Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 491
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 4, 2016, 3:40 PM CDT for 31 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 4, 2016, 3:40 PM CDT (20:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 4, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 31 counties
Alfalfa County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK
The radar
The Norman radar (KTLX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Alfalfa, Grant | 39 min |
| Oct 4, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Grady | 39 min |
| Oct 4, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Grant, Kay | 49 min |
| Oct 4, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Alfalfa, Garfield, Grant, Major | 47 min |
| Oct 4, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Canadian, Grady | 48 min |
| Oct 4, 7:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Grant | 3 hr |
| Oct 4, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Grant, Kay | 48 min |
| Oct 4, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, McClain, Oklahoma | 50 min |
| Oct 4, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield, Major | 49 min |
| Oct 4, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Canadian, Grady | 21 min |
| Oct 4, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Kay | 69 min |
| Oct 4, 8:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Garfield, Major | 38 min |
| Oct 4, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield, Noble | 46 min |
| Oct 4, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Oklahoma | 45 min |
| Oct 4, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Oklahoma | 38 min |
| Oct 4, 9:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Garfield, Major | 83 min |
| Oct 4, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie | 46 min |
| Oct 4, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield | 45 min |
| Oct 4, 9:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Kay | 3 hr |
| Oct 4, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma | 44 min |
| Oct 4, 10:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln | 48 min |
| Oct 4, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan, Noble | 46 min |
| Oct 4, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln | 45 min |
| Oct 4, 10:38 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Garfield, Noble | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1272 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 329 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 329 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
726
WWUS20 KWNS 042036
SEL1
SPC WW 042036
OKZ000-050200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 491
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM THIS AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHWEST OK AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
CHANDLER OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 490...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 22 more | 114 min |
| Oct 4, 4:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Garfield, Grant, Kay, Kingfisher and 3 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.