Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 243

March 18, 201629 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 18, 2016, 8:53 PM CDT for 29 counties in Texas. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2016, 8:53 PM CDT (01:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 29 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2498 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2498 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-32 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1007 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

714 
ACUS11 KWNS 190154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190153 
TXZ000-190300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0853 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 48...

VALID 190153Z - 190300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 48
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...HAIL REMAINS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTERS OVER SCNTRL TX.  NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED ACROSS
SCNTRL TX.

DISCUSSION...GRADUALLY EXPANDING COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTINUES ITS SWD
PROPAGATION ACROSS WW48.  ERN-MOST PORTION OF THE LINE IS SURGING
SOUTH AT ROUGHLY 25KT AND LEADING EDGE WILL EXIT THE WATCH SHORTLY
AFTER 02Z.  WRN SEGMENT OF SQUALL LINE IS SAGGING SOUTH AT ROUGHLY
15KT AND WILL MERGE WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE
DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY ALONG OUTFLOW THAT HAS SURGED
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE FROM MEXICAN CONVECTION.  STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND MODEST BUOYANCY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT HAIL GENERATION AND LATEST
MRMS DATA EXHIBITS NUMEROUS HAIL CORES...AT TIMES SEVERE...WITH THE
MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS.  WHILE THE LARGER COMPLEX OF STORMS WILL SOON
PROPAGATE/FOCUS SOUTH OF THE WATCH...NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED.

..DARROW.. 03/19/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   29700095 31399750 29649665 27960013 29700095

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion and 4 more54 min
Mar 18, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBee, Brooks, Duval, Goliad, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg and 7 more116 min
Mar 18, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrooks, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells, Kenedy and 4 more5 hr
Mar 19, 12:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Wells, Kenedy, Kleberg, Nueces and 3 more86 min
Mar 19, 2:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron, Hidalgo, Willacy67 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.