Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1654

September 7, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 7, 2016, 1:00 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 7, 2016, 1:00 PM CDT (18:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 7, 2016, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 53 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Adams County, IL, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Clark County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Green County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 409 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-09-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 20 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-09-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -54 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-281 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1161 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 26 more2 hr
Sep 6, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer and 30 more7 hr
Sep 6, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Winneshiek89 min
Sep 6, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Crawford and 15 more60 min
Sep 7, 2:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Fremont, Mills and 6 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.