Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 470

September 6, 201636 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 6, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT for 36 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 7, 2016, 1:34 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Webster County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2016-09-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2597 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2016-09-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 72 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2597 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1252 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
9.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Winneshiek89 min
Sep 6, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Crawford and 15 more60 min
Sep 7, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Henry, Jackson and 9 more3 hr
Sep 7, 2:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Fremont, Mills and 6 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.