Severe Thunderstorm Warning 26, NWS Raleigh, NC

775 
WWUS52 KRAH 140214
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1014 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

NCC127-140223-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160314T0230Z/
NASH NC-
1014 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN NASH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE... THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3610 7724 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734
      3589 7735 3593 7765 3620 7755 3621 7738
      3619 7735 3619 7733 3617 7731 3616 7727
      3614 7726 3613 7725 3612 7725 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 272DEG 25KT 3604 7750 

$$

NCC065-083-140230-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160314T0230Z/
HALIFAX NC-EDGECOMBE NC-
1014 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND NORTHEASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 1013 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SCOTLAND NECK...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF TARBORO...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TARBORO...SCOTLAND NECK...HOBGOOD...SPEED AND LEGGETT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 7724 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734
      3589 7735 3593 7765 3620 7755 3621 7738
      3619 7735 3619 7733 3617 7731 3616 7727
      3614 7726 3613 7725 3612 7725 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 272DEG 25KT 3604 7750 

$$

GIH

942 
WWUS52 KRAH 140232
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1032 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

NCC065-083-140242-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160314T0230Z/
HALIFAX NC-EDGECOMBE NC-
1032 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND
NORTHEASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE... THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...
SMALL HAIL IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3610 7724 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734
      3589 7735 3593 7765 3620 7755 3621 7738
      3619 7735 3619 7733 3617 7731 3616 7727
      3614 7726 3613 7725 3612 7725 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 272DEG 25KT 3604 7750 

$$

GIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
830 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL TRACK EAST
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM SUNDAY...

WITH LEAD BATCH OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION...
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE EASTERN PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN WHERE STRONG INSOLATION
HAS ALLOWED SBCAPE VALUES TO GROW ~1000 J/KG. THIS AREA OF STORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST AND SHOULD EXIT THE AREA IN THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING
BETWEEN 00 TO 06Z...WHEN A SECOND SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE(CURRENTLY OVER ALABAMA)
TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION. LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...SHOULD LIMIT THUNDER.
RAIN CHANCES SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS EVENING...WITH
A LULL UNTIL THE ARRIVAL OF THE COMPACT UPPER LOW MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM SUNDAY...

COMPACT UPPER LOW CROSSING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TRACK EAST AND WILL CROSS
NC/VA BETWEEN 00Z TO 12Z TUESDAY. THE LATE ARRIVAL WILL MEAN THAT
MOST OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL BE CONVECTION-FREE UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
WITH DECENT INSOLATION EXPECTED AFTER BURN OFF OF MORNING STRATUS. AFTERNOON
HIGHS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM MID 70S NW TO LOWER 80S SOUTHEAST.

WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT PROBABLY NOT ARRIVING UNTIL AFTER SUNSET THIS FAR EAST...
THAT IS CONCERN THAT LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING MAY TAKE THE BITE OUT OF
CONVECTION AS IT MOVES EAST OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE REMNANT
EML PLUME THAT ADVECTS IN FROM THE SRN GREAT PLAINS ALONG WITH THE ROBUST WAVE ALOFT
AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 35 TO 40KTS...SPC HAS UPGRADED WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA TO A SLIGHT RISK...WHERE THERE IS THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR THE
EARLIER ARRIVAL OF STRONG FORCING WILL INTERCEPT THE LINGERING INSTABILITY. GIVEN
THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT...LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT
AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS...MAINLY
ACROSS THE WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN PIEDMONT.

POPS SHOULD WIND DOWN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 235 PM SUNDAY...

BEHIND THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE...RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY...BEFORE QUICKLY SHIFTING OFFSHORE ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPS WILL WARM
EVEN MORE...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ON TUESDAY AND
THE LOW TO MID 80S BY WEDNESDAY...BOTH DAYS WELL ABOVE NORMAL.
OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD BE IN THE MID/UPPER 50S.

A FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...BUT
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW ONLY SPOTTY PRECIP AS MOISTURE WILL BE
LIMITED. REGARDLESS...WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE POP AREAWIDE...BUT
THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL HAVE THE BEST SHOT AS
BETTER MOISTURE WILL BE ABLE TO POOL ALONG THE FRONT. THIS FRONT
WILL STALL OFF THE COAST AND SET THE STAGE FOR OUR NEXT SYSTEM AS A
LOW DEVELOPS AND TRACKS ALONG IT. THIS SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO IMPACT
THE REGION DURING THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT THERE IS STILL QUITE A
BIT OF DISAGREEMENT...ESPECIALLY WITH REGARDS TO TIMING. THEREFORE
WILL JUST SHOW A TREND OF INCREASING CLOUDS AND A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN POPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL ALSO BE TEMPERED SOME GIVEN
THE INCREASING CLOUDS...WITH A GRADUAL RETURN TO THE 60S FOR HIGHS
AND 40S FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... AS OF 150 PM SUNDAY...

24 HOUR TAF PERIOD: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE PIEDMONT THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTINUE INTO
THE NIGHT BUT CONVECTIVE ALLOWING MODELS SHOW SOME RELAXATION AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR FOG AND LOW STRATUS
OVERNIGHT AT MOST LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY IN THE EAST THOUGH AS
LIFR CONDITIONS ARE VERY POSSIBLE MAINLY AFTER 9Z THROUGH DAYBREAK.
LATER IN THE TAF PERIOD...EXPECT THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING WESTERN TAF SITES BETWEEN 18-21Z AND THE
EASTERN SITES 21Z THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR THESE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG WINDS AND
SOME HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.

LONG TERM: CONDITIONS SHOULD TURN TO VFR BY TUESDAY MORNING. THERE
WILL BE A SMALL THREAT OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS WITH A MOSTLY DRY FRONT
ON THURSDAY BUT OTHERWISE VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VINCENT
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...KRD
AVIATION...ELLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
310 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-141915-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
310 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT WILL MOVE THE AREA LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PIEDMONT.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN
SEVERE THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
814 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

NCZ022-023-039-040-140115-
GUILFORD NC-RANDOLPH NC-ALAMANCE NC-CHATHAM NC-
814 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GUILFORD...NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH...ALAMANCE AND
NORTHWESTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

AT 813 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTH OF
MCLEANSVILLE TO 8 MILES WEST OF SILER CITY...AND MOVING
EAST-NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...SILER CITY...MEBANE...ELON COLLEGE...
GIBSONVILLE...LIBERTY...HAW RIVER...RAMSEUR AND SWEPSONVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

LIGHTNING CAN BE DEADLY. MOVE INSIDE AT THE FIRST SIGHT OF LIGHTNING
OR FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER.

&&

LAT...LON 3618 7928 3567 7925 3564 7965 3606 7964
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 247DEG 25KT 3597 7961 3568 7960

GIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
851 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     HAIL             LOUISBURG               36.10N  78.30W
03/13/2016  E1.50 INCH       FRANKLIN           NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            HAIL NEAR THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600510

TCC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
852 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

NCZ023>025-040-140145-
DURHAM NC-ORANGE NC-ALAMANCE NC-CHATHAM NC-
852 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF DURHAM...
ORANGE...EASTERN ALAMANCE AND NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 945
PM EDT...

AT 852 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MEBANE
TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF PITTSBORO...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DURHAM...CHAPEL HILL...HILLSBOROUGH...PITTSBORO...CARRBORO...
MEBANE...ROUGEMONT...LAKE MICHIE...CROSSWINDS BOATING CENTER AND LAKE
JORDAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
TAKE SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER
INDOORS...AN ENCLOSED VEHICLE CAN PROVIDE SAFE SHELTER FROM
LIGHTNING. DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING STORM...PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF RAIN AND WIND.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7880 3620 7880 3589 7882 3587 7883
      3587 7891 3573 7895 3572 7933 3620 7933
      3624 7912
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 262DEG 23KT 3614 7930 3577 7930

ELLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
857 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 PM     HAIL             7 SSE SUTPHIN           35.79N  79.32W
03/13/2016  E0.25 INCH       CHATHAM            NC   911 CALL CENTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600511

TCC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
859 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     HAIL             5 W YOUNGSVILLE         36.03N  78.57W
03/13/2016  E0.75 INCH       WAKE               NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600512

TCC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
927 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

NCZ011-027-028-140230-
HALIFAX NC-NASH NC-EDGECOMBE NC-
927 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2016

 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF HALIFAX...
NORTHEASTERN NASH AND NORTHERN EDGECOMBE COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM
EDT...

AT 927 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DORTCHES...OR NEAR NASHVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKY MOUNT...ROANOKE RAPIDS...NASHVILLE...HALIFAX...SCOTLAND NECK...
DORTCHES...LITTLETON...RED OAK...ENFIELD AND WELDON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
TAKE SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER
INDOORS...AN ENCLOSED VEHICLE CAN PROVIDE SAFE SHELTER FROM
LIGHTNING. DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING STORM...PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF RAIN AND WIND.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3601 7740 3594 7803 3608 7808
      3609 7808 3630 7794 3651 7789 3648 7776
      3648 7764 3644 7762 3641 7755 3637 7755
      3634 7759 3632 7757 3630 7753 3632 7744
      3624 7738 3621 7738 3616 7727 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 239DEG 49KT 3605 7794

ELLIS