Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1292

July 15, 20168 counties in New Mexico; 18 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 15, 2016, 2:01 PM MDT for 8 counties in New Mexico; 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2016, 2:01 PM MDT (20:01 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2016, 3:30 PM MDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 26 counties

Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Swisher County, TX

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 314 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
314 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-300 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1717 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 7:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColfax, Harding, Mora, San Miguel, Union26 min
Jul 14, 7:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 24 more2 hr
Jul 14, 9:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Clay, Collingsworth and 10 more2 hr
Jul 15, 6:38 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Dallas, Denton, Hunt, Kaufman, Rains and 4 more2 hr
Jul 15, 4:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollingsworth, Gray, Hansford, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Lipscomb and 3 more119 min
Jul 15, 5:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 23 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.