Severe Thunderstorm Warning 230, NWS Pueblo, CO

199 
WWUS55 KPUB 290038
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
638 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

COC041-290115-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0230.000000T0000Z-160729T0115Z/
EL PASO CO-
638 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...

AT 638 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SECURITY-
WIDEFIELD...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING EAST
AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO SPRINGS...FOUNTAIN...SECURITY...FORT CARSON...
SCHRIEVER AFB...SECURITY-WIDEFIELD...PETERSON AFB...STRATMOOR...
CIMARRON HILLS AND HANOVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 10481 3885 10473 3883 10434 3853 10451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 290DEG 16KT 3876 10470 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KAM

736 
WWUS55 KPUB 290050
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
650 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

COC041-290100-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0230.000000T0000Z-160729T0115Z/
EL PASO CO-
650 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3867 10481 3885 10473 3883 10434 3853 10451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 287DEG 18KT 3874 10462 

$$

KAM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
339 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 338 PM MDT Thu Jul 28 2016

Currently...Upper high over the Great Basin persists, keeping light N-
NW flow aloft over the CWA. Outflow from storms in northeastern CO
and western KS this morning has pushed into the eastern plains,
reinforcing LLVL moisture for the I-25 corridor and plains. Temps
have risen into the 90s to around 100 F across the plains, into the
80s to near 90 F for the high valleys, and into the 70s for the mt
passes.

Tonight and Tomorrow...Little movement on the upper high expected
over the next 24 hrs, and there is not any definitive upper
shortwave to help kick off convective activity. What is present is a
good amount of llvl moisture thanks to the storm outflow earlier
today. This moisture along with abundant heating has sparked
thunderstorms across the eastern plains, and outflow from these
storms will initiate even more storms through the evening and into
the overnight hrs, with models indicating activity finally waning
between 09-12z. There is the indication that this moisture will also
help lower clouds to develop over portions of the eastern plains, so
included this in the aviation forecasts for COS and PUB.

After a relatively quiet morning, once cloud breaks develop and
heating commences, heating should act upon available moisture for
another round of isolated to scattered storms beginning after 18z.
Max temps tomorrow are expected to be slightly cooler for the high
valleys, but anywhere from 5-15 degrees cooler across the plains due
to a cool morning with a slower start to the heating. Moore

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 338 PM MDT Thu Jul 28 2016

.Saturday through Tuesday..A couple of troughs will move across
the northern Rockies during this period. The flow aloft will
become west to southwest with a lee trough developing over the
plains. The lee trough will keep the very moist low level air
mostly to the east of Colorado. Plenty of convection developed
last night over the Sierra Madre with one easterly wave. Satellite
shows other easterly waves moving into northern Mexico which will
continue development of deep convection over northern Mexico.
Southwest flow should be able to tap this deep moisture and advect
it into Colorado. Anticipate moisture increasing on Sunday as
first shortwave moves to our north and southwest flow ahead of
another shortwave moving across the northern Rockies will maintain
the monsoon plume through Tuesday. With the best lower level
moisture remaining to the east of Colorado, highest PoPs and
heaviest rainfall will stay over and near the mountains.

.Wednesday and Thursday...As the trough passes to the north of
Colorado, a surface cold front could move south into eastern
Colorado. The upslope flow behind the front could increase the low
level moisture on the plains with a greater potential for
convection. With monsoon plume remaining over Colorado and an
increase in moisture on the plains, will have to watch for
increased threat of heavy rains. --PGW--

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 338 PM MDT Thu Jul 28 2016

KALS: VFR conditions over the next 24 hrs. Isolated storms over the
higher terrain surrounding the site through 03z, but too
low of a probability to include in the TAF.

KCOS and KPUB: Brisk outflow has moved across KCOS and KPUB, with
gusts of 25-30 kts.  KCOS has a better chance for convection
associated with the front, lasting through the evening. Stronger
storms, possibly severe, are expected further east closer to KS with
60 mph wind gusts and large hail the expected threats. LLVL moisture
pushing towards the southern Front Range this evening will likely
produce MVFR cloud deck for much of the I-25 corridor after 09-10z.
After a relatively quiet morning, isolated to scattered storms are
expected to develop once again along the I-25 corridor affected KCOS
and KPUb after 18z. Moore

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...PGW
AVIATION...MOORE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1116 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-291300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1116 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A WEATHER DISTURBANCE AND A FRONT WILL
AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE LATE
NIGHT HOURS, BRINGING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. THE MAIN STORM
THREATS TODAY WILL BE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
HOWEVER, OVER THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT, THERE WILL ALSO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS, WITH HAIL AROUND THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS AND
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA EACH DAY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS. THE BEST
COVERAGE OF STORMS ON FRIDAY WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS
AND PLAINS, WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS SWITCHING TO OVER AND
NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45
MPH...SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY COULD
BECOME SEVERE, PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS...ESPECIALLY IF THEY OCCUR OVER URBAN AREAS OR
BURN SCARS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS.

27/06

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
601 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

COZ074-088-290045-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT CO-
601 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 601 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
STONEWALL...OR 22 MILES WEST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TRINIDAD...COKEDALE...BONCARBO...SEGUNDO AND WESTON.

LAT...LON 3709 10503 3726 10495 3720 10448 3699 10465
      3699 10495
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 291DEG 18KT 3715 10490

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
607 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             4 S COLORADO SPRINGS    38.77N 104.83W
07/28/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

NWS PUEBLO CO
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
611 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             4 N COLORADO SPRINGS    38.88N 104.82W
07/28/2016  M1.25 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            .

&&

RMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
612 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             2 SW COLORADO SPRINGS   38.80N 104.85W
07/28/2016  M0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
622 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     HAIL             4 NNW SECURITY          38.80N 104.76W
07/28/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   AMATEUR RADIO

            .

&&

RMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
626 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             3 SE COLORADO SPRINGS   38.80N 104.78W
07/28/2016  M1.25 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

AL