Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 176, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 8, 2016, 7:11 PM CDT for Christian County, Todd County, Kentucky. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 8, 2016, 7:11 PM CDT (00:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 8, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 34 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 70.0 mph
Counties Christian County, KY, Todd County, KY
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2167 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1438 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 8, 3:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 3:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
313 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016
.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Fri Jul 8 2016
MCV moving across southern MO driving next batch of convection
slated to affect the area this afternoon and evening, mainly the
southern 1/3 to southern 1/2. Airmass very unstable over SEMO, and
destabilizing elsewhere with modest recovery behind this morning's
MCV. Will continue with higher PoPs south, lower north for
convection through the evening, with SVR possible SEMO into far
west KY (see latest SVR watch). Will lower PoPs from north to
south overnight. Will also allow the Flash Flood Watch to continue
with the chance of convection increasing through the evening.
For Saturday through Sunday...Best PoPs will be over the SSW 1/3
to 1/2 of the area. Generally followed a blend of the NAM and
ECMWF for best chance PoPs. Will use persistence for temps as
latest MOS and raw model output line up with existing numbers.
.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT Fri Jul 8 2016
The frontal boundary that will linger to our south through the
weekend will lift northeast across the region Monday into Tuesday.
This will give us some diurnally driven convection Monday and
Tuesday, with a lull Monday night with the loss of heating. By
Tuesday night, the front will be to our northeast, so just a few
showers and thunderstorms may linger in southwest Indiana.
Temperatures will rebound back to seasonal readings behind the
front, and dew points will creep back upward through mid week. This
will lead to heat indices climbing back to around 100 degrees by
Tuesday and especially Wednesday.
Models differ quite a bit on timing of an approaching cold front mid
week. GFS has an upper level trof moving across the region Tuesday
into Wednesday, and then has the cold front moving toward the region
faster than the ECMWF and Canadian. In any case, with a hot and
muggy air mass in place across the region, shower and thunderstorm
chances will gradually increase for mid to late week. Kept
possibilities in the chance category through the end of the extended
due to timing uncertainties.
&&
.AVIATION...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Fri Jul 8 2016
Scattered shra/tstms are possible late this afternoon into this
evening, with brief MVFR conditions possible with tstm activity.
After mid evening, VFR conditions are expected. Winds will be west
to northwest at 7 to 12 kts with a few higher gusts through 02z,
then become light.
&&
.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...Flash Flood Watch until 11 PM CDT this evening for ILZ089-090-
094.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 11 PM CDT this evening for KYZ005>013-
016-017-021-022.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 8, 4:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 416 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-091000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 416 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND THE FAR WESTERN TIP OF KENTUCKY. DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS TODAY ACROSS THE REGION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY CONTINUING DAILY STORM CHANCES EXIST. HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM HAZARDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN REQUESTED THIS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 8, 6:38 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 638 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016 ILZ088>090-092>094-KYZ001>009-090045- UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN- CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...CAIRO... MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL... WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SYMSONIA...LOWES...SMITHLAND... BENTON...HARRIS GROVE...KIRKSEY...MURRAY...NEW CONCORD 638 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016 AT 638 PM...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO AFFECT FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY FROM NEAR LA CENTER OVER TO PADUCAH THEN SOUTH TO THE MAYFIELD AND WINGO AREA. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST AROUND 45 MPH. A LARGE AREA OF 35 TO 50 MPH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH 715 PM. SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE BEEN SEVERE...SO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THE STORMS ARE MOVING TOWARD LIVINGSTON... MARSHALL AND CALLOWAY COUNTIES.
Local storm report, Jul 8, 6:43 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Jul 8, 6:51 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
651 PM CDT FRI JUL 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0628 PM TSTM WND DMG WINGO 36.64N 88.74W
07/08/2016 GRAVES KY PUBLIC
LARGE OAK TREE UPROOTED
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Jul 8, 7:02 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
702 PM CDT FRI JUL 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0613 PM TSTM WND GST WICKLIFFE 36.97N 89.08W
07/08/2016 E60 MPH BALLARD KY EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Jul 8, 7:05 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
705 PM CDT FRI JUL 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0703 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N HOPKINSVILLE 36.88N 87.49W
07/08/2016 E58 MPH CHRISTIAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH THIS STORM AS WELL.
0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N CUBA 36.59N 88.64W
07/08/2016 GRAVES KY PUBLIC
TREE LIMBS DOWN ALONG STATE ROUTE 303
&&
SMITTYSpecial weather statement, Jul 8, 7:08 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 708 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016 KYZ010>013-015>017-020>022-090130- CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...CANTON... LINTON...ROCKCASTLE...PRINCETON...FRYER...DIXON...MADISONVILLE... HOPKINSVILLE...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ALLEGRE...CLIFTY...ELKTON... GUTHRIE 708 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016 AT 708 PM...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE KENTUCKY PENNYRILE AREA FROM THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES REGION BACK TO PADUCAH...WILL BE CAPABLE OF 40 TO 55 MPH. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING AS WELL. GIVEN THE VERY WET SOIL CONDITIONS AND MAGNITUDE OF WINDS...ADDITIONAL TREES MAY COME DOWN. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY AS SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE BEEN SEVERE WITH WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 7:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Trigg | 21 min |
| Jul 8, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Todd | 17 min |
| Jul 8, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian | 37 min |
| Jul 8, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Trigg | 17 min |
| Jul 8, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Todd | 35 min |
| Jul 8, 10:38 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | PAH | Christian, Trigg | 13 hr |
| Jul 9, 6:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Ripley | 4 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.