Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 49

March 18, 201610 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 18, 2016, 11:11 PM CDT for 10 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2016, 11:11 PM CDT (04:11 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2016, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brooks County, TX, Duval County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, Nueces County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX

The radar

The Corpus Christi radar (KCRP), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROJim Hogg27 min
Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Kleberg, Nueces38 min
Mar 18, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROStarr, Zapata46 min
Mar 18, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROBrooks, Jim Hogg30 min
Mar 19, 12:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces, San Patricio56 min
Mar 19, 12:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg, Nueces31 min
Mar 19, 12:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROBrooks, Kenedy41 min
Mar 19, 12:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPSan Patricio63 min
Mar 19, 12:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROStarr, Zapata44 min
Mar 19, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces, San Patricio45 min
Mar 19, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROKenedy35 min
Mar 19, 1:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPAransas, San Patricio50 min
Mar 19, 1:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningBROStarr, Zapata94 min
Mar 19, 1:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces, San Patricio50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2025 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2025 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
739 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

918 
WWUS20 KWNS 190408
SEL9  
SPC WW 190408
TXZ000-CWZ000-190900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 49
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1110 PM
  UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...AN ORGANIZED NORTH-SOUTH BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE.  STRONGEST PORTIONS OF THE LINE WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST
OF ALICE TEXAS TO 100 MILES SOUTH OF ALICE TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27040.


...GOSS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion and 4 more54 min
Mar 18, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBee, Brooks, Duval, Goliad, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg and 7 more116 min
Mar 18, 8:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 23 more67 min
Mar 19, 12:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Wells, Kenedy, Kleberg, Nueces and 3 more86 min
Mar 19, 2:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron, Hidalgo, Willacy67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.