Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 773

May 28, 201648 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 28, 2016, 6:38 PM CDT for 48 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2016, 6:38 PM CDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2016, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 48 counties

Bandera County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Llano County, TX, Martin County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Real County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1069 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1069 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-283 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1112 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

452 
ACUS11 KWNS 282339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282338 
TXZ000-290145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0773
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN AND CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 226...

VALID 282338Z - 290145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 226
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES
IN AND NEAR WW 0226.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN AND CENTRAL TX...INCLUDING THE CONCHO VALLEY
AND EDWARDS PLATEAU AREAS.  THE STRONGEST CELL IS OBSERVED OVER NRN
KIMBLE CO. ATTM /I.E. INVOF THE SERN CORNER OF THE WW/...WHERE LARGE
HAIL UP TO GOLF-BALL SIZE HAS BEEN REPORTED.  

THE STORMS APPEAR TO BE INITIATING IN RESPONSE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION...AS BOUNDARY-LAYER FLOW ACROSS THE REGION CONTINUES
TO BACK TO SELY IN RESPONSE TO THE MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
SHIFTING ENEWD ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA VICINITY ATTM.  WITH THE
FLOW VEERING TO WLY AT MID LEVELS PROVIDING AMPLE SHEAR FOR ROTATING
UPDRAFTS...AND A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS SHOULD PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THIS
REGION.

..GOSS.. 05/28/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   32309880 30399858 29239892 28719976 28600048 29380107
            29690169 29690258 30170298 31240289 32660197 33210066
            33220011 32909925 32309880

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 2:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Coke, Concho, Crockett, Edwards, Gillespie and 18 more2 hr
May 28, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Callahan, Coke and 40 more9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.