Severe Thunderstorm Warning 250, NWS Blacksburg, VA

146 
WWUS51 KRNK 172201
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
601 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

VAC017-172230-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0250.000000T0000Z-160817T2230Z/
BATH VA-
601 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BATH COUNTY...

AT 601 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR BURNSVILLE TO NEAR YOST...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURNSVILLE...
AND WILLIAMSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS. FOR YOUR SAFETY...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS REPORTS OF ANY WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3820 7956 3818 7951 3815 7953 3817 7949
      3816 7944 3810 7949 3809 7948 3809 7963
      3811 7973 3815 7978 3819 7978 3823 7973
      3822 7971
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 275DEG 21KT 3822 7962 3812 7955 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RAB

235 
WWUS51 KRNK 172207
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
607 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

VAC017-172217-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0250.000000T0000Z-160817T2230Z/
BATH VA-
607 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN BATH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS REPORTS OF ANY WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3820 7956 3818 7951 3815 7953 3817 7949
      3816 7944 3810 7949 3809 7948 3809 7963
      3811 7973 3815 7978 3819 7978 3823 7973
      3822 7971
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 248DEG 54KT 3824 7954 3814 7947 

$$

RAB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
409 PM EDT Wed Aug 17 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Dissipating cold front will erode over the Mid Atlantic region
tonight. A stronger front over the central United States on
Friday will cross through the region on Sunday night and Monday.
The air mass behind this front is expected to be less humid.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 345 PM EDT Wednesday...

Two lifting mechanism have triggered thunderstorms over the
forecast area today. Daytime heating and an unstable air mass were
were the main forcing for the band of thunderstorms that
developed along the Blue Ridge and was moving into the foothills
and piedmont. Gusty winds are possible with any of the stronger
thunderstorms in the line as they move into an environment with
favorable downdraft CAPES of 800 to 1000 J/KG.

Short wave energy was energy crossing out of West Virginia and
forecast to track across northern Virginia. The associated
thunderstorms were moving into the southeast West Virginia
counties of the forecast area as of 4PM. Some of the High
resolution guidance had this cluster of storms moving east out of
the forecast area around 00Z. Another short wave will cross the
area tonight which will prolong the higher probability of
precipitation through the day in the mountains, especially in the
southwest part of the forecast area.

Clouds and precipitation will again limit heating in the
afternoon. Lows tonight will remain muggy with little drop in dew
points.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A frontal boundary will near the southern portion of the forecast
area, or south of the region, Thursday night. The exact location is
not clear cut, but a persistence forecast trends at least the
northern half of the region to limited, if any, remaining
precipitation during this time frame. The southern half will be more
prone to lingering showers for at least the first half of Thursday
night.

On Friday, what degree of decrease of precipitation that takes place
Thursday night will reverse course. An approaching trough across
central CONUS will help bring southerly flow back into the area and
lift the frontal boundary north again. Look for an increase in
precipitation during the day. Some decrease is anticipated Friday
night with the loss of daytime heating.

Saturday into Saturday night, the combination of the the frontal
boundary likely to be in the neighborhood of the forecast area, and
a nearer approach of the upper trough will promote even better
chances of showers and storms, especially in the west Saturday
afternoon.

Temperatures during this portion of the forecast will trend cooler,
but still average a few degree above average for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

As of 235 PM EDT Wednesday...

A strong cold front will approach the region Sunday morning, and
cross the area either Sunday night or early Monday morning. Guidance
is still flip-flopping on this detail. In advance of the front, look
for a significant increase in the coverage of showers and storms. In
the wake of the front, either Monday morning or Monday afternoon,
the area is expected to experience its first notable change in
airmass that has occurred in some time.

A cooler air mass with lower dew points will be in place across the
area by Tuesday and Wednesday. Both of these days, expect highs
across the mountains in the mid 70s to near 80 with the low to mid
80s across the Piedmont. Low temperatures will range from the mid to
upper 50s across the mountains to the low to mid 60s across the
Piedmont.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Wednesday...

Scattered thunderstorms with heavy rain and gusty winds have
again developed between KBCB and KTNB. High confidence that most
locations along and west of the Blue Ridge will have a
thunderstorms sometime before 00Z/8PM. With high moist
environment storms will bring MVFR to IFR conditions if they move
over an airport along with gusty winds in spots.

Showers and storms look to linger into late this evening as a weak
disturbance crosses the region so including either a VCSH or
prevailing MVFR/VFR after 00Z/8PM at KLWB,KBLF, and KBCB. Once
convection fades should see more in the way of fog overnight
espcly where heavier rainfall occurred earlier. However the degree
of clouds may limit formation of anything but MVFR visibilities.

Extended aviation discussion...

For Thursday and beyond, the area of high pressure along the
southeast Atlantic coast is expected to weaken. This will allow a
frontal system to begin moving south into the region, resulting
in an increased coverage of showers/thunderstorms with attendant
periods of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys. Early morning low clouds and
fog will likely be on the increase also. Friday will offer the
best break in this pattern with the better probability of
precipitation moving into North Carolina. Confidence is medium to
low on this short-lived drier weather. The chance of showers and
thunderstorms returns on Saturday into Sunday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM...DS
AVIATION...AMS/JH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
207 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

VAZ018>020-023-024-WVZ042>044-507-508-181100-
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
207 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 449 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BEFORE 8PM.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>017-022-032>035-043>047-058-059-181100-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
207 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR INTO
THIS EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. IN ADDITION
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING
WHERE THE STRONGER STORMS PERSIST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
435 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

VAZ058-059-172130-
CHARLOTTE-HALIFAX-
435 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHARLOTTE
AND CENTRAL HALIFAX COUNTIES...

AT 434 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DRYBURG...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HALIFAX...
KEYSVILLE...
CLOVER...
REDOAK...
AND DRAKES BRANCH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3689 7849 3670 7865 3668 7862 3665 7859
      3665 7860 3669 7865 3669 7868 3668 7870
      3663 7871 3682 7899 3696 7875 3705 7845
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 139DEG 8KT 3675 7869

RAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
440 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SNOW CREEK              36.83N 79.75W
08/17/2016                   FRANKLIN           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN THE SNOW CREEK AREA.

&&

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
448 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSE MONTVALE          37.33N 79.70W
08/17/2016                   BEDFORD            VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN OVER 6400 BLOCK OF QUARTERWOOD RD. TIME
            RADAR ESTIMATED

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE MONTVALE           37.34N 79.69W
08/17/2016                   BEDFORD            VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN OVER 2700 BLOCK OF QUARLES RD. TIME RADAR
            ESTIMATED.

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE MONTVALE           37.35N 79.69W
08/17/2016                   BEDFORD            VA   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN OVER 3400 BLOCK OF QUARLES RD. TIME RADAR
            ESTIMATED.

&&

JRUCKMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
450 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-045-058-172145-
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HALIFAX-CAMPBELL-PITTSYLVANIA-
450 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CASWELL...
NORTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM...PITTSYLVANIA...SOUTHEASTERN
CAMPBELL...AND WESTERN HALIFAX COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF DANVILLE...

AT 449 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CLIMAX TO NEAR WESTOVER HILLS TO NEAR
EDEN. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DANVILLE...
EDEN...
SOUTH BOSTON...
WENTWORTH...
AND YANCEYVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOCATION DANVILLE AIRPORT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3645 7992 3654 7975 3654 7972 3662 7961
      3696 7951 3718 7889 3670 7895 3654 7903
      3654 7914 3633 7915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 262DEG 20KT 3690 7945 3664 7953 3648 7979

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
527 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

VAZ019-020-WVZ507-172230-
BATH-ALLEGHANY-EASTERN GREENBRIER-
527 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BATH...NORTH CENTRAL
ALLEGHANY COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND EAST CENTRAL
GREENBRIER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 526 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE CLUSTERED OVER LAKE
MOOMAW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA
SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOT SPRINGS...
WARM SPRINGS...
YOST...
NATURAL WELL...
AND MOUNTAIN GROVE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3822 7971 3820 7956 3818 7951 3815 7953
      3817 7949 3816 7944 3810 7949 3809 7948
      3805 7952 3803 7951 3801 7954 3786 7997
      3805 8012 3806 7996 3810 7993 3813 7995
      3815 7992 3818 7992 3825 7983 3827 7980
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 229DEG 22KT 3800 7996

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
531 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

VAZ009-012-015-172230-
WYTHE-SMYTH-GRAYSON-
531 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL GRAYSON...SOUTHEASTERN
SMYTH AND SOUTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTIES...

AT 530 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNT ROGERS
SUMMIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

BRIEF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RURAL RETREAT...
MOUNT ROGERS NATIONAL RECREATION AREA...
SPEEDWELL...
SUGAR GROVE...
AND TROUTDALE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3663 8159 3673 8164 3698 8119 3674 8104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 243DEG 15KT 3671 8151

RAB