Severe Thunderstorm Warning 271, NWS San Angelo, TX

420 
WWUS54 KSJT 162230
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
530 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2016

TXC151-162239-
/O.CAN.KSJT.SV.W.0271.000000T0000Z-160916T2245Z/
FISHER TX-
530 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FISHER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3296 9973 3265 9974 3278 10014 3289 10015
      3296 10014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 299DEG 17KT 3285 9993 

$$

TXC253-162245-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0271.000000T0000Z-160916T2245Z/
JONES TX-
530 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN JONES COUNTY...

AT 529 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ANSON...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ANSON AROUND 545 PM CDT. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
FUNSTON... TUXEDO AND THE INTERSECTION OF US-180 AND RANCH ROAD 126.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 9973 3265 9974 3278 10014 3289 10015
      3296 10014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 299DEG 17KT 3285 9993 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
314 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

The NAM and GFS models both close an upper low off the southern
California/northern Baja coast overnight while an upper high
builds over southern Texas. This will place the forecast area in a
roughly zonal upper flow aloft. Both the HRRR and the NAM and to
some degree the GFS bring disturbances in the flow aloft over the
mid and upper portions of the CWA this evening. Will therefore
place the best chance of rainfall over the Big Country with lesser
POPs over the mid-section of the CWA. As the upper high over
southern Texas builds further northward and over the southern
portions of the CWA during the day on Saturday,the best chance of
rainfall will be relegated to the northern half of the forecast
area.

Will not see much change in the highs and lows over the area with
morning lows in the upper 60s to around 70 and the afternoon highs
around the 90 degree mark.

15

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)

Models have continued to trend drier for the long term forecast.

There is a weak shortwave currently moving southeast through the
ID/MT area this afternoon that is expected to make its way into
the southern plains by Saturday night. As this trough swings
through, an MCS may develop across the Caprock area and move
southeast into the northern half of our CWA late Saturday night
into Sunday morning. Will go ahead and keep slight chance to
chance PoPs in the forecast from Saturday night into Sunday for
this reason.

After Sunday, the ridge builds and strengthens from the Southern
Plains east into the Carolinas. This will return us to more
summer-like conditions, keeping our high temperatures 5 to 10
degrees warmer than normal, and precipitation chances low.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 70  89  69  93 /  50  30  20  20
San Angelo 	 70  92  69  94 /  30  20  10  10
Junction 	 70  93  70  95 /  10  20  10  10
Brownwood 	 71  91  70  93 /  40  30  10  20
Sweetwater 	 68  88  69  92 /  60  30  20  20
Ozona      	 71  92  69  93 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
301 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2016

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-172015-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
301 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. THIS RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING TO BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.