Severe Thunderstorm Warning 890, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
610 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
A cold front will continue to push southward this evening. A few
showers and storms are trying to develop near OUN, LAW, and SPS
right now. However, storm coverage should remain fairly low near
OUN and LAW so will only include VCTS there. Over SPS, storm
coverage should increase dramatically over the next 2-3 hours so a
tempo group has been included there. Otherwise, expect some gusts
to around 20 to 25 kt from the north behind the front with some
VFR cigs around 040-050.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  54  68  44  72 /  20   0   0   0
Hobart OK         53  69  43  73 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  57  71  45  73 /  50  10   0   0
Gage OK           44  66  38  79 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     50  66  41  71 /  10   0   0   0
Durant OK         59  72  47  73 /  70  30   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

30/03/03

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-202015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
745 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE MARGINAL RISK IS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM CHANDLER TO PURCELL
TO LAWTON OKLAHOMA TO VERNON AND BENJAMIN TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WINDS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS OVERNIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH
THROUGH SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH TEXAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE COLD FRONT
THIS EVENING. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS... CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF
DOLLARS AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.
STORMS WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE... AND SUCCESSIVE STORMS MOVING OVER
THE SAME AREA CAN LEAD TO AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS AS INSTABILITY DECREASES.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON TUESDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND
FOLLOW OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

SPEG/30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
803 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

TXZ085-200145-
WILBARGER TX-
803 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WILBARGER COUNTY UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

AT 802 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
LOCKETT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

LAT...LON 3431 9921 3421 9919 3421 9913 3420 9913
      3421 9910 3420 9906 3420 9895 3400 9896
      3397 9940 3411 9948 3414 9947
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 245DEG 22KT 3408 9938

03

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
813 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

OKZ028-030-031-042-200200-
POTTAWATOMIE OK-PONTOTOC OK-MCCLAIN OK-SEMINOLE OK-
813 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN POTTAWATOMIE...
NORTHWESTERN PONTOTOC...SOUTHEASTERN MCCLAIN AND SOUTHWESTERN
SEMINOLE COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 811 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BYARS...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KONAWA...ASHER...WANETTE AND BYARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 9670 3486 9714 3496 9714 3508 9671
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 249DEG 19KT 3490 9699

03

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