Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384

July 14, 20166 counties in Colorado; 5 counties in New Mexico

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 14, 2016, 1:40 PM MDT for 6 counties in Colorado; 5 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2016, 1:40 PM MDT (19:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2016, 9:42 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 2:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo51 min
Jul 14, 2:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel48 min
Jul 14, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso31 min
Jul 14, 3:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel37 min
Jul 14, 4:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso22 min
Jul 14, 4:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano39 min
Jul 14, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo44 min
Jul 14, 4:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso17 min
Jul 14, 5:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas45 min
Jul 14, 5:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora23 min
Jul 14, 5:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Pueblo42 min
Jul 14, 5:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo46 min
Jul 14, 5:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso30 min
Jul 14, 5:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas47 min
Jul 14, 6:20 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBLas Animas25 min
Jul 14, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso32 min
Jul 14, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas46 min
Jul 14, 7:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2163 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 12:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Huerfano, Kiowa and 6 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.