Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30

February 24, 20164 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 11 counties in New York

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 24, 2016, 7:44 PM EST for 4 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 11 counties in New York. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2016, 7:44 PM EST (00:44 UTC)
Expired
Feb 25, 2016, 3:32 AM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 10:28 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union62 min
Feb 24, 10:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester55 min
Feb 24, 11:26 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region64 min
Feb 25, 12:38 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region52 min
Feb 25, 1:18 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXSuffolk42 min
Feb 25, 1:29 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region61 min
Feb 25, 1:58 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region47 min
Feb 25, 2:06 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXSuffolk54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-02-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 38 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-02-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 529 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
38 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
479 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
529 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
504 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 10:39 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Feb 24, 11:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region4 hr
Feb 25, 2:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.