Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 401
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 20, 2016, 5:39 PM CDT for 10 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 20, 2016, 5:39 PM CDT (22:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 20, 2016, 10:59 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
Counties Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, McHenry County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Towner County, ND, Ward County, ND
The radar
The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Ward | 61 min |
| Jul 20, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Pierce | 63 min |
| Jul 20, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Rolette | 44 min |
| Jul 20, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Towner | 50 min |
| Jul 20, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Pierce | 64 min |
| Jul 20, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Ramsey | 49 min |
| Jul 20, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Pembina | 50 min |
| Jul 20, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Pierce | 43 min |
| Jul 20, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Ramsey | 46 min |
| Jul 20, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Ramsey, Towner | 50 min |
| Jul 20, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Eddy, Griggs, Nelson | 64 min |
| Jul 20, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Nelson, Ramsey | 47 min |
| Jul 20, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Eddy, Grand Forks, Griggs, Nelson, Ramsey and 2 more | 65 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2285 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -286 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1417 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 205 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
800
WWUS20 KWNS 202237
SEL1
SPC WW 202237
NDZ000-210400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 540 PM
UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND OTHER STORMS
IN MANITOBA MAY ALSO MOVE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE BORDER.
STORMS SHOULD REMAIN SEMI-DISCRETE FOR SEVERAL HOURS...CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A COUPLE OF TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF MINOT
NORTH DAKOTA TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF DEVILS LAKE NORTH DAKOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 400...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 8:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cass, Grand Forks, Steele, Traill | 95 min |
| Jul 20, 3:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Benson, Bottineau, Burleigh, Emmons, Grant and 16 more | 92 min |
| Jul 20, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Benson, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Cavalier and 28 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 20, 5:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benson, Bottineau, McHenry, Pierce, Renville, Rolette and 2 more | 62 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.