Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 439

April 24, 201648 counties in Kansas; 8 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 24, 2016, 5:50 PM CDT for 48 counties in Kansas; 8 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 55 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 24, 2016, 5:50 PM CDT (22:50 UTC)
Expired
Apr 24, 2016, 6:45 PM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 56 counties

Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Brown County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Kay County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2016-04-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 102 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2016-04-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 412 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
102 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-338 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1300 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
412 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
419 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

739 
ACUS11 KWNS 242251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242250 
KSZ000-OKZ000-242345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0439
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0550 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL OK INTO CNTRL/ERN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 102...

VALID 242250Z - 242345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 102 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF WW 102.
PORTIONS OF THE TORNADO WATCH IN S-CNTRL KS AND N-CNTRL OK MAY BE
CANCELLED EARLY IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE.

DISCUSSION...ONGOING SUPERCELL OVER OTTAWA/SALINE COUNTIES IN KS
WILL CONTINUE NEWD OVER THE NEXT HOUR...POSING A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. LATEST RAP
MESOANALYSIS AND VWPS FROM KTOP/KICT SUGGEST THE LOW-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE SHORT
TERM ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/ERN KS AS A LOW-LEVEL JET PRESENT OVER
MUCH OF THE MCD AREA STRENGTHENS WITH TIME THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.

FURTHER S ACROSS S-CNTRL KS INTO N-CNTRL OK...VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A LACK OF RECENT CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
DRYLINE...AND AGITATED CUMULUS THAT WAS PRESENT EARLIER HAS
DISSIPATED. THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS
REGION IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THIS EVENING AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT WITH THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN/CNTRL
PLAINS BECOMES INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM THIS AREA. IF CURRENT
TRENDS CONTINUE...PORTIONS OF THE TORNADO WATCH ACROSS S-CNTRL KS
INTO N-CNTRL OK MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED EARLY.

..GLEASON.. 04/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   36159959 36589961 36589961 37729955 39129904 39949794
            39969535 39699536 38039551 37299595 36259693 36159713
            36159734 36159959

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 23, 9:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Logan, Rawlins, Scott, Sherman and 3 more92 min
Apr 24, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clay, Cloud, Comanche, Dickinson and 19 more2 hr
Apr 24, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith8 hr
Apr 24, 3:04 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Brown, Butler, Chase, Clay and 39 more9 hr
Apr 24, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Jewell, Marshall, Nemaha, Republic, Washington65 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.