Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 203

May 24, 20169 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 24, 2016, 12:45 PM MDT for 9 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2016, 12:45 PM MDT (18:45 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Denver County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 1:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Broomfield, Jefferson31 min
May 24, 2:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUArapahoe, Denver25 min
May 24, 2:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Broomfield, Weld45 min
May 24, 2:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld47 min
May 24, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams32 min
May 24, 4:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan24 min
May 24, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan32 min
May 24, 5:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Washington27 min
May 24, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan29 min
May 24, 5:44 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUAdams, Morgan31 min
May 24, 6:05 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan, Washington25 min
May 24, 6:26 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWashington34 min
May 24, 7:01 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUWashington29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1378 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

696 
WWUS20 KWNS 241839
SEL3  
SPC WW 241839
COZ000-250200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 203
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM MDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHEAST COLORADO

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
  800 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM SOON OVER THE FOOTHILLS NEAR
DENVER AND SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.  PARAMETERS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF DENVER
COLORADO TO 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF AKRON COLORADO.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 11:31 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas and 9 more59 min
May 24, 2:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Denver, Logan, Morgan, Phillips and 4 more86 min
May 24, 5:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.