Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 4, 2016, 4:44 PM CDT for 5 counties in Illinois; 32 counties in Iowa; 26 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 4, 2016, 4:44 PM CDT (21:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 4, 2016, 10:55 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Washington County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Adams County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 4:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Tama | 55 min |
| Aug 4, 5:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Crawford | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 5:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Adams, Juneau | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Marquette, Sauk | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Franklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Wright | 40 min |
| Aug 4, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler | 47 min |
| Aug 4, 6:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee, Winneshiek | 66 min |
| Aug 4, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Iowa, Lafayette | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Clayton, Fayette | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Grundy, Jasper, Marshall, Poweshiek, Story, Tama | 68 min |
| Aug 4, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware | 52 min |
| Aug 4, 7:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Green, Iowa, Lafayette | 56 min |
| Aug 4, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Linn | 60 min |
| Aug 4, 7:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Tama | 25 min |
| Aug 4, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 50 min |
| Aug 4, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Grant | 42 min |
| Aug 4, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Poweshiek, Tama | 64 min |
| Aug 4, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Iowa, Lafayette | 56 min |
| Aug 4, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Jefferson, Rock | 41 min |
| Aug 4, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Jones | 56 min |
| Aug 4, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Iowa, Johnson, Muscatine | 56 min |
| Aug 4, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Green | 40 min |
| Aug 4, 8:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 39 min |
| Aug 4, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside | 62 min |
| Aug 4, 8:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Clinton, Scott | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 500 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -126 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 970 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
496 WWUS20 KWNS 042142 SEL3 SPC WW 042142 IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-050500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 433 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 445 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA NORTHWEST ILLINOIS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN LAKE MICHIGAN * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 445 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SCATTERED MULTICELLS AND MULTIPLE LINEAR BANDS OF STORMS WILL PROGRESS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THIS EVENING WITHIN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MADISON WISCONSIN TO 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035. ...GUYER
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 12:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jo Daviess | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 4:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jo Daviess | 87 min |
| Aug 4, 3:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dickinson, Osceola | 62 min |
| Aug 4, 4:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery and 2 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.