Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2016, 12:41 PM CDT for 66 counties in Kentucky; 22 counties in Tennessee; 14 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2016, 12:41 PM CDT (17:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2016, 8:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 102 counties
Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Campbell County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Houston County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Scott County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wilson County, TN, Boone County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Clay County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wyoming County, WV
The radar
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 12:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Warren | 31 min |
| Jul 4, 12:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Grayson | 37 min |
| Jul 4, 12:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin | 33 min |
| Jul 4, 1:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart, Warren | 35 min |
| Jul 4, 1:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Edmonson, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 25 min |
| Jul 4, 1:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Metcalfe, Warren | 31 min |
| Jul 4, 2:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Green, Taylor | 29 min |
| Jul 4, 2:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Taylor | 18 min |
| Jul 4, 2:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Boyle, Casey, Marion, Taylor | 30 min |
| Jul 4, 2:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey | 19 min |
| Jul 4, 2:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Macon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson | 33 min |
| Jul 4, 2:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Boyd, Lawrence | 45 min |
| Jul 4, 2:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Casey, Lincoln, Russell | 51 min |
| Jul 4, 2:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Boyle, Casey, Garrard, Lincoln | 34 min |
| Jul 4, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Jackson, Macon, Smith, Wilson | 37 min |
| Jul 4, 3:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Macon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale | 34 min |
| Jul 4, 3:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Pulaski, Rockcastle | 29 min |
| Jul 4, 3:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | RLX | Lincoln, Putnam, Wayne | 29 min |
| Jul 4, 3:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Jackson, Macon, Pickett | 23 min |
| Jul 4, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Garrard, Lincoln, Madison | 36 min |
| Jul 4, 3:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Jackson, Macon, Pickett | 35 min |
| Jul 4, 3:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | RLX | Boone, Kanawha, Lincoln | 35 min |
| Jul 4, 3:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley and 1 more | 29 min |
| Jul 4, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Jackson, Overton, Putnam | 28 min |
| Jul 4, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Wayne | 34 min |
| Jul 4, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Fentress, Overton, Pickett | 59 min |
| Jul 4, 4:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | RLX | Braxton, Calhoun, Clay, Kanawha, Nicholas, Roane | 3 hr |
| Jul 4, 4:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clinton, Cumberland | 25 min |
| Jul 4, 4:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | RLX | Kanawha | 18 min |
| Jul 4, 4:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Clay, Jackson, Owsley, Perry | 29 min |
| Jul 4, 4:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | Braxton, Clay, Fayette, Kanawha, Nicholas | 36 min |
| Jul 4, 4:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Scott | 45 min |
| Jul 4, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin, Perry | 34 min |
| Jul 4, 5:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JKL | Floyd | 26 min |
| Jul 4, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Floyd, Pike | 50 min |
| Jul 4, 6:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RLX | McDowell, Mingo | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 582 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
424 WWUS20 KWNS 041739 CCA SEL1 SPC WW 041739 CCA KYZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-050100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 321...CORRECTED NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 140 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016 CORRECTED FOR INCLUSION OF TORNADO PROBABLITIES THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY NORTHERN TENNESSEE SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA WESTERN AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SEVERAL CLUSTERS AND SHORT LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO EXPECTED TO SPREAD GENERALLY WEST TO EAST ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 7:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Boyle, Butler, Casey, Christian, Edmonson and 17 more | 53 min |
| Jul 4, 11:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle, Butler and 42 more | 54 min |
| Jul 4, 4:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Clinton, Floyd, Harlan and 14 more | 115 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.