusty winds
possible. Expect storms to arrive at ECP by 11Z and spread east,
reaching VLD by 17Z.

&&

.MARINE...

A squall line of severe thunderstorms is expected to enter the
western waters before sunrise and gradually weaken as is races east
at 40 to 45 knots. After these storms departs, winds will generally
be onshore through tonight and then veer to westerly for Saturday. A
cold front will cross the waters Saturday night swinging winds to
offshore. Light onshore winds will then become reestablished early
next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

There are no fire weather concerns for the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

While there is the possibility for heavy rain today, the line of
storms is moving very fast and unless it stalls, flash flooding
should not be problem. Rivers have been running low, so river
flooding is not a concern.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   84  71  87  67  86 /  70  50  30  20   0
Panama City   79  73  81  69  82 /  60  40  30  10   0
Dothan        80  68  85  62  82 /  80  60  20  10   0
Albany        82  68  85  63  82 /  90  70  30  10   0
Valdosta      84  69  86  65  84 /  70  60  40  20   0
Cross City    87  71  86  68  86 /  40  40  40  20   0
Apalachicola  80  73  83  69  83 /  50  40  30  10   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Weston
SHORT TERM...Wool
LONG TERM...Wool
AVIATION...Weston
MARINE...Wool
FIRE WEATHER...Weston
HYDROLOGY...Weston

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 20, 4:24 AM CDT, 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
424 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

ALZ065-066-068-069-201030-
DALE AL-HOUSTON AL-COFFEE AL-GENEVA AL-
424 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COFFEE...WESTERN HOUSTON...GENEVA
AND DALE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 423 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAMSON...OR 12 MILES EAST OF
FLORALA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DALEVILLE...ELBA...GENEVA...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...ENTERPRISE...DOTHAN...
HARTFORD...TAYLOR...MIDLAND CITY...LEVEL PLAINS...SLOCOMB...SAMSON...
NEWTON...NEW BROCKTON...ARITON...PINCKARD...LEE...MALVERN AND CLAYHATCHEE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8552
      3100 8544 3100 8619
TIME...MOT...LOC 0923Z 257DEG 36KT 3098 8612

1-WESTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 20, 2:51 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		114 min
May 20, 3:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Walton	59 min
May 20, 4:39 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		96 min
May 20, 5:29 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TAE	Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Jackson, Liberty, Washington	61 min
May 20, 5:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Bay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson and 4 more	63 min
May 20, 6:02 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		118 min
May 20, 6:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Franklin, Gadsden, Leon, Liberty, Wakulla	74 min
May 20, 7:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TAE	Jefferson	51 min
May 20, 7:42 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		2 hr
May 20, 7:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Jefferson, Taylor	63 min
May 20, 8:39 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Dixie, Lafayette, Taylor	62 min
May 20, 10:12 AM CDT	Rip Current Statement	TAE	Gulf	13 hr
May 20, 10:41 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		2 hr
May 20, 12:28 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		2 hr
May 20, 2:21 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		114 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.