Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 891, NWS Norman, OK

October 19, 2016Archer County, Baylor County, Texas

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 19, 2016, 9:42 PM CDT for Archer County, Baylor County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 19, 2016, 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC)
Expired
Oct 19, 2016, 10:14 PM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-10-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 740 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-10-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
740 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1774 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 19, 6:10 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 6:10 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
610 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
A cold front will continue to push southward this evening. A few
showers and storms are trying to develop near OUN, LAW, and SPS
right now. However, storm coverage should remain fairly low near
OUN and LAW so will only include VCTS there. Over SPS, storm
coverage should increase dramatically over the next 2-3 hours so a
tempo group has been included there. Otherwise, expect some gusts
to around 20 to 25 kt from the north behind the front with some
VFR cigs around 040-050.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  54  68  44  72 /  20   0   0   0
Hobart OK         53  69  43  73 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  57  71  45  73 /  50  10   0   0
Gage OK           44  66  38  79 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     50  66  41  71 /  10   0   0   0
Durant OK         59  72  47  73 /  70  30   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

30/03/03
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 19, 7:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-202015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
745 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE MARGINAL RISK IS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM CHANDLER TO PURCELL
TO LAWTON OKLAHOMA TO VERNON AND BENJAMIN TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WINDS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS OVERNIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH
THROUGH SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH TEXAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE COLD FRONT
THIS EVENING. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS... CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF
DOLLARS AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.
STORMS WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE... AND SUCCESSIVE STORMS MOVING OVER
THE SAME AREA CAN LEAD TO AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS AS INSTABILITY DECREASES.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON TUESDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND
FOLLOW OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

SPEG/30

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 19, 8:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 19, 8:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
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Special weather statement, Oct 19, 8:49 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 19, 9:00 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 19, 9:36 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 19, 7:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNOkfuskee14 min
Oct 19, 7:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNPottawatomie41 min
Oct 19, 7:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNPottawatomie36 min
Oct 19, 8:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNPottawatomie47 min
Oct 19, 8:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNGarvin34 min
Oct 19, 8:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNStephens41 min
Oct 19, 9:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNTillman45 min
Oct 19, 9:29 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNCotton, Jefferson, Stephens3 hr
Oct 19, 9:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNJefferson39 min
Oct 19, 10:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCarter, Jefferson, Love, Murray58 min
Oct 19, 11:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCoal, Johnston59 min
Oct 19, 7:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWilbarger42 min
Oct 19, 8:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWilbarger42 min
Oct 19, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWilbarger43 min
Oct 19, 8:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNBaylor50 min
Oct 19, 8:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWilbarger49 min
Oct 19, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBaylor50 min
Oct 19, 9:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNBaylor47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.