Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 588

May 10, 201610 counties in Indiana; 55 counties in Kentucky; 4 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2016, 4:44 PM EDT for 10 counties in Indiana; 55 counties in Kentucky; 4 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 61 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2016, 4:44 PM EDT (20:44 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2016, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 69 counties

Clark County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Logan County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 62 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 339 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
62 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
818 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
332 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

262 
ACUS11 KWNS 102044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102044 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-102145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0588
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0344 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN INDIANA...SRN OHIO...PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 159...

VALID 102044Z - 102145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 159
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE...PRIMARILY
OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WW.

DISCUSSION...EARLY-DAY MCS HAS PROPAGATED ALONG THE OH RIVER AND HAS
STABILIZED BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR MASS NORTH OF THE RIVER ACROSS INDIANA
AND SWRN OH.  MORE BUOYANT AIR MASS NOW IS CONFINED TO WRN/CNTRL KY
WHERE DEEP WLY FLOW RESIDES WITHIN BASE OF PROGRESSIVE SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH.  EVEN SO...STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE DEVELOPED INTO
SRN OH IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF MCS AND THIS COULD ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT
POTENTIAL WITH STRONGER CORES.  HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.  AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE GREATEST
CONCENTRATION OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM WRN
KY...NEWD INTO SRN OH.

..DARROW.. 05/10/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON   36628765 39298542 39308320 36628550 36628765

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 1:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Floyd, Jefferson, Ohio, Switzerland67 min
May 10, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Dearborn, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson, Ohio and 3 more9 hr
May 10, 6:06 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCPosey, Vanderburgh6 hr
May 9, 9:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, Livingston and 1 more6 hr
May 9, 10:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Carlisle, Graves, Hickman, McCracken93 min
May 10, 4:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Fulton and 13 more67 min
May 10, 6:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 23 more86 min
May 10, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.