Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Blacksburg, VA

505 
WWUS51 KRNK 242031
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
331 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

VAC009-680-242041-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-160224T2115Z/
AMHERST VA-CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-
331 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
SOUTH CENTRAL AMHERST  AND THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM
EST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3666 7904 3694 7912 3706 7909 3743 7903
      3743 7902 3745 7901 3746 7897 3747 7872
      3744 7869 3720 7869 3684 7868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 249DEG 27KT 3744 7874 3687 7897 

$$

VAC011-031-037-083-242115-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-160224T2115Z/
APPOMATTOX VA-CHARLOTTE VA-CAMPBELL VA-HALIFAX VA-
331 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST
FOR
APPOMATTOX...NORTHWESTERN CHARLOTTE...EASTERN CAMPBELL AND CENTRAL
HALIFAX COUNTIES...

AT 331 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR TOWER HILL TO NEAR CRYSTAL HILL...MOVING EAST AT
30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTH BOSTON...
APPOMATTOX...
HALIFAX...
BROOKNEAL...
AND PHENIX. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FOR YOUR
SAFETY...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM
EST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3666 7904 3694 7912 3706 7909 3743 7903
      3743 7902 3745 7901 3746 7897 3747 7872
      3744 7869 3720 7869 3684 7868
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 249DEG 27KT 3744 7874 3687 7897 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

16

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1035 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BRINGING GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND SOME
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM COLDER AIR AND WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS INTO
FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1030 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS THINKING. WEDGE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS
THE AREA BUT IT IS ERODING ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND WESTERN
PERIPHERY. BELIEVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM
THE BLUE RIDGE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WEDGE ERODES AND THE
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH STRONG DYNAMICS. WILL NOT BE MAKING
ANY CHANGES AT THIS TIME TO THE CURRENT SUITE OF WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ALREADY IN EFFECT.

PREVIOUS AFD...

WEDGE FIRMLY IN PLACE THIS MORNING WITH RAIN/DRIZZLE COVERING MUCH
OF THE AREA...WITH MOST OF THE RAIN IN THE NC MTNS AND FOOTHILLS
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN VA BLUE RIDGE.

WEATHER TODAY WILL BE VERY ACTIVE WITH SEVERAL ISSUES TO DEAL WITH.
GRADIENT WINDS...FLOOD THREAT AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT.

THIS MORNING...STRONG SFC LOW WAS LOCATED OVER WESTERN TN. WEDGE
FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM SRN WV SOUTH TOWARD UPSTATE SC/NE GA THEN
EAST ACROSS SRN NC. QUESTION WILL BE HOLD QUICK THE RAIN/WAA AND
STRONG LOW LVL JET CAN ERODE THE WEDGE TODAY. MODELS TEND TO BE TOO
QUICK IN THIS...BUT GIVEN SUCH A STRONG SOUTHERLY JET AND WITH
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS...WARMER AIR SHOULD WIN OUT BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. THE ACTUAL SFC LOWS MOVES NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEDGE RETREATING.

A 60+ KT LOW LVL JET ACROSS TN THIS MORNING WORKS EAST TO THE
PIEDMONT BY MID AFTERNOON THEN EAST OF US BY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL
BE A CULPRIT FOR GRADIENT WINDS TO EXCEED 45 MPH AT TIMES OVER THE
SRN WV TO NW NC MTNS IN THE FAVORED SE DOWNSLOPE AREAS. WIND
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH 4 PM...WHEN THE
SE LOW LVL COMPONENT TURNS MORE SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST. GIVEN THE
STRONG LOW LVL WINDS...THE HIGHER RIDGES OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND
ALLEGHANYS MAY PASS WIND ADVISORY LEVELS...HOWEVER...THE WEDGE
APPEARS TO KEEP THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM AFFECTING MOST OF THE
POPULATION.

AS FAR AS THE FLOOD THREAT...SEE HYDRO DISCUSSION BELOW. NO CHANGES
TO THE HEADLINE THOUGH FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL BE HIGHER AT TIMES
GIVEN DEEPER CONVECTION EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ALONG/EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE LATE THIS MORNING THRU THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR SEVERE WX...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS AN HIGHEST RISK
SOUTHEAST OF A CHARLOTTE COURT HOUSE TO DANVILLE TO REIDSVILLE
LINE...WITH SLIGHT RISK AS FAR WEST AS THE BLUE RIDGE. THE DYNAMICS
ARE THERE FOR SVR WINDS...WITH BULK SHEAR OF 60 KTS...STORM MOTION
SPEED WILL BE 40 TO 55 KTS. STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES WILL ALSO BE
HIGH IN THE 400-600 RANGE AND WITH RETREATING WEDGE FRONT EXPECT
SOME POTENTIAL SPINUPS. THE LIMITING FACTOR IS THERMODYNAMICS AS
CLOUD COVER WILL BE EXTENSIVE...BUT HIGH-RES MODELS FAVOR BREAKS IN
BETWEEN THE RAIN/DRIZZLE THIS MORNING AND THE LINE OF CONVECTION
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SPELLS A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO FIRE UP. STILL THINK BIGGEST THREAT WILL LIE IN THE
FAR SE CWA AROUND SOUTH BOSTON...DANVILLE/YANCEYVILLE...AND POINTS
SOUTH AND EAST. ALL OF THIS WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HWO.

AS FOR TEMPS WILL SEE IT STAY IN THE 40S ACROSS THE WEDGED AREAS
THROUGH MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON THEN WARM INTO THE 50S BY 3-5PM. HAVE
IT WARMER WHERE WEDGE BREAKS DOWN FASTER...I.E. SOUTHSIDE VA/NW NC
PIEDMONT WHERE IT SHOULD GET TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S. THIS FORECAST
HINGES ON THE WEDGE BREAKING BUT NOT UNTIL LATE. SO IF THE WEDGE
STAYS IN PLACE LONGER...WE BUST THE FORECAST ON THE WARM SIDE...BUT
IF THE WEDGE ERODES FASTER...AND SUNSHINE PUSHES THROUGH FOR AN
HOUR...TEMPS IN DANVILLE TO SOUTH BOSTON TO YANCEYVILLE COULD TOP 70.
WENT CLOSER TO THE HIGH-RES LOCAL WRF...THE 06Z LAMP AND THE NAM
GUIDANCE WHICH HOLDS THE WEDGE LONGER...BUT NOT TOO LONG.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 400 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

RAPIDLY DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE
TONIGHT...MOVING FROM OHIO INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO...THE SURFACE
PRESSURE FALLING TO NEAR 980 MB BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY.  THE
ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE EAST
COAST...PRESSURE RISES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND DEPARTING
CYCLONE RESULTING IN STRONG GUSTY WINDS WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. 85H WINDS...OR WINDS 3 TO 5KFT ABOVE THE
SURFACE WILL BE HUMMING ALONG AT NEAR 50 KTS. THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE
INTO HEALTHY SURFACE GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGE CRESTS.

IN ADDITION TO THE WIND...COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BRING TEMPERATURES
BACK TO A MORE WINTRY FEEL. MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT H85 TEMPS
BOTTOM OUT AROUND -12C BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE ANY
LINGERING MOISTURE TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW WITH PRIMARY IMPACT FROM
ACCUMULATION CONFINED TO AREAS WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND MOST
PROMINENTLY ALONG OUR WESTERN SLOPES FROM THE MOUNTAINS WEST OF
LEWISBURG TO THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA. FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...OVER ABOUT A 24 TO 30 HOUR PERIOD...WILL BE
LOOKING AT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500
FEET...AND AN INCH OR TWO IN BOONE...TAZEWELL...BLUEFIELD...AND
LEWISBURG. A DUSTING TO AN INCH IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEW RIVER VALLEY
AND HIGHLANDS OF VA...AND JUST FLURRIES ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE. DRY
DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL SCOUR THE CLOUDS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WITH
LITTLE OR SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

WILL NEED TO ADDRESS THE WIND AND SNOW ACCUMULATION HAZARD AT SOME
POINT WITH A HEADLINE...IN OTHER WORDS A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OR
WIND ADVISORY. FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THIS IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IN LIEU OF ADDING MORE HEADLINES TO THE
HODGEPODGE OF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES THAT WE ARE ALREADY
ADDRESSING IN THE NEAR TERM FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM EST TUESDAY...

BY SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD FINALLY BUILD OVERHEAD AND
PROVIDE DRY WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE MID ATLANTIC. THE HIGH SHOULD
SHIFT EASTWARD ON SUNDAY...AND ALLOW MILDER AIR TO RETURN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY JUMP TEN DEGREES
HIGHER BETWEEN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
SHOULD ARRIVE BY MONDAY...BUT THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
WITH DETAILS IN TIMING AND QPF BETWEEN THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF
MODELS. REGARDLESS...THE PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO BE JUST RAIN FOR
MONDAY...SO CHANCE POPS WERE INSERTED WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES IN THE
WESTERN MOUNTAINS. THE RAIN MAY CHANGE OVER TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS
DURING MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE TRANSITIONING BACK TO RAIN ON TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 645 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

TAF SITES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE POOR FLIGHT
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WEDGE RETREATING/ERODING
FROM BLF/DAN NWD THROUGH TONIGHT AS STRONG LOW LVL JET MIXES
WARMER AIR DOWN.

ISSUES WILL LOW CIGS/VSBYS AT TIMES EARLY ALONG WITH LOW LVL WIND
SHEAR. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY FROM THE SE THEN SW TO WEST THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FROM BCB/ROA EAST AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE PREVALENT MORESO SOUTH AND EAST OF
KDAN. ATTM...CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH IN HAVING THUNDER PREDOMINANTLY
IN TAFS AND LEFT VCTS AT LYH/DAN ONLY. IN ADDITION...SOME
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

FRONT AND RAIN SWINGS EAST BY 00Z...THEN COLDER SW TO W WINDS KICK
IN OVERNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AT BLF/LWB TOWARD 12Z THU.

GUSTS ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WILL BE IN THE 20 TO 30 KT
RANGE OR HIGHER LATER TONIGHT.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WITH MVFR/IFR CEILINGS INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
WINDS SPEEDS. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH ON FRIDAY NIGHT
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY UNDER THE HIGH.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 345 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE LATEST BLENDED TPW IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW WELL DEFINED PW
PLUME EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN U.S. THE PWAT ANOMALIES ARE ABOUT 2
TO 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN. TODAY WILL BE ABOUT WHERE
THE DEEPER CONVECTION OCCURS AND HOW FAST IT MOVES ACROSS. OUTSIDE
DEEP CONVECTION WILL SEE PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN/RAIN
SHOWERS. WITH CONVECTION THINK THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING
EXISTS...THOUGH SPEED OF STORMS WILL BE RAPID. NO CHANGES TO THE
FLOOD WATCH AS RIVERS AND STREAM CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH AND GROUND
REMAINS SATURATED.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE AND EAST AS
THINK SE COMPONENT TO THE SFC/LOW LVL WINDS WORK AS A RAIN SHADOW TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...THOUGH THEN INCREASE AMOUNTS AGAIN
UPSLOPE INTO THE ALLEGHANYS. AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM EARLY
THIS MORNING THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY WILL RANGE FROM ONE QUARTER
TO ONE HALF INCH ON THE WEST SIDE AND PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT...TO
1 TO 2 INCHES NEAR AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR VAZ007-009>020-
     022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR VAZ007-009-010-
     012-015.
NC...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ001>006-018>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ001-002-018.
WV...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WVZ042>044-507-508.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH/WP
NEAR TERM...MBS/WP
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...AMS/RCS/WP
HYDROLOGY...WP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1142 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCZ003-019-VAZ011-013-014-016>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ044-507-251645-
SURRY-WILKES-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
BEDFORD-AMHERST-MONROE-EASTERN GREENBRIER-
1142 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BRING STRONG WIND GUSTS
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS MAY ALSO GUST TO ADVISORY LEVELS LATE
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ043-508-251645-
SUMMERS-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
1142 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL MAY REACH
ADVISORY LEVELS FROM THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-251645-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER-
1142 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL MAY REACH
ADVISORY LEVELS FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-251645-
STOKES-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
1142 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO
POSSIBLE. THE TIMING FOR THIS WILL BE BETWEEN NOON AND 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ005-006-251645-
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-
1142 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 26 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   TORNADO WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO
POSSIBLE. THE TIMING FOR THIS WILL BE BETWEEN NOON AND 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
222 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSW FLOYD             36.86N 80.33W
02/24/2016                   FLOYD              VA   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER LINE BLOWN DOWN NEAR FAIRVIEW CHURCH ROAD AND ROUTE
            8.

&&

HYSELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
226 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

VAZ023-024-034-035-045-242000-
ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-BOTETOURT-CAMPBELL-BEDFORD-
226 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
AMHERST...ROCKBRIDGE...CITY OF LEXINGTON...WESTERN CAMPBELL...CITY OF
BUENA VISTA...NORTHEASTERN BOTETOURT...CITY OF LYNCHBURG AND BEDFORD
COUNTIES...

AT 223 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH ACROSS CENTRAL ROCKBRIDGE AND BEDFORD COUNTIES. WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYNCHBURG...
LEXINGTON...
BUENA VISTA...
BEDFORD...
AND ALTAVISTA.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
VMI...LIBERTY UNIVERSITY...THE NATIONAL D DAY MEMORIAL...AND
LYNCHBURG AIRPORT.

LAT...LON 3789 7915 3781 7917 3778 7907 3772 7906
      3707 7915 3705 7919 3712 7921 3710 7930
      3714 7934 3706 7941 3706 7949 3701 7948
      3705 7954 3704 7960 3719 7976 3776 7968
      3785 7961 3788 7965 3802 7953 3804 7940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 267DEG 36KT 3794 7939 3708 7951

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
228 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S CHRISTIANSBURG      37.07N 80.41W
02/24/2016                   MONTGOMERY         VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON UNION VALLEY ROAD

&&

FISHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
229 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW BLACKSBURG        37.21N 80.50W
02/24/2016                   MONTGOMERY         VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON PRICES FORK ROAD NEAR MCCOY RD

&&

FISHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
238 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0156 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAYODAN                 36.41N 79.97W
02/24/2016                   ROCKINGHAM         NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

HYSELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
241 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE WALNUT COVE       36.26N 80.11W
02/24/2016                   STOKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 65

&&

FISHER