Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232

May 30, 201611 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas; 38 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 30, 2016, 2:19 PM MDT for 11 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas; 38 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2016, 2:19 PM MDT (20:19 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Garden County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Grant County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Howard County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 2:29 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLBFGarden31 min
May 30, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarden32 min
May 30, 3:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry41 min
May 30, 3:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarden33 min
May 30, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry63 min
May 30, 4:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson40 min
May 30, 4:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGrant34 min
May 30, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson48 min
May 30, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry, Keya Paha41 min
May 30, 5:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Lincoln28 min
May 30, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Lincoln34 min
May 30, 5:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa25 min
May 30, 5:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Frontier, Hayes, Lincoln, Perkins36 min
May 30, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson43 min
May 30, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln, Logan, McPherson26 min
May 30, 6:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha40 min
May 30, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln48 min
May 30, 6:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLogan, McPherson35 min
May 30, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln33 min
May 30, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson62 min
May 30, 6:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Brown, Cherry45 min
May 30, 6:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln, Logan41 min
May 30, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln22 min
May 30, 7:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Gove, Logan, Norton, Rawlins, Sheridan and 2 more53 min
May 30, 7:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Gosper39 min
May 30, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier35 min
May 30, 7:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson51 min
May 30, 7:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Gosper, Harlan, Phelps39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2016-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2016-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -51 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1672 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

756 
WWUS20 KWNS 302017
SEL2  
SPC WW 302017
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-310300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN COLORADO
  NORTHWEST KANSAS
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS NOW FORMING ALONG LEE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT
IN WESTERN PART OF WATCH AREA EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY
EASTWARD...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL AND WIND AS THEY
ORGANIZE INTO BANDS/CLUSTERS. A LIMITED THREAT FOR LANDSPOUT-TYPE
TORNADOS ALSO WILL EXIST IN WESTERN PART OF WATCH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF VALENTINE NEBRASKA TO 65 MILES SOUTH OF BURLINGTON
COLORADO.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 231...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 1:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Cheyenne, Denver, Elbert, Kit Carson and 8 more64 min
May 30, 12:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee, Crawford and 9 more119 min
May 30, 1:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Grant, Hooker, Keya Paha and 2 more59 min
May 30, 4:14 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Butler, Cass, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota and 13 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.