Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 715, NWS Norman, OK

August 19, 20164 counties in Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 19, 2016, 4:54 PM CDT for 4 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 19, 2016, 4:54 PM CDT (21:54 UTC)
Expired: Aug 19, 2016, 5:33 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Beckham County, OK, Greer County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Washita County, OK

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 243 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 918 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 19, 2:26 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 2:26 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
226 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Area of rain will continue to affect parts of Southern Oklahoma
and western North Texas the rest of this afternoon. This activity
is in an area of high PW with heavy rain the main concern.
Elsewhere, isolated/scattered showers/storms will be possible this
afternoon/early evening due to heating of the moist airmass. There
may also be a differential heating boundary from Central into
Southwest OK which may aid in storm development as well.

Additional showers/storms will be likely this evening into
Saturday as a cold front moves across the region and an upper
trough moves across the Plains. Some strong to severe storms will
be possible with this activity this evening. Rain chances will
decrease from north to south across the area Saturday as the front
moves into Texas. Rain chances will remain confined to southern
parts of the fa Saturday night into Sunday. Rain chances will then
spread back north Sunday night into Monday as moisture spreads
back to the north and a mid-level disturbance moves into the
Central Plains. Models show a shortwave moving from the SW U.S.
into the region next week with another front moving across the
area towards the middle of next week. The shortwave and front will
maintain rain chances through late next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  81  61  86 /  70  30  10   0
Hobart OK         68  84  62  88 /  60  20  10  10
Wichita Falls TX  71  84  66  88 /  60  60  20  20
Gage OK           63  80  56  87 /  60  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     69  79  58  84 /  70  10   0   0
Durant OK         72  83  66  88 /  60  70  30  20

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

06/25

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 19, 11:57 AM CDT, 4 hours 57 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1157 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1157 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM CHEYENNE TO WATONGA
TO PERRY.  A MARGINAL RISK SURROUNDS THE SLIGHT RISK AND INCLUDES
AREAS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM VERNON...TEXAS TO LAWTON TO NORMAN
AND SEMINOLE.

TIMING...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
THE GREATEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WILL BE FROM AROUND 5 PM THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

IMPACTS...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH
THESE STORMS. HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE IS POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD
FRONT IN SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON.
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FORM
AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS OKLAHOMA.

ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MARGINAL...DECENT DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY RESULT IN A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THUNDERSTORM
INTENSITY WILL LIKELY DECREASE BY MIDNIGHT...BUT THE STRONGER STORMS
MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

MEANWHILE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. VERY HEAVY
RAIN AND SOME FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
A HOLDENVILLE TO ADA TO WICHITA FALLS LINE.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS
THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK WILL
BE LOW.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 19, 3:56 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
356 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

OKZ016-192130-
CUSTER OK-
356 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

AT 354 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ARAPAHO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...

LAT...LON 3560 9917 3581 9882 3564 9868 3546 9901
      3547 9905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 236DEG 25KT 3556 9902

SIX

Special weather statement, Aug 19, 4:05 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
405 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

OKZ021-022-192200-
BECKHAM OK-WASHITA OK-
405 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL BECKHAM AND NORTHWESTERN
WASHITA COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 402 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
NEAR ELK CITY TO NEAR SAYRE TO 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TEXOLA...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITY AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELK CITY...SAYRE...BURNS FLAT...ERICK...CANUTE...CARTER...FOSS...
TEXOLA AND DELHI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

LAT...LON 3533 9979 3547 9940 3546 9897 3527 9923
      3520 9956 3512 9978 3508 10000 3523 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 269DEG 19KT 3542 9940 3531 9968 3519 9993

03

Special weather statement, Aug 19, 4:34 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
434 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

OKZ016-192230-
CUSTER OK-
434 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CUSTER COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

AT 432 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ARAPAHO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH...
HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITY AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
THOMAS...ARAPAHO AND CUSTER CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3581 9909 3581 9863 3580 9863 3552 9889
      3563 9914
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 213DEG 15KT 3565 9901

03

Local storm report, Aug 19, 4:38 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
438 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     HAIL             2 NW ARAPAHO            35.60N 98.98W
08/19/2016  E1.00 INCH       CUSTER             OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

DW

Local storm report, Aug 19, 4:42 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
442 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 S ELK CITY            35.34N 99.42W
08/19/2016  M63 MPH          BECKHAM            OK   MESONET

&&

DW

Local storm report, Aug 19, 4:43 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
443 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             3 WSW ARAPAHO           35.56N 99.01W
08/19/2016  E0.88 INCH       CUSTER             OK   STORM CHASER

&&

DW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 19, 2:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Roger Mills	25 min
Aug 19, 3:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Grant	33 min
Aug 19, 3:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Custer	30 min
Aug 19, 3:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Custer	34 min
Aug 19, 4:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Beckham	55 min
Aug 19, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Beckham	42 min
Aug 19, 4:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Custer	56 min
Aug 19, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Custer	54 min
Aug 19, 5:12 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Beckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita	2 hr
Aug 19, 5:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Greer, Harmon, Kiowa, Washita	53 min
Aug 19, 6:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Beckham, Greer, Harmon	31 min
Aug 19, 6:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Greer, Harmon, Jackson	46 min
Aug 19, 8:21 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Archer, Baylor	114 min
Aug 19, 10:08 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Archer, Baylor, Clay	3 hr
Aug 19, 12:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Archer, Baylor	3 hr
Aug 19, 1:22 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Baylor, Knox	113 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.