Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Paducah, KY

May 11, 2016Edwards County, Wabash County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 11, 2016, 4:44 PM CDT for Edwards County, Wabash County, Illinois. It was in force for 31 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 11, 2016, 4:44 PM CDT (21:44 UTC)
Expired: May 11, 2016, 5:15 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Edwards County, IL, Wabash County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 11, 4:57 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 70	4 Ne Bellmont, IL	65 TO 70 MPH WINDS
May 11, 4:57 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 70	5 W Mount Carmel, IL	65 TO 70 MPH WINDS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 11, 12:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	12 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 905 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

474 
WUUS53 KPAH 112144
SVRPAH
ILC047-185-112215-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0080.160511T2144Z-160511T2215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
444 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WABASH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...
  EASTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 444 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER WEST SALEM...
  OR 8 MILES NORTH OF ALBION...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT CARMEL...GRAYVILLE...LANCASTER...WEST SALEM...ALLENDALE...
  BELLMONT...BONE GAP AND BROWNS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3854 8767 3851 8765 3847 8775 3846 8776
      3845 8773 3842 8774 3838 8777 3838 8790
      3830 8792 3830 8793 3827 8795 3826 8802
      3857 8802 3857 8765
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 250DEG 22KT 3849 8801 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 11, 1:10 PM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 1:10 PM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
110 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 108 PM CDT Wed May 11 2016

The old boundary left over from last night's convection runs from
near KMVN to just south of KOWB and is likely to be a focus for
thunderstorm development. Meanwhile, a line of thunderstorms
moving into the KSTL metro area will push eastward into northern
portions of southern Illinois and eventually intersect the old
boundary. A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued until 00Z
for our northern 8 counties of southern Illinois.

The flow aloft is rather weak, so individual storms should be
pulsy, but the amount of instability available may allow them to
briefly reach severe levels with damaging winds and large hail
possible. However, the line moving out of KSTL may develop a cold
pool, which could lead to a larger-scale damaging wind threat in
the Watch area.

After sunset, loss of diurnal fuel and warm sector lifting north,
should see more widely scattered/less amplified cells...at least
until late tonight-early tmrw, when cold front makes approach.
Pinwheel jet energy will interact during daytime hours tmrw, and
reinitiate storm/svr chances, slgt risk shifting eastward across
remainder of fa.

Cold fropa occurs tmrw evening, and convection chances end with
it. Thu night thru Fri then looking cooler/drier per post frontal
airmass. Warm/soupy before.

Troffing Ohio valley long wave will bring a smallish
chance of pcpn in again Friday night, as another piece of energy
rounds base of trof. While instability parameters and moisture are
lacking, nw flow/upper pva inducement may lead to a clap of
thunder or at least its mention in forecast per collab pic.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed May 11 2016

Long term pattern transition will bring some changes to the
extended. Surface High pressure under nwlys aloft yield a still
cooler/drier Saturday. But long range modeling of height falls out
west, combined with transitioning Great Lakes Low (pattern
change), mean upper flow will be backing and becoming increasingly
active with time for Mid Ms Valley.

We'll see pops enter forecast southwest to northeast by Sunday,
though we'll lay off thunder mention til better/deeper
destabilization occurs Sunday night into Monday.

Monday-Wednesday then looks like an active/wet pattern, as mean
southwest U.S. trof shoots pieces of energy across southern Plains
and lower to mid Ms valley with time. Pops ramp up to high chance
or likely cats thru this period with several periods of
showers/storms and potentially decent QPF setting up in addition
to strong/possibly svr storm chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed May 11 2016

Conditional forecast of Thunderstorms is best at KEVV and KOWB,
but not so much so farther west. A cold front will approach the
area near the end of the forecast, and there is a fairly strong
signal for IFR/LIFR ceilings to develop ahead of it, possibly with
some fog as well.

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 3:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
340 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-121000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
340 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH EASTWARD ALONG THE I-64
CORRIDOR OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA THIS
AFTERNOON. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL
RAINS...AND EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY MOVE EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE REGION
LATER TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CREATE SOME FLOODING
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS LAST NIGHT
AND THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY OVER WEST KENTUCKY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ISSUES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED TO THE NORTH OF A PINCKNEYVILLE
ILLINOIS TO ROCKPORT INDIANA LINE THIS AFTERNOON. ACTIVATION
CANNOT BE RULED OUT FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

DRS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 11, 3:48 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
348 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     HAIL             FAIRFIELD               38.38N 88.37W
05/11/2016  E1.75 INCH       WAYNE              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RST

Local storm report, May 11, 3:52 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
352 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND GST     SCHELLER                38.19N 89.10W
05/11/2016  E60 MPH          JEFFERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBJECTS BLOWN OFF PORCHES

&&

RST

Local storm report, May 11, 3:54 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
354 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     HAIL             WAYNE CITY              38.35N 88.59W
05/11/2016  E1.50 INCH       WAYNE              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RST

Local storm report, May 11, 3:55 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
355 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     HAIL             2 W FAIRFIELD           38.38N 88.41W
05/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       WAYNE              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT THE AIRPORT.

&&

DP

Local storm report, May 11, 4:18 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
418 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             1 E GRAYVILLE           38.26N 87.98W
05/11/2016  E1.75 INCH       WABASH             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RST

Local storm report, May 11, 4:29 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
429 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             5 SE MOUNT ERIE         38.46N 88.17W
05/11/2016  E1.25 INCH       WAYNE              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

RST

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 11, 1:44 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	PAH	Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 10 more	7 hr
May 11, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jefferson, Wayne	44 min
May 11, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Wayne	47 min
May 11, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jefferson	46 min
May 11, 3:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Jefferson	26 min
May 11, 4:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash, White	43 min
May 11, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jefferson	47 min
May 11, 4:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Edwards, Hamilton, Wayne, White	44 min
May 11, 4:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Wabash	25 min
May 11, 4:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Wabash	11 min
May 11, 4:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	PAH	White	32 min
May 11, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash	31 min
May 11, 5:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash	28 min
May 11, 5:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jackson, Perry	39 min
May 11, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson	56 min
May 11, 5:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin, White	38 min
May 11, 5:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jackson, Perry	32 min
May 11, 6:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson	30 min
May 11, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jackson	25 min
May 11, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jackson, Perry, Williamson	52 min
May 11, 6:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Jackson	42 min
May 11, 6:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jackson, Perry, Williamson	30 min
May 11, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Saline, White, Williamson	27 min
May 11, 6:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson	45 min
May 11, 6:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jackson, Perry, Williamson	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.