Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Springfield, MO

May 28, 2016Dent County, Phelps County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 28, 2016, 11:24 PM CDT for Dent County, Phelps County, Missouri. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 28, 2016, 11:24 PM CDT (04:24 UTC)
Expired: May 29, 2016, 12:15 AM CDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

Counties Dent County, MO, Phelps County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1870 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1047 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.5
Supercell composite: 3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

263 
WUUS53 KSGF 290424
SVRSGF
MOC065-161-290515-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0075.160529T0424Z-160529T0515Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1124 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN DENT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHERN PHELPS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT

* AT 1123 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES NORTH
  OF LICKING...OR 15 MILES WEST OF SALEM...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EDGAR SPRINGS...                  LECOMA...
  LENOX...                          BANGERT...
  ANUTT...                          LAKE SPRING...
  HOWES...                          

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3763 9181 3763 9185 3773 9192 3793 9154
      3779 9153 3772 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0423Z 254DEG 11KT 3770 9181 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

DSA

3 follow-up statements

983 
WWUS53 KSGF 290444
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1144 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

MOC065-161-290515-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-160529T0515Z/
DENT MO-PHELPS MO-
1144 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT AND SOUTHERN PHELPS COUNTIES...

AT 1142 PM CDT...A SLOW MOVING CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF SALEM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDGAR SPRINGS...                  LECOMA...
LENOX...                          BANGERT...
ANUTT...                          LAKE SPRING...
HOWES...                          

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3763 9181 3763 9185 3773 9192 3793 9154
      3779 9153 3772 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0442Z 244DEG 18KT 3772 9175 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

DSA

401 
WWUS53 KSGF 290507
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1207 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

MOC161-290516-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-160529T0515Z/
PHELPS MO-
1207 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PHELPS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. 

LAT...LON 3763 9180 3777 9179 3779 9153 3772 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 260DEG 22KT 3770 9166 

$$

MOC065-290515-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-160529T0515Z/
DENT MO-
1207 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT COUNTY...

AT 1206 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SALEM...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BANGERT...                        ANUTT...
HOWES...                          LENOX...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3763 9180 3777 9179 3779 9153 3772 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 260DEG 22KT 3770 9166 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

DSA

206 
WWUS53 KSGF 290516
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1216 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

MOC065-290526-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-160529T0515Z/
DENT MO-
1216 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL
AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3763 9180 3777 9179 3779 9153 3772 9144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0514Z 254DEG 11KT 3770 9166 

$$

DSA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 28, 6:21 PM CDT, 5 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 6:21 PM CDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
621 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

A weak cold front is working its way east through the CWA early
this afternoon. A few thunderstorms have started to develop over
parts of central Missouri, and this area along with the eastern
Ozarks will be most favored for convection through the rest of
this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorm coverage is expected to
remain widely scattered, and most locations will remain dry. Weak
shear and only moderate instability will limit any severe weather
potential through tonight. Small hail, moderately gusty winds and
frequent lightning will still be possible with any thunderstorms,
however.

Temps tonight should fall into the low to mid 60s, with somewhat
drier air building in from the northwest. This slightly drier
airmass, along with a bit of ridging aloft, should help temper
thunderstorm chances significantly through the day Sunday. Save
for perhaps an isolated shower or storm over far southwestern
Missouri, it looks as if the Sunday will be a dry day for the vast
majority of the forecast area.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

Models indicate a slow backing of the upper level flow from
Memorial Day through the middle of next week. The models have also
been consistent in bringing short wave energy through the central
Plains and then Mid-Mississippi Valley during the day on Memorial
Day during peak heating. This should result in at least scattered
shower and thunderstorm activity.

A stronger short wave trough will then dig and close off across
the northern Plains from Tuesday into Wednesday. This should drive
a cold front into, and eventually through the Ozarks from
Wednesday into early Thursday. This will continue the chances for
showers and thunderstorms.

Cooler weather is then expected behind the front by the end of
next week with increasing potential for dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 615 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016

Widely scattered convection in progress across south-central into
central Missouri...but is north and east of the terminals and not
expected to affect them.

Expect VFR conditions across the terminal sites through the
forecast period. South to southwest winds are expected to become
light and variable overnight and remain that way during the day on
Sunday.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Boxell
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 8:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
804 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-300115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
804 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO LATE
  EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI AND THE EASTERN OZARKS. A FEW
  SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 AND
  EAST OF HIGHWAY 63...WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS BEING
  THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  A FEW STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES SUNDAY WITH A
  BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS ON MEMORIAL DAY. THE MAIN POTENTIAL
  HAZARDS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
  STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

  THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL THEN CONTINUE NEXT WEEK AS
  MORE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TRACK THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAEDE

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 8:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
831 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     HAIL             NEWBURG                 37.91N 91.90W
05/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       PHELPS             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA FROM LOCAL TELEVISION STATION.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

DSA

Local storm report, May 28, 8:52 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
852 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             4 SW NEWBURG            37.87N 91.95W
05/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       PHELPS             MO   PUBLIC

&&

DSA

Local storm report, May 28, 9:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
915 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             6 SSW BRUSHYKNOB        36.90N 92.54W
05/28/2016  E1.75 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   PUBLIC

            PICTURE RELAYED VIA EMAIL.

&&

DSA

Local storm report, May 28, 9:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
956 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     HAIL             5 N EDGAR SPRINGS       37.78N 91.87W
05/28/2016  E0.75 INCH       PHELPS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SRUNNELS

Special weather statement, May 28, 10:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1013 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

MOZ071-290400-
PHELPS MO-
1013 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTY UNTIL
1100 PM CDT...

AT 1013 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROLLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL PHELPS
COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3779 9164 3781 9171 3789 9173 3791 9153
      3779 9153
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 239DEG 14KT 3784 9165

DSA

Special weather statement, May 28, 10:55 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1055 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

MOZ071-083-290445-
PHELPS MO-DENT MO-
1055 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DENT AND SOUTHERN
PHELPS COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

AT 1055 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES NORTH OF LICKING...OR 14 MILES EAST OF FORT LEONARD WOOD...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
ROLLA...                          EDGAR SPRINGS...
LECOMA...                         LENOX...
BEULAH...                         ANUTT...
LAKE SPRING...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 181 AND 183.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3760 9183 3763 9195 3772 9202 3795 9173
      3779 9153 3774 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 221DEG 17KT 3769 9189

DSA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 7:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas	25 min
May 28, 7:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Maries	27 min
May 28, 7:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Phelps	48 min
May 28, 8:46 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Phelps	6 hr
May 28, 10:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Phelps	47 min
May 28, 10:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Phelps	50 min
May 28, 11:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dent, Phelps	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.