Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 423

July 29, 201611 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 29, 2016, 3:27 PM MDT for 11 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2016, 3:27 PM MDT (21:27 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2016, 8:16 PM MDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner27 min
Jul 29, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Scotts Bluff32 min
Jul 29, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSMorrill47 min
Jul 29, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFSheridan30 min
Jul 29, 4:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan23 min
Jul 29, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan30 min
Jul 29, 5:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSMorrill, Scotts Bluff37 min
Jul 29, 5:09 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSCheyenne, Morrill36 min
Jul 29, 5:42 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSCheyenne, Morrill34 min
Jul 29, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes46 min
Jul 29, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne31 min
Jul 29, 6:36 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSCheyenne24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 816 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
816 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-137 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
866 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 12:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKimball116 min
Jul 29, 3:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan and 1 more90 min
Jul 29, 5:27 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel, Garden and 6 more108 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.