Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 213, NWS Raleigh, NC

July 15, 20167 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2016, 6:13 PM EDT for 7 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 62 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 15, 2016, 6:13 PM EDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired: Jul 15, 2016, 7:15 PM EDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Nash County, NC, Wake County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 15, 6:13 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 Sw Spring Hope, NC	NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS WESTERN NASH COUNTY.
Jul 15, 6:42 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	5 Ene Enfield, NC	2 TREES DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 481 AND SORIETOWN ROAD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1507 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1085 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

093 
WUUS52 KRAH 152213
SVRRAH
NCC065-069-083-101-127-183-195-152315-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0213.160715T2213Z-160715T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
613 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  EAST CENTRAL WAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  HALIFAX COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  WILSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  NASH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  EDGECOMBE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT

* AT 612 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX TO NEAR NASHVILLE TO
  NEAR ZEBULON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROCKY MOUNT...TARBORO...NASHVILLE...HALIFAX...WILSON...ZEBULON...
  SCOTLAND NECK...ELM CITY...DORTCHES AND BAILEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3566 7768 3567 7829
      3582 7852 3608 7829 3635 7772 3637 7756
      3634 7759 3630 7755 3632 7744 3624 7738
      3621 7738 3616 7727 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 278DEG 19KT 3618 7774 3595 7791 3583 7826 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

4 follow-up statements

307 
WWUS52 KRAH 152231
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
631 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCC065-069-083-101-127-183-195-152315-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WAKE NC-HALIFAX NC-WILSON NC-FRANKLIN NC-NASH NC-
EDGECOMBE NC-
631 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN JOHNSTON...EAST CENTRAL WAKE...SOUTHERN HALIFAX...
WILSON...SOUTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN...NASH AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 631 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES WEST OF SCOTLAND NECK TO NEAR ROCKY MOUNT TO
BAILEY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKY MOUNT...TARBORO...NASHVILLE...WILSON...ZEBULON...
SCOTLAND NECK...ELM CITY...DORTCHES...BAILEY AND WENDELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3566 7768 3567 7829
      3576 7843 3589 7836 3599 7815 3626 7767
      3630 7755 3632 7744 3624 7738 3621 7738
      3616 7727 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 289DEG 20KT 3613 7762 3590 7779 3578 7814 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

535 
WWUS52 KRAH 152253
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
653 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCC069-101-183-152302-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WAKE NC-FRANKLIN NC-
653 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JOHNSTON...EAST
CENTRAL WAKE AND SOUTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3566 7768 3573 7821
      3578 7825 3586 7823 3592 7819 3596 7796
      3621 7764 3626 7753 3629 7743 3624 7738
      3621 7738 3616 7727 3612 7725 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 274DEG 19KT 3612 7750 3583 7776 3579 7808 

$$

NCC065-083-127-195-152315-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
HALIFAX NC-WILSON NC-NASH NC-EDGECOMBE NC-
653 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX...CENTRAL WILSON...SOUTHERN NASH AND
EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 652 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR SCOTLAND NECK TO NEAR ELM CITY TO NEAR BAILEY...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKY MOUNT...TARBORO...NASHVILLE...WILSON...SCOTLAND NECK...
ELM CITY...DORTCHES...BAILEY...ENFIELD AND PRINCEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3566 7768 3573 7821
      3578 7825 3586 7823 3592 7819 3596 7796
      3621 7764 3626 7753 3629 7743 3624 7738
      3621 7738 3616 7727 3612 7725 3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 274DEG 19KT 3612 7750 3583 7776 3579 7808 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

417 
WWUS52 KRAH 152305
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
705 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCC127-195-152314-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
WILSON NC-NASH NC-
705 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL WILSON AND SOUTHERN
NASH COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3568 7766 3573 7772
      3583 7775 3588 7779 3619 7763 3625 7742
      3624 7738 3621 7738 3616 7727 3612 7725
      3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 257DEG 33KT 3615 7728 3591 7754 3580 7770 

$$

NCC065-083-152315-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
HALIFAX NC-EDGECOMBE NC-
705 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 704 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROXOBEL TO TARBORO TO 9 MILES EAST OF ELM CITY...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TARBORO...SCOTLAND NECK...PRINCEVILLE...PINETOPS...MACCLESFIELD...
HOBGOOD...CONETOE...SPEED...LEGGETT AND KINGSBORO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3568 7766 3573 7772
      3583 7775 3588 7779 3619 7763 3625 7742
      3624 7738 3621 7738 3616 7727 3612 7725
      3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 257DEG 33KT 3615 7728 3591 7754 3580 7770 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

920 
WWUS52 KRAH 152316
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
716 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCC065-083-152326-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
HALIFAX NC-EDGECOMBE NC-
716 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND
EDGECOMBE COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3609 7731 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735
      3583 7739 3580 7747 3568 7766 3573 7772
      3583 7775 3588 7779 3619 7763 3625 7742
      3624 7738 3621 7738 3616 7727 3612 7725
      3611 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 278DEG 19KT 3615 7728 3591 7754 3580 7770 

$$

77

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 3:36 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 3:36 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
336 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A Piedmont trough will extend across central NC through tonight.
A cold front will approach the region tonight and then stall across
the area late in the weekend into early next week, bringing cooler
and unsettled conditions.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
As of 245 PM Friday...

Surface analysis from 18Z shows a well defined Piedmont trough in
the surface dew point, wind, and pressure field that extends from
near Richmond south to just west of Raleigh to near Charlotte.
The upper air pattern features a broad low amplitude trough at 500
hPa across the OH/TN valleys with a vorticity axis that extends
from WV to northwest GA. Surface dew points behind the surface
trough have mixed into the lower to mid 60s across the Northwest
Piedmont, note a TD of 62 at KINT, 63 at KGSO and 66 at KTDF.
Ahead of the trough TDs remain in the lower to mid 70s, note a
dew point of 75 at KETC, KRWI, and KIGX, 76 at KCTZ and 79 at
KGSB. The air mass across central NC near and east of the trough
has become moderately unstable with MLCAPE values ranging from
2000 to 3000 J/Kg with a weakly unstable air mass in the Northwest
Piedmont with MLCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/Kg. Temperatures are
reaching the convective temperatures as they climb into the lower
to mid 90s and cumulus is beginning to develop, especially near
the Piedmont trough.

Convection allowing models are handling the storm development well
this afternoon. They have focused convective development early
this afternoon near and ahead of the Piedmont trough across the
Southern Piedmont and Sandhills northward toward the Triangle
area with the storms moving northeast at 15-20kts. Another area
of convection is likely to develop across the higher terrain of
the southern Appalachians resulting from differential heating, the
proximity of the vort axis, and perhaps the influence of remnant
MCVs across AL/GA. This second area should also push east and
northeast across much of central NC late this afternoon and
evening.

Central NC is highlighted in an SPC marginal risk for today. Bulk
shear values range from 20-25 knots near the Triad/VA border to
around 15 kts near the SC border. Mid level lapse rates have
steepened slightly but are generally rather modest while the FZL
ranges around 13kft. Given the moderate instability, a localized
downbursts or two is possible and if cells can organize into
clusters, a more pronounced wind threat is possible.

Convective coverage should diminish this evening with the loss of
heating but given the approaching trough aloft, wouldn't be
surprised to see a few cells pop overnight given the increasing
forcing for ascent. While coverage will decrease, will include at
least a slight chance overnight. Lows will range in the low to
mid 70s. -blaes

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM Friday...

The 500 hPa trough axis moves east toward the southern
Appalachians Saturday morning and then reaches the coast by Sunday
morning. The associated cold front will drop through VA and into
northern NC. Given the moist and unstable air mass across the area
and the forcing for ascent, high chance PoPs remain warranted. The
best coverage will likely transition from northwest to southeast
during the Saturday and Saturday night period. Low level thickness
values drop 10 to 15m on Saturday compared to today which combined
with a fair amount of cloudiness will result in cooler high
temperatures in the 87 to 92 range. Overnight lows will remain in
the lower to mid 70s. -Blaes &&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 200 PM Friday...

Low amplitude upper troffing lingers across the east coast, ensuring
unsettled weather through the extended period. Little airmass change
day to day, so highs will be seasonable, upper 80s to lower 90s,
through the period after morning lows 70 to 75. The upper flow will
be predominantly northwest, with the most tangible periods for
stronger and more widespread convection (>40 percent) concurrent
with frontal passages tentatively scheduled early Sunday and
Tuesday. Drying behind the initial front will commence in the
northwest fairly early Sunday, with most of Sunday through Monday
precip-free outside of the far southeast which could see some
increased activity due to proximity of the front which will be
stalled near the coast. Another round of fairly widespread
convective activity is expected from Tuesday afternoon through
Tuesday night associated with the second front. The remainder of the
extended from Wednesday through Friday will feature diminishing
chances of convection as upper ridging in the Midwest
amplifies northeast into the mid Atlantic.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 245 PM Friday...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon
and evening move northeast across central NC. A round or two of
convection is possible with the initial storms likely to impact
the KFAY terminal from 19 to 21Z first and possibly KRDU and KRWI
terminals between 20 and 23Z. Another area of convection
developing across the Mountains will likely push east reaching the
KINT and KGSO terminals between 21 and 01Z and possibly the
eastern terminals near or after 00Z. VFR conditions are expected
outside of convection through the TAF period although some
guidance suggest a period of MVFR/IFR stratus is possible late
tonight, mainly in the central and eastern TAF locations.

Long Term: The combination of a persistent upper level trough
will remain across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic and a stalled
frontal system will result in a period of active, mainly diurnal
convection. The greatest threat for adverse aviation conditions
will be across the southern and eastern half of the CWA. Fog and
low stratus is possible each morning, especially in areas with
convection.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BLAES
NEAR TERM...BLAES
SHORT TERM...BLAES
LONG TERM...MLM
AVIATION...BLAES

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 4:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
401 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-162015-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
401 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND EXCESSIVE DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 4:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
430 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCZ024-025-040-152115-
DURHAM   NC-ORANGE   NC-CHATHAM   NC-
430 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF DURHAM...
SOUTHERN ORANGE AND NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 429 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CARRBORO TO NEAR
PITTSBORO. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DURHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...BETHESDA...GORMAN...JORDAN LAKE...
PARKWOOD...CANE CREEK RESERVOIR...FEARRINGTON AND BYNUM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 7881 3609 7879 3607 7878 3607 7875
      3603 7875 3602 7874 3603 7872 3601 7870
      3596 7872 3592 7876 3593 7880 3587 7883
      3587 7891 3579 7893 3572 7925 3584 7925
      3585 7924 3586 7925 3601 7924 3613 7881
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 237DEG 16KT 3595 7916 3578 7919

77

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 4:58 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
458 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCZ026-027-041-152200-
WAKE   NC-NASH   NC-FRANKLIN   NC-
458 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
WAKE...CENTRAL NASH AND CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 457 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR ZEBULON...OR 13 MILES SOUTH OF LOUISBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKY MOUNT...NASHVILLE...ZEBULON...DORTCHES...BUNN...WENDELL...
ROLESVILLE...RED OAK...SPRING HOPE AND CASTALIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3598 7783 3578 7836 3595 7849 3621 7808
      3621 7806
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 241DEG 22KT 3591 7836

77

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 5:24 PM EDT, 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
524 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

NCZ022>024-038>040-073>075-152230-
GUILFORD   NC-RANDOLPH   NC-DAVIDSON   NC-ORANGE   NC-ALAMANCE   NC-
CHATHAM   NC-STANLY   NC-MOORE   NC-MONTGOMERY   NC-
524 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

 ...A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GUILFORD...RANDOLPH...SOUTHEASTERN DAVIDSON...SOUTHERN
ORANGE...SOUTHERN ALAMANCE...WESTERN CHATHAM...STANLY...NORTHWESTERN
MOORE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 523 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF SILER
CITY TO NEAR ASHEBORO TO NEAR MIDLAND. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIGH POINT...CHAPEL HILL...ASHEBORO...ALBEMARLE...RANDLEMAN...TROY...
SILER CITY...BADIN LAKE...NORTH CAROLINA ZOO AND CARRBORO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3551 8018 3554 8020 3555 8021
      3558 8021 3560 8023 3588 7998 3601 7941
      3601 7901 3562 7935 3525 7986 3526 8045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 287DEG 10KT 3589 7943 3569 7975 3529 8043

77

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:29 PM EDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
529 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE SPIVEY'S CORNER    35.22N 78.50W
07/15/2016                   SAMPSON            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN AT THE 300 BLOCK OF BENSON
            HIGHWAY.

&&

KRD

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:35 PM EDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
535 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW DURHAM            35.94N 78.95W
07/15/2016                   DURHAM             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON HOPE VALLEY ROAD.

&&

KRD

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:54 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
554 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S FALCON              35.18N 78.65W
07/15/2016                   CUMBERLAND         NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN AT THE 6400 BLOCK OF HIGHWAY 82.

&&

KRD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 15, 1:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Anson	62 min
Jul 15, 1:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Richmond	56 min
Jul 15, 1:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett	66 min
Jul 15, 2:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Richmond	59 min
Jul 15, 2:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Montgomery	58 min
Jul 15, 2:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Harnett, Hoke, Moore	40 min
Jul 15, 3:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Montgomery	48 min
Jul 15, 3:25 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Montgomery	3 hr
Jul 15, 3:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson	40 min
Jul 15, 3:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	34 min
Jul 15, 3:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland	49 min
Jul 15, 4:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Harnett, Johnston, Sampson, Wayne	59 min
Jul 15, 4:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham	45 min
Jul 15, 4:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Orange, Wake	54 min
Jul 15, 4:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Nash	62 min
Jul 15, 5:02 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Durham, Orange	3 hr
Jul 15, 5:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Franklin, Nash, Wake	67 min
Jul 15, 5:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Wake	55 min
Jul 15, 5:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly	66 min
Jul 15, 5:48 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Wake	3 hr
Jul 15, 6:03 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Randolph	3 hr
Jul 15, 6:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Guilford, Orange	64 min
Jul 15, 6:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wake	57 min
Jul 15, 6:36 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Stanly	3 hr
Jul 15, 6:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Wake	31 min
Jul 15, 7:12 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Alamance, Orange	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.