Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Charleston, WV

282 
WGUS71 KRLX 042154
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
554 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

WVC007-013-015-039-067-087-050000-
/O.CON.KRLX.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160705T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROANE WV-NICHOLAS WV-CALHOUN WV-CLAY WV-BRAXTON WV-KANAWHA WV-
554 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ROANE...NORTHWESTERN NICHOLAS...SOUTH CENTRAL CALHOUN...
CLAY...SOUTHWESTERN BRAXTON AND NORTHEASTERN KANAWHA COUNTIES...

AT 550 PM EDT...HEAVY RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE WARNED AREA. THIS
STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF
RAINFALL IN 20 MINUTES FROM RAIN GAUGES. 

MANY CREEKS AND STREAMS THAT FEED THE ELK RIVER REMAIN IN POOR SHAPE
FROM DEBRIS BLOCKAGES DUE TO FLOODING FROM A WEEK AND A HALF AGO.
CONTINUING RELIEF EFFORTS IN THE AREA AROUND THE ELK RIVER AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES ALSO REMAIN VULNERABLE TO HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...800 401 9535...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

YOU MAY ALSO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

&&

LAT...LON 3835 8152 3841 8164 3854 8141 3869 8097
      3849 8078 3834 8106

$$

26

137 
WGUS71 KRLX 042243
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
643 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

WVC007-013-015-039-067-087-042251-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160705T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROANE WV-NICHOLAS WV-CALHOUN WV-CLAY WV-BRAXTON WV-KANAWHA WV-
643 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROANE...NORTHWESTERN
NICHOLAS...SOUTH CENTRAL CALHOUN...CLAY...SOUTHWESTERN BRAXTON AND
NORTHEASTERN KANAWHA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...BUT STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY CONTINUE TO
RUN HIGH. FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. PLEASE
CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3835 8152 3841 8164 3854 8141 3869 8097
      3849 8078 3834 8106

$$

26

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
455 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak front pushes through and dissolves overnight and Tuesday.
Very warm and humid for the balance of the weak with disturbances
along the southern edge of the upper level westerlies.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Weak surface front appeared to have pushed through most of the
area. Upper level disturbances and strong mid level flow was
making for an active afternoon and evening in the warm and humid
air that has taken control. The threat for severe weather
continues across central and southern portions of the area, where
the front pushed through first, and heating was maximized. The
strong flow was resulting in some persistent rotation mainly in
the one strongest storm, headed for the office here as 5 pm
approached..

The threat for flooding is also across central and southern
portions of the area, where most of the rain managed to focus
last night and this morning, and where convection will continue to
be heaviest through this evening. The FFA was thus trimmed along
the northwest edge in east central Ohio in coordination with
neighboring offices.

As the front dissolves and the upper level disturbances move off
to the east overnight and Tuesday, so will the potential for
showers and thunderstorms. Stratus and fog are likely to form
overnight and linger well into Tuesday morning, with the best
chance for the return of sunshine over the middle Ohio Valley
Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures close to guidance with little change from previous,
with no change in air mass.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Zonal flow will largely keep the area unsettled through the short
term with a myriad of vort maxes aloft rotating through the Ohio
Valley. GFS keeps PW values on the high side without any appreciable
change in the airmass...but for now...the systems should be on the
progressive side. That said...given the antecedent conditions across
the area...the potential for water issues will need to be watched.
Very warm temperatures also continue...but the saturated surface
should keep a relative lid on the temperatures...with few 90 degree
readings to be seen through mid week.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Cold front slated for the later weekend time frame will knock
temperatures down a bit and bring the PW values back towards normal
with some drying aloft. Expect this to be short lived...with the
trend and tendencies to rebound back into the unsettled...high
moisture content zonal flow in the upper levels. CPC outlooks
continue with better than normal chances for above normal
temperatures for the extended time frame.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Warm front across southern Ohio and central WV will push northward
into this evening, and then back southward tonight. IFR
conditions improving to MVFR north of the front early this
afternoon likely to vary in showers and a few thunderstorms late
this afternoon and this evening, and then deteriorate back to IFR
to VLIFR overnight tonight, before improving slowly later Tuesday
morning.

Patchy MVFR cigs south of the front otherwise VFR conditions
except when thunderstorms approach from the west this afternoon.
A direct hit from a thunderstorms will bring brief IFR conditions
this afternoon and this evening. A severe thunderstorm watch is in
effect for eastern KY and southern WV through 01Z or 9 pm tonight,
where thunderstorms could bring wind gusts of over 50 kts.

As the rain pushes east and the boundary pushes south tonight,
IFR to VLIFR stratus and or fog is likely to develop across
southern sites as well overnight.

Conditions will slowly improve late Tuesday morning and early
Tuesday afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low to Medium

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of restrictions in showers/thunderstorms
could vary especially through this evening. Timing and extent of
fog and stratus overnight into Tuesday morning could vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    L    M    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    M    M    M    L    L    M    M    M    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    L    L    M    M    M    M

AFTER 18Z TUESDAY...
IFR possible in stratus and fog overnight Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM EDT Tuesday for WVZ005>011-
     013>015-017-019-020-024>026-033>036.
     Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for WVZ016-018-
     027>032-037>040-046-047.
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM EDT Tuesday for OHZ083-085>087.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM EDT Tuesday for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRM/26
NEAR TERM...TRM
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26/99
AVIATION...TRM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

KYZ101-OHZ083-085>087-WVZ007>011-017-019-020-052000-
GREENUP-JACKSON OH-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-
PLEASANTS-TYLER-WIRT-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ102-103-105-WVZ005-006-013>015-024>026-033>036-052000-
CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-MINGO-
LOGAN-BOONE-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ016-018-028>032-038>040-046-047-052000-
ROANE-CALHOUN-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-
BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ066-067-075-076-084-052000-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-VINTON-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ003-004-052000-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ027-037-052000-
CLAY-NICHOLAS-
357 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
308 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

KYZ102-103-105-WVZ005-041945-
BOYD-CARTER-LAWRENCE-WAYNE-
308 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LAWRENCE...SOUTHEASTERN
CARTER...BOYD AND WESTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 307 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CULVER...OR
NEAR GRAYSON LAKE STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL AS
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTINGTON...LOUISA...WAYNE...BLAINE...GRAYSON LAKE STATE PARK...
YATESVILLE LAKE STATE PARK...KENOVA...CATLETTSBURG...CEREDO...
FORT GAY...RUSH...DURBIN...DENTON...CENTERVILLE...CHARLEY...
WEBBVILLE...MARTHA...DUNLOW...BURNAUGH AND BURLINGTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 183 AND 191.
 INTERSTATE 64 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 6.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3842 8260 3840 8257 3841 8251 3840 8248
      3797 8238 3795 8281 3800 8295 3796 8299
      3797 8301 3799 8303 3804 8300 3805 8296
      3812 8289 3817 8292 3817 8298 3820 8301
      3820 8304 3818 8305 3823 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 1907Z 253DEG 35KT 3813 8300

KISTNER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
416 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW LOUISA             38.10N  82.62W
07/04/2016                   LAWRENCE           KY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE AT WALMART
            AND ITS SUROUNDING AREA. CARS OVERTURNED... APT COMPLEX
            SUSTAINED DAMAGE... TREES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601159

MEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
429 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S LOUISA              38.09N  82.60W
07/04/2016  M55 MPH          LAWRENCE           KY   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601160

MEC