Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

July 29, 2016Oregon County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Jul 29, 2016, 3:05 PM CDT for Oregon County, Missouri. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 29, 2016, 3:05 PM CDT (20:05 UTC)
Expired: Jul 29, 2016, 3:30 PM CDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO

County Oregon County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 192 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1513 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 717 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 29, 2:57 PM CDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 2:57 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
257 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016

Thunderstorms developed ahead of windshift/cold front moving
through our eastern counties. A shortwave has enhanced winds aloft
with 30-35kt 0-6km bulk shear over the northern cwfa/central MO
down to 20 kts or so along the MO/AR border. Better instability
resides along the MO/AR border versus points north in central MO.
All-in-all there will be severe mixed mode storm risk over the
next 2-3 hours in our eastern counties with a wind/hail risk.

The effective front will drop to near the MO/AR line tonight.
Another upstream shortwave will move southeast into eastern OK/KS
late tonight and early Saturday morning with increasing chances
for some storms over the southwestern portion of the forecast
area. Overall severe storm chances will be low with this next
round of storms.

Daytime highs should actually remain below normal for this time of
year on Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016

Could see a repeat round of convection Saturday night into Sunday
with yet another shortwave moving through the area as the the sfc
front begins to lift back to the north.

Medium range guidance is still consistent in gradually building
upper level heights/ridging back into the central CONUS next week.
We will see a return to hotter temperatures with the possibility
of heat advisories/headlines with heat indices progged to reach
over 100-105 deg F again for a few days. Rain chances, while not
zero, will be greatly reduced by this time with high
pressure/warmer air aloft.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Fri Jul 29 2016

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue
throughout this afternoon, with tempo groups for KSGF and KBBG.
Localized MVFR conditions will occur in the vicinity of
thunderstorms. Confidence is not high for tomorrow morning so a
prob30 group has been added to all TAF sites. Outside of
thunderstorms conditions will be VFR with light winds.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Foscato

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 1:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
145 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-301845-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
145 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AN AREA EAST OF A LINE FROM
ELDON TO SPRINGFIELD TO BRANSON THIS AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS
AND UP TO ONE INCH HAIL WILL BE POSISBLE WITH A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE OUTLOOK AREA ON A DAILY
BASIS FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MAY BRING A MORE
WIDESPREAD CHANCE OF RAINFALL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
90S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND ALONG THE MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS BORDER. HIGHER HEAT
INDICES OVER 100 DEGREES WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVER PARTS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 1:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
139 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

MOZ082-092-291915-
WRIGHT MO-TEXAS MO-
139 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WRIGHT AND
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...

AT 138 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NORWOOD...OR NEAR MOUNTAIN GROVE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
MOUNTAIN GROVE...                 CABOOL...
DAWSON...                         NORWOOD...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 9247 3726 9245 3725 9202 3707 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 273DEG 26KT 3717 9237

TERRY

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 1:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
152 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

MOZ096-097-105-291915-
OZARK MO-DOUGLAS MO-HOWELL MO-
152 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HOWELL...EASTERN DOUGLAS
AND EASTERN OZARK COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...

AT 152 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF MOUNTAIN
GROVE TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF GAINESVILLE TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
PRICE PLACE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
NORFORK LAKE...                   GAINESVILLE...
BAKERSFIELD...                    SOUTH FORK...
PONTIAC...                        MOODY...
SILOAM SPRINGS...                 DORA...
ZANONI...                         UDALL...
TECUMSEH...                       POTTERSVILLE...
SYCAMORE...                       VANZANT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3653 9266 3672 9242 3706 9231 3705 9201
      3650 9192 3650 9260
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 297DEG 31KT 3696 9225 3670 9236 3656 9253

TERRY

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 2:14 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
214 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

MOZ082-096-097-105-291945-
OZARK MO-DOUGLAS MO-TEXAS MO-HOWELL MO-
214 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HOWELL...SOUTHERN TEXAS...EASTERN
DOUGLAS AND EASTERN OZARK COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 213 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF CABOOL TO
NEAR BAKERSFIELD...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
WEST PLAINS...                    MOUNTAIN VIEW...
WILLOW SPRINGS...                 CABOOL...
HOUSTON...                        POMONA...
BAKERSFIELD...                    SOUTH FORK...
MOODY...                          SILOAM SPRINGS...
DORA...                           CLEAR SPRINGS...
PEACE VALLEY...                   SIMMONS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 9221 3733 9166 3650 9174 3650 9226
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 276DEG 26KT 3700 9214 3652 9218

TERRY

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 2:46 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
246 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

MOZ082-083-098-292030-
SHANNON MO-DENT MO-TEXAS MO-
246 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SHANNON...DENT AND
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 246 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF SALEM TO
NEAR LICKING TO NEAR RAYMONDVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
MONTAUK STATE PARK...             SALEM...
LICKING...                        BUNKER...
STONE HILL...                     HOWES MILL...
GLADDEN...                        ANUTT...
SLIGO...                          BOSS...
DARIEN...                         HOWES...
TURTLE...                         LENOX...
JADWIN...                         BANGERT...
AKERS...                          MONTAUK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3759 9131 3751 9131 3750 9121 3742 9121
      3741 9117 3734 9118 3738 9190 3760 9186
      3760 9181 3777 9181 3778 9131 3770 9130
      3769 9115 3759 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 273DEG 36KT 3768 9178 3754 9179 3740 9183

TERRY

Local storm report, Jul 29, 2:54 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE BAKERSFIELD        36.55N 92.10W
07/29/2016                   HOWELL             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS DOWNED TREE LIMBS ON
            HIGHWAY YY.

&&

DCRAMER

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 3:05 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
305 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

MOZ098-106-292030-
SHANNON MO-OREGON MO-
305 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SHANNON AND
NORTHEASTERN OREGON COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 304 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTH OF WINONA...OR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VAN BUREN...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
GREER...

LAT...LON 3676 9135 3693 9144 3702 9122 3685 9122
      3683 9123 3682 9119
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 259DEG 11KT 3690 9130

TERRY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 28, 7:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	43 min
Jul 28, 8:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Oregon	55 min
Jul 29, 11:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Stone	22 min
Jul 29, 12:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Stone	36 min
Jul 29, 12:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Pulaski	47 min
Jul 29, 1:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Pulaski	46 min
Jul 29, 1:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Wright	36 min
Jul 29, 1:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Ozark	23 min
Jul 29, 1:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas	34 min
Jul 29, 2:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	31 min
Jul 29, 2:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon, Ozark	47 min
Jul 29, 2:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dent	44 min
Jul 29, 3:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Shannon	45 min
Jul 29, 3:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Oregon	50 min
Jul 29, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Shannon	29 min
Jul 29, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Shannon	13 min
Jul 29, 5:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Douglas, Wright	46 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.