Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 804

June 2, 2016Burleigh County, Sioux County, North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 2, 2016, 7:23 PM CDT for Burleigh County, Sioux County, North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2016, 7:23 PM CDT (00:23 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Burleigh County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Buffalo County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Potter County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-06-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 178 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-06-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
178 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-116 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1909 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

134 
ACUS11 KWNS 030024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030023 
SDZ000-NDZ000-030200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0804
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0723 PM CDT THU JUN 02 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL DAKOTAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234...

VALID 030023Z - 030200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...DAMAGING WIND RISK HAS BECOME CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF WW 234 ACROSS CENTRAL SD. OTHER STORMS OVER CENTRAL ND
NEAR THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE WW MAY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WINDS FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO.
WESTERN/CENTRAL/NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH MAY BE CANCELED EARLY
IF ONGOING TRENDS PERSIST.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION INITIALLY OVER NORTHWEST SD/SOUTHWEST ND HAS
EVOLVED INTO TWO DISPARATE CLUSTERS /THE SOUTHERN ONE OVER
WEST-CENTRAL SD AND THE NORTHERN ONE OVER CENTRAL ND/. THE SOUTHERN
AREA WILL PROBABLY HAVE GREATER LONGEVITY AS IT IMPINGES UPON A
PLUME OF MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S SURFACE DEW POINTS OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EAST SD AMID A STRENGTHENING LLJ. GIVEN THE SHORT-LINE MODE
FOR THIS CLUSTER...THE MAIN HAZARD WILL LIKELY BE STRONG TO ISOLATED
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS IT APPROACHES THE PIERRE AREA IN THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS. THE REGION IN BETWEEN THE TWO ONGOING CLUSTERS MAY
REMAIN VOID OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION AS OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS IS
DEPICTING COMPARATIVELY GREATER MLCIN VERSUS TO THE SOUTH AND
NORTH...WHICH IS SAMPLED WELL BY 00Z BISMARCK RAOB.

..GRAMS.. 06/03/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON   45480116 47080119 48070155 48110130 48100084 47500036
            45940028 45499956 44599880 43999883 43759924 43690022
            43840102 44100179 45480116

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 1:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Burleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons and 12 more3 hr
Jun 2, 10:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brule, Buffalo, Clark, Day and 5 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.