Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS San Angelo, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
334 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

Dryline storms rapidly developing this afternoon across the
eastern Permian Basin and western Concho Valley. TTU WRF and the
latest HRRR showed this nicely, and indicate that the storms
should continue to increase in coverage through the evening hours,
with perhaps another round developing after 06Z as the cold front
plows into the area. Storms should shift east out of the area
after sunrise Monday as drier air works it way in from the west.

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)

Upper level shortwave trough exits to the east and leaves dry
conditions for Monday Night. However, could see a few storms
develop across the far southeast counties on Tuesday and Tuesday
Night as the low level moisture returns just ahead of anotherweak
shortwave. Better coverage of storms possible Wednesday and
Thursday as a cold front moves into the area. Upper level ridge
tries to build into the Southern Rockies for the weekend,
producing northwest flow across the Southern Plains. Combine this
with a dryline from the Panhandle to the Permian Basin and this
sets the stage for more convection possible for next Saturday and
Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 63  86  59  94 /  60  10   0   0
San Angelo 	 64  89  58  93 /  50  10   0   5
Junction 	 66  91  61  92 /  40  10   5  20

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

07/07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
203 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-091915-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
203 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. LARGE
HAIL LARGER THAN GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MOST LIKELY THREATS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS
WELL. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AND PERHAPS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A FEW STORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
322 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

TXZ054-066-113-127-128-082100-
JONES TX-RUNNELS TX-CALLAHAN TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX-
322 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL CALLAHAN...TAYLOR
EAST CENTRAL NOLAN COUNTIES AND WEST CENTRAL CALLAHAN UNTIL 400 PM
CDT...

AT 321 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HAPPY VALLEY...
OR 15 MILES NORTH OF WINTERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TUSCOLA AND VIEW AROUND 345 PM CDT.
  BUFFALO GAP AROUND 350 PM CDT.
  POTOSI AROUND 400 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE IMPACT...LAKE ABILENE...
CAMP TONKAWA...PUMPHREY...DRASCO...OVALO...KIRBY LAKE AND CAMP BUTMAN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3202 10008 3222 10026 3260 9983 3224 9946
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 235DEG 30KT 3216 10005

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
347 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 PM     HAIL             SILVER                  32.07N 100.68W
05/08/2016  E1.75 INCH       COKE               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1600106

PM

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>