Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 496
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 8, 2016, 7:20 AM EDT for 11 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 8, 2016, 7:20 AM EDT (11:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 8, 2016, 3:18 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC
The radar
The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 5%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 30%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 7:34 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 8:08 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILM | Pender | 12 min |
| Oct 8, 8:36 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILM | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Pender, Robeson | 54 min |
| Oct 8, 10:00 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILM | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 11:17 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Onslow | 28 min |
| Oct 8, 11:18 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones, Lenoir and 1 more | 20 hr |
| Oct 8, 11:43 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Carteret | 32 min |
| Oct 8, 1:50 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Duplin | 12 min |
| Oct 8, 2:24 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Carteret | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 373 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 670 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 122 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 135 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.5
The text
As transmitted.
586 WWUS20 KWNS 081117 SEL6 SPC WW 081117 NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-082000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 496 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 720 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PORTIONS OF COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA THE EXTREME NORTHEAST COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 720 AM UNTIL 400 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MINI SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM AND ROTATE NORTHWESTWARD IN BROKEN BANDS WELL TO THE NE OF THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW...AS THE STORM MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THE MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD TODAY...AND WILL BE CONFINED TO A NARROW ZONE NEAR THE COAST. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 20 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 14045. ...THOMPSON
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 7:00 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brunswick, Carteret, New Hanover | 60 min |
| Oct 8, 2:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Hyde, Jones and 3 more | 97 min |
| Oct 8, 2:48 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Beaufort, Carteret, Craven, Dare, Duplin, Hyde and 5 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 8, 7:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dare, Hyde, Tyrrell, Washington | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.