Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 338
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2016, 12:55 PM MDT for 7 counties in Montana; 10 counties in North Dakota; Butte County, Harding County, Perkins County, South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 6, 2016, 12:55 PM MDT (18:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 6, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Morton County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Butte County, SD, Harding County, SD, Perkins County, SD
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 245 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 12:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Rosebud | 64 min |
| Jul 6, 1:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 1:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Prairie | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 2:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Wibaux | 56 min |
| Jul 6, 2:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Prairie | 53 min |
| Jul 6, 2:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Golden Valley | 56 min |
| Jul 6, 2:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Meade | 68 min |
| Jul 6, 3:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Prairie, Wibaux | 49 min |
| Jul 6, 3:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Haakon, Meade, Pennington, Perkins, Ziebach | 56 min |
| Jul 6, 3:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Harding | 50 min |
| Jul 6, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Harding | 63 min |
| Jul 6, 3:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 35 min |
| Jul 6, 3:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Meade | 44 min |
| Jul 6, 3:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bowman, Slope | 55 min |
| Jul 6, 4:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 25 min |
| Jul 6, 4:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Bowman, Slope | 63 min |
| Jul 6, 5:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux, Stark | 51 min |
| Jul 6, 5:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Harding, Perkins | 58 min |
| Jul 6, 6:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Grant, Morton, Sioux | 64 min |
| Jul 6, 6:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Perkins, Ziebach | 58 min |
| Jul 6, 7:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Emmons, Grant, Morton, Sioux | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 298 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 48 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -380 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 810 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 94 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 429 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 12:23 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Prairie, Wibaux | 67 min |
| Jul 6, 1:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bennett, Custer, Haakon, Jackson, Lawrence, Meade and 2 more | 84 min |
| Jul 6, 2:21 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bennett, Buffalo, Custer, Dewey, Fall River, Haakon and 17 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 6, 5:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aurora, Bennett, Bon Homme, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix and 27 more | 57 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.