Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 15, 2016, 6:46 PM CDT for 20 counties in Oklahoma; 29 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 15, 2016, 6:46 PM CDT (23:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 16, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Alfalfa County, OK, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Major County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX
The radar
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Harper | 50 min |
| Jul 15, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Potter, Randall | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 60 min |
| Jul 15, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hutchinson, Moore, Roberts | 67 min |
| Jul 15, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson | 79 min |
| Jul 15, 8:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Ellis, Harper, Woods, Woodward | 43 min |
| Jul 15, 8:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Gray, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts and 1 more | 77 min |
| Jul 15, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Potter, Randall | 65 min |
| Jul 15, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Ellis, Harper, Roger Mills, Woods, Woodward | 50 min |
| Jul 15, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Randall | 45 min |
| Jul 15, 9:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Roger Mills | 41 min |
| Jul 15, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Alfalfa, Harper, Major, Woods, Woodward | 36 min |
| Jul 15, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Wheeler | 60 min |
| Jul 15, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Childress, Hall | 33 min |
| Jul 15, 9:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Harmon | 43 min |
| Jul 15, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Major and 3 more | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Collingsworth, Donley | 20 min |
| Jul 15, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson | 41 min |
| Jul 15, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Washita | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Kiowa | 34 min |
| Jul 15, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Tillman | 47 min |
| Jul 15, 11:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cottle, Floyd, Motley | 51 min |
| Jul 15, 11:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Custer, Dewey, Kiowa and 1 more | 50 min |
| Jul 15, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Harmon, Jackson, Tillman | 46 min |
| Jul 16, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Kiowa, Washita | 30 min |
| Jul 16, 12:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Jefferson, Kiowa and 3 more | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 314 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -300 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1717 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 10:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Greer and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 10:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Custer, Dewey and 12 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 5:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey and 9 more | 119 min |
| Jul 14, 8:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 7:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Dallas, Denton, Hunt, Kaufman, Rains and 4 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 15, 3:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Bailey, Carson, Castro, Dallam, Deaf Smith and 12 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.