Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2016

Tornado Warning 26, NWS Paducah, KY

April 27, 2016Daviess County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Apr 27, 2016, 6:45 PM CDT for Daviess County, Kentucky. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 27, 2016, 6:45 PM CDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired: Apr 27, 2016, 7:15 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Observed
Hail: 1.0 in

County Daviess County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 27, 5:11 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	3 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 669 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 828 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

180 
WFUS53 KPAH 272345
TORPAH
KYC059-280015-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0026.160427T2345Z-160428T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
645 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 645 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR KNOTTSVILLE...OR
  7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROCKPORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE 
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY. 

* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  NORTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A
BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN
A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 8698 3782 8702 3791 8693 3790 8691
      3788 8690 3788 8689 3787 8691 3784 8691
      3783 8689 3784 8689 3784 8686 3781 8683
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 236DEG 49KT 3784 8693 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

JP

1 follow-up statement

828 
WWUS53 KPAH 280006
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
706 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

KYC059-280015-
/O.EXP.KPAH.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160428T0015Z/
DAVIESS KY-
706 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
715 PM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3778 8698 3782 8702 3791 8693 3790 8691
      3788 8690 3788 8689 3787 8691 3784 8691
      3783 8689 3784 8689 3784 8686 3781 8683
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 236DEG 49KT 3784 8693 

$$

JP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 27, 6:23 PM CDT, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 6:23 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
623 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 623 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

Updated aviation section for 00z TAF package.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

Models still indicate showers and thunderstorms will be developing
by late this afternoon and will continue into this evening as an
area of low pressure surges out ahead of the approaching cold
front. Not sure of how widespread the convective activity will be,
but for now will go with high chance west to likely pops east late
today into this evening, and make some adjustments as things
develop. Showers and storms should be ending along and west of
the Mississippi River by around midnight, and across the rest of
the PAH forecast area by daybreak as the cold front pushes east of
our region Thursday morning. ECMWF is a little slower with the
cold front, but all the models in general have been a little off
in the timing with this system, so will just go dry after 12z
Thursday for now and make adjustments as needed.

We should see a brief break in our unsettled weather pattern
Thursday into Thursday night as a weak upper level ridge slides
across the area. By 12z Friday, models show a surface low over
the Southern Plains and a warm front lifting northward toward our
region. ECMWF and GFS are in good agreement spreading some
showers and storms into southwest portions of the PAH forecast
area by Friday afternoon, with showers and storms spreading
northeast across our entire region Friday night. Went with chance
pops for our southwest on Friday, the likely southwest to good
chance northeast for Friday night.

It will remain warm into tonight, and the air behind the cold
front is not much cooler than our current air mass, so
temperatures will only drop back a few degrees for Thursday into
Friday night.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

At the beginning of the period, a complex pattern over the west US
will be characterized by a couple of lows over the Intermountain
West and Plains. A warm front will be in the vicinity. Will maintain
high PoPs for convection Saturday through Saturday night as energy
ejects ENE across the region from the trof to our west. PoPs for
convection will linger into Sunday. For the Monday through Wednesday
time frame, confidence lowers considerably with respect to the
evolution of the mid tropospheric flow pattern. Will leave a slight
chance of showers in for Tuesday/Wednesday as multiple solutions
suggest the chance. Other periods will be dry for now. However,
there will likely be adjustments to minimal PoP chances. Used a
blend of operational and ensemble MOS with our existing numbers for
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 623 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

SHRA/TSRA will continue at KEVV/KOWB through approximately 03z,
accompanied by predominantly MVFR conditions. After 03z, VFR
conditions are expected. VFR conditions expected at KCGI/KPAH
through the TAF period. Winds will be from the south around 10
kts, becoming southwest to west around 5 kts around 06z, then
increasing to around 10 kts after 14z.|

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RST
LONG TERM...CN
AVIATION...RST

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 3:02 AM CDT, 15 hours 43 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
302 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-281000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
302 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TODAY, PARTICULARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, ACROSS THE BULK OF THE QUAD STATE REGION.
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARDS EXPECTED, BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. HEAVY
RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL POSE ADDITIONAL HAZARDOUS THREATS WITH
STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND AND MAY INCLUDE
HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED LATER TODAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:11 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
611 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HAUBSTADT               38.20N 87.57W
04/26/2016                   GIBSON             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE ACROSS THE ROAD AT INTERSECTION OF US 41 AND 68.
            GRAIN BIN DESTROYED.

&&

KELLYH

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:12 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
612 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N MCLEANSBORO         38.12N 88.53W
04/26/2016                   HAMILTON           IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE LIMBS DOWN ON STATE ROAD 242.

&&

KELLYH

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:14 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
614 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S FAIRFIELD           38.35N 88.37W
04/26/2016                   WAYNE              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN FROM FALLING TREES ON US 45. TREES WERE
            ALSO DOWN IN TOWN.

&&

KELLYH

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:18 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
618 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
04/27/2016                   VANDERBURGH        IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG LLOYD EXPRESSWAY. REPORTS OF A
            FEW WATER RESCUES.

&&

BP2

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:23 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
623 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NNE BENTON            36.95N 88.31W
04/27/2016                   MARSHALL           KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ACROSS ROADS RURAL AREAS.

&&

CTN

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:25 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
625 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HENDERSON               37.84N 87.58W
04/27/2016                   HENDERSON          KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL CITY STREETS FLOODED...PORTIONS OF INGRAM ROAD
            IMPASSABLE.

&&

BP2

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 26, 7:14 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Daviess	3 hr
Apr 27, 9:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson and 10 more	61 min
Apr 27, 4:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden	27 min
Apr 27, 4:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, Muhlenberg	26 min
Apr 27, 4:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	27 min
Apr 27, 4:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Marshall	40 min
Apr 27, 4:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	24 min
Apr 27, 4:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	35 min
Apr 27, 4:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, Muhlenberg	30 min
Apr 27, 4:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, Webster	23 min
Apr 27, 4:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Union, Webster	37 min
Apr 27, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden	20 min
Apr 27, 4:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	3 hr
Apr 27, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Lyon	32 min
Apr 27, 5:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	28 min
Apr 27, 5:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union, Webster	25 min
Apr 27, 5:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	McLean, Webster	30 min
Apr 27, 5:28 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	62 min
Apr 27, 5:32 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union, Webster	3 hr
Apr 27, 6:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, McLean	15 min
Apr 27, 6:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess, McLean	20 min
Apr 27, 6:14 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Daviess, McLean	3 hr
Apr 27, 6:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess, McLean	13 min
Apr 27, 6:31 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	PAH	Hopkins	89 min
Apr 27, 6:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	12 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2016 Every tornado warning in 2016 Tornadoes in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.